Tipps Junior Patriotas Primera A 07/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Junior Barranquilla wins the match

1. The statistics favor Junior Barranquilla with a win rate of 77.13%, much higher than that of Patriotas Boyaca, which is 7.45%.
2. Junior Barranquilla has shown a significantly better performance at home with an average of 1 goal per match, while Patriotas Boyaca has a lower level of performance away from home with an average of 1.2 goals per match.
3. The recent home results of Junior Barranquilla demonstrate an ability to score goals even in matches where they haven’t won, while Patriotas Boyaca has struggled to show offensive consistency in their recent away games.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics from both teams show a tendency for high-scoring matches. In particular, Junior Barranquilla has scored a total of 17 goals in their last 5 home games, averaging over 3 goals per game.

2. The defensive performances of both teams are not very strong. Junior Barranquilla has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 home matches, while Patriotas Boyaca has conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The calculated probabilities also support this prediction, indicating a 54.26% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. It is also worth noting that the bet for over 3.5 goals offers odds of 3.80, suggesting that bookmakers also expect a high-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Based on statistics, Junior Barranquilla concedes an average of 1.8 goals per home match. This is higher than Patriotas Boyaca’s average goals scored away, which is 1.2 goals per match. Several of Junior Barranquilla’s recent home matches have seen the team conceding, increasing the risk of only one team scoring.

2. Recent performances of Patriotas Boyaca away show that they lose or draw in 80% of cases. Combined with their average of only 1.2 goals scored per away match, it suggests they may struggle to score against Junior Barranquilla.

3. The probability of both teams not scoring is 61.17% according to the odds presented. This strongly indicates that bookmakers believe it is more likely that one of the teams will fail to score. This is a solid argument for a bet on both teams not scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Patriotas Boyaca wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Junior Barranquilla 2-1 Patriotas Boyaca.

1. Junior Barranquilla has a high probability of winning (77.13%) and their offensive potential at home is 36%. This aligns with the prediction of 2 goals for this team, especially considering they scored 2 goals in one of their last 5 home matches.

2. It is less likely that both teams score in the match (38.83%), and Patriotas Boyaca has an offensive potential of 43% when playing away. This suggests that this team may only score one goal, which corroborates the prediction of 1 goal for Patriotas Boyaca.

3. The probabilities suggest there will be more than 1.5 but less than 3.5 goals in the match (75% over 1.5, 78.72% under 3.5). This aligns perfectly with a total prediction of 3 goals (Junior Barranquilla 2, Patriotas Boyaca 1).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Junior Barranquilla shows a mixed performance at home, with only a 20% win rate but 40% draws. On average, they score 1 goal and concede 1.8 goals per home match.

Patriotas Boyaca also doesn’t shine away from home, with only a 20% win rate and an average of 1.2 goals scored per match against 1.4 goals conceded.

With success rates of 77.13% and 7.45% respectively, Junior Barranquilla is heavily favored to win, while the chances of a draw or a Patriotas Boyaca victory are 22.87% and 15.43% respectively.

Given a 75% probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals in this match and a 54.26% probability for a total over 2.5 goals, a lively match can be expected.

Based on the recent results of both teams, both teams not scoring stands out with a success probability of 61.17% and odds of 1.50.

Considering these figures, the safest choice may be under 3.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 78.72% and odds of 1.25.

The potential number of goals

Junior Barranquilla have scored 8 goals and conceded 9 in 5 home matches. They have an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 64%. They win 20% of their matches and draw 40% of the time. A victory for Junior Barranquilla has a probability of 77.13%.

Patriotas Boyaca have scored 4 goals and conceded 4 in 5 away matches. With an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 50%, they win 20% of their matches and draw 20% of the time. A victory for Patriotas Boyaca is less likely, with a rate of 7.45%.

The match history indicates that Junior Barranquilla tends to score and concede more goals than Patriotas Boyaca. Betting on *over 1.5 goals in the match* has a probability of 75% and odds of 1.38, while *over 2.5 goals in the match* has a probability of 54.26% with odds of 2.10.

Considering the defensive and offensive potential of each team, a bet on *Junior Barranquilla to win or draw* is the safest option with a probability of 92.55%.

Regarding the bet on both teams to score, it has a probability of 38.83%. The recent matches indicate a more frequent exchange of goals between the two teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, a careful look at past performances, statistics, and success rates indicates that Junior Barranquilla is the clear favorite to win the match against Patriotas Boyaca. However, betting on a Patriotas Boyaca victory at high odds of 10.50 could be an interesting value bet and offers a higher potential for winnings despite increased risk. Furthermore, the data supports a bet on over 2.5 goals in the match, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games for both teams. Lastly, the statistics suggest that both teams will not score.

It is important to note that in sports betting, while statistics provide a useful insight, they do not guarantee results. Bettors should always gamble responsibly.