Tipps Junior Fortaleza FC Primera A 18/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Junior Barranquilla wins the match

1. Junior Barranquilla has a very high probability of winning the match according to the provided statistics, with a 59.34% chance of success.

2. Even though Fortaleza FC has a good winning streak away from home, Junior Barranquilla has shown that they are capable of winning at home, as evidenced by their victories against Boyaca Chico and Atletico Bucaramanga.

3. The statistics indicate a higher probability of both teams not scoring (54.4%). In the recent matches of Fortaleza FC, it has been common for only one goal to be scored (usually by Fortaleza FC). However, considering Junior Barranquilla’s defensive potential at home (36%), it is likely that Fortaleza FC will struggle to score, further reinforcing the prediction of a Junior Barranquilla victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The home performance of Junior Barranquilla and the away performance of Fortaleza FC in their last 5 matches show a total of 12 goals scored respectively, averaging at least 1 to 2 goals per match. This indicates that it is less likely for there to be over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is also a crucial indicator. Junior Barranquilla has a 36% offensive potential at home, while Fortaleza FC has 50% away. Given that Junior Barranquilla’s defense is as strong as their offense (36%), it is probable that the number of goals will remain under 2.5.

3. Lastly, in analyzing sports betting, there are odds of 1.68 for under 2.5 goals in the match. Coupled with an 85.71% success probability for under 3.5 goals in the match, this strongly suggests that the total goals in the match are likely to be 2 or fewer.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Fortaleza FC’s defensive performances away from home have been very impressive. In their last 5 away matches, they have conceded only 0.4 goals on average per game. This indicates that they have a high probability of not conceding any goals in this match against Junior Barranquilla.

2. Junior Barranquilla’s offensive performances at home are not very high. In fact, they score an average of only 1 goal per match in their last 5 home games. This suggests that even if they manage to score a goal, it is unlikely that they will score more than one, especially given Fortaleza FC’s solid defense.

3. When looking at the betting data, the probability of both teams not scoring is 54.4%, with odds of 1.66. This indicates that bookmakers also expect at most one team to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Fortaleza FC wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Junior Barranquilla 1-1 Fortaleza FC.

1. The past performances of both teams: By analyzing past performances, it can be seen that Junior Barranquilla has an average of one goal scored per match at home and also concedes an average of one goal. On the other hand, Fortaleza FC has an average of 1.4 goals per match away, and concedes 0.4. The trend of both teams seems to indicate a potential result of 1-1.

2. Probabilities of direct outcomes: The draw has a success probability of 28.02%, which is lower than the probability of Junior Barranquilla winning, but higher than that of Fortaleza FC winning. This suggests that the match could end in a draw, like 1-1.

3. Probabilities of other outcomes: The option “over 1.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 74.73%. This strongly indicates that at least two goals will be scored in the match, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline. Additionally, the option “both teams to score” has a probability of 45.6%, suggesting an almost equal chance of both teams scoring.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Junior Barranquilla has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, but has not had any draws. These are modest figures. They have scored and conceded 6 goals in total.

On the other hand, Fortaleza FC has an impressive performance with 80% away wins and 20% draws. They have also scored 6 goals and conceded only 2 goals.

Per match, Junior Barranquilla averages 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded at home. Fortaleza FC scores 1.4 goals and concedes only 0.4 goals per match away.

The probability of Junior Barranquilla winning the match is 59.34%, while Fortaleza FC only has a 12.64% chance. A draw has a probability of 28.02%.

There is a 74.73% chance that the match will have over 1.5 goals, and a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals. It would be prudent to bet on under 3.5 goals in the match, as this has a success probability of 85.71%.

Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is 45.6%, indicating that it is slightly more likely (54.4%) that both teams will not score.

Looking at their recent performances, Fortaleza FC seems to be in better form, with more convincing recent victories. While Junior Barranquilla has had draws against Delfin SC and Alianza Petrolera, and a narrow win against Boyaca Chico.

All these data suggest that Fortaleza FC might have a slight edge, despite the odds being in favor of Junior Barranquilla.

The potential number of goals

Junior Barranquilla has won 40% of their last home matches and scored 6 goals. However, they have conceded the same number of goals (6), indicating a balance between their defense and attack. Their offensive and defensive talent is estimated at 36%.

Fortaleza FC has won 80% of their away matches. Their offensive power is at 50% with 6 goals scored in 5 matches. Their defensive strength is notable with only 6 goals conceded, leading to a reduced rate of 14%.

The probability of Junior Barranquilla winning the match is 59.34%, whereas Fortaleza FC has only a 12.64% chance. The prediction for a draw or a win for Junior Barranquilla is at 87.36%.

The bet on over 1.5 goals in the match has an estimated probability of 74.73%. It is also at 50% for over 2.5 goals.

The chances of both teams scoring are 45.6%. However, there is a slightly higher probability of 54.4% that this will not be the case.

In summary, this match could see Junior Barranquilla emerge victorious with a possibility of more than 1.5 goals scored during the game.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics strongly suggest that Junior Barranquilla could win this match, with a high likelihood of neither team scoring a high number of goals. Furthermore, the “under 2.5 goals in the match” option seems to be a safe bet, given Fortaleza FC’s defensive performances and the limited number of goals scored by both teams in their recent matches. However, it might be worth considering a draw or a Fortaleza FC victory, which could provide good betting value. Additionally, a 1-1 exact scoreline could be very possible, especially when considering the balance between the attacking and defensive capabilities of both teams. These predictions are based on team statistics and past performances, but it is important to remember that football is unpredictable and nothing is guaranteed in sports betting.