Tipps Junior Santa Fe Primera A 02/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Junior Barranquilla wins the match

1. The statistics slightly favor Junior Barranquilla, especially when they play at home. They have a 40% win rate at home in the last 5 matches, with a draw in 20% of cases, showing a 60% success rate at home.

2. Despite Santa Fe Bogota having a higher offensive potential (50% compared to 29% for Junior Barranquilla), their defensive potential is much weaker than Junior Barranquilla (21% compared to 36%). This means that even if Santa Fe scores more goals, they are also more likely to concede them, increasing the chances of a draw or a win for Junior Barranquilla.

3. Based on the provided success probabilities, the prediction of “Draw or Junior Barranquilla wins the match” has a success probability of 65.33%, which is higher than the prediction of “Santa Fe Bogota wins the match” with a success probability of 34.67%. Therefore, the bet “draw or Junior Barranquilla wins” seems safer.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Both teams have a high offensive potential, as evidenced by their goal-scoring record in the last 5 matches (Junior Barranquilla scored 8 goals and Santa Fe Bogota scored 7 goals), which could contribute to a total score greater than 2.5.

2. Based on the recent performances of both teams, it seems that they struggle to defend and concede quite a few goals (Junior Barranquilla conceded 9 goals and Santa Fe Bogota conceded 8 goals in their respective last 5 matches). This increases the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.

3. The probability of more than ‘2.5 goals in the match’ is calculated at 63.82% based on available statistics and probabilities, which is quite high and suggests that it is reasonable to predict a total number of goals over 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last matches show an offensive trend from both teams: Junior Barranquilla has scored 8 goals and Santa Fe Bogota has scored 7 in their respective last 5 matches. This suggests that they both have the ability to score goals.

2. Junior Barranquilla has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Santa Fe Bogota has conceded 8 in their last away matches. The defensive weaknesses of these two teams increase the likelihood that each of them will score a goal during the match.

3. The previous statistics show that in most of Junior Barranquilla’s last home matches and Santa Fe Bogota’s away matches, both teams have scored, which reinforces the probability that both teams will score during this upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Santa Fe Bogota wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Junior Barranquilla 1-2 Santa Fe Bogota

1. Recent performance: Santa Fe Bogota has won 80% of its away matches, while Junior Barranquilla has a less impressive home record with only 40% of wins. Additionally, Santa Fe Bogota’s recent away matches show a clear trend towards victory.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Santa Fe Bogota has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 21%, higher than Junior Barranquilla’s (29% and 36% respectively). This indicates a better overall performance by Santa Fe Bogota, which can likely score more goals.

3. Success probabilities: According to the odds given, the success probability is 34.67% for Santa Fe Bogota compared to 43.72% for Junior Barranquilla. However, considering the recent performances and offensive and defensive potentials, a 1-2 result in favor of Santa Fe Bogota seems more probable despite this distribution of probabilities. Additionally, with a 63.82% success probability for over 2.5 goals in the match, a 1-2 scoreline aligns well with this prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Junior Barranquilla has a mixed performance at home. They have won 2 matches, lost 1, and drawn 2 in their last 5 games. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 9 goals.

Santa Fe Bogota, on the other hand, is in good form away from home. They have won 4 out of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 8 goals.

Statistically, Junior Barranquilla has a 43.72% chance of winning compared to Santa Fe Bogota’s 34.67% probability. A draw is less likely, at 21.61%.

There is an 81.91% chance of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match. A match with over 2.5 goals has a 63.82% probability.

Both teams have a 60.8% chance of scoring.

Based on these stats, the prediction slightly favors Junior Barranquilla, but Santa Fe Bogota should not be underestimated, especially considering their strong away performance.

The potential number of goals

Junior Barranquilla, in their last 5 home matches, has won 40% of the time and drawn 20% of the time. They have scored 8 goals, averaging 0.8 goals per match, and conceded 9 goals, averaging 1 goal per match. Their offensive potential is at 29% and defensive at 36%.

On the other hand, Santa Fe Bogota has won 80% of their last 5 away matches. They have scored 7 goals in total, with an average of 1.4 goals per match, and conceded 8 goals, averaging 0.6 goals per match. Their offensive potential is higher at 50% with a defensive capacity at 21%.

In terms of probability, there is a 43.72% chance of Junior Barranquilla winning the match, 34.67% for Santa Fe Bogota, and 21.61% for a draw.

In the case of a match with less than 1.5 goals, the odds are 2.50. If the match sees more than 1.5 goals, the success probability is 81.91% with odds of 1.50.

According to statistics, there is a 60.8% chance that both teams will score, with odds at 2.15, and a 39.2% chance that this will not happen, with odds of 1.65.

All this indicates a potentially close and competitive match with a slight advantage for Santa Fe Bogota, due to their better performance away from home and stronger offensive power.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistics and recent trends, there is a high likelihood that this match will be competitive and exciting. Junior Barranquilla’s defensive weakness combined with Santa Fe Bogota’s strong offensive potential could indicate a win for Santa Fe Bogota. However, Junior Barranquilla’s strong home performance should not be overlooked.

As for the match outcome, the safest bet seems to be “Draw or Junior Barranquilla to win the match,” with a success probability of 65.33%. Regarding goals, the highest probability is for a match with over 2.5 goals. Additionally, there is also a high chance that both teams will score.

Overall, while statistics slightly favor Junior Barranquilla, Santa Fe Bogota’s excellent away performance and the possibility of a match with a total goal count exceeding 2.5 offer interesting sports betting opportunities. Ultimately, it is always recommended for bettors to consider all possible factors and do their own research before making a decision.