Tipps Juventude Atletico-MG Serie A 17/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Atlético MG wins the match.”

1. The success probabilities favor Atletico MG, with a win probability of 43.39% compared to 28.57% for Juventude.
2. Despite Juventude having a strong performance at home, Atletico MG has showcased an ability to win away, with a 40% win rate in their last 5 away matches.
3. In the past, Atletico MG has managed to defeat strong opponents on the road, such as Internacional RS and RB Bragantino, demonstrating their potential to overcome challenges away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show that both teams have a relatively low goal scoring rate (1.4 on average per match), indicating a tendency towards low-scoring games.
2. Defensive statistics also reveal that both teams have a solid defensive record, with Juventude conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match at home and Atletico MG conceding an average of 2 goals per match away, which could limit the total number of goals in the match.
3. Considering Juventude’s recent home matches and Atletico MG’s recent away matches, the majority of these games have had less than 2.5 goals, further reinforcing the likelihood of this match following the same pattern.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have a strong offensive capability: Juventude has scored at least one goal in every home match in their last 5 games, and Atletico MG has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away games, which suggests there is a good chance that both teams will score during the match.

2. The defenses of both teams have not been impenetrable: Juventude has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Atletico MG has conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. These high numbers of goals conceded by both teams show that they both have defensive difficulties, increasing the likelihood that each team will score during the match.

3. The odds offered for the “Both teams to score” option are 2.00, indicating that bookmakers consider the event to have a nearly 50% chance of happening (48.68% probability of success). Given that this probability is relatively high, it is an additional argument in favor of predicting that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Fewer than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Juventude 1-2 Atletico MG.

1. Offensive potential of Atletico MG away from home: Atletico MG has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 away games, demonstrating a certain offensive ability that could see them score the two goals predicted in the forecast.

2. Defensive weakness of Juventude at home: Juventude has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games, showing a certain defensive vulnerability that could be exploited by Atletico MG.

3. Probability of victory: Atletico MG has a higher probability of winning than Juventude, with a 43.39% chance of winning the match compared to Juventude’s 28.57%. This suggests that Atletico MG is more likely to score more goals and therefore, more likely to win the match according to the forecasts.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Juventude has shown a strong performance at home, with a win rate of 80% in their last 5 games. They have scored 9 goals and conceded the same number, demonstrating a balance between their offensive and defensive potential.

On the other hand, away from home, Atletico MG has a more mixed record. They have only won 40% of their last 5 matches. Their defense seems to have weakened, conceding more goals (7) than they have scored (6).

On average, both Juventude and Atletico MG have scored 1.4 goals per match. Juventude’s defense appears slightly stronger, conceding only 1.6 goals per match, while Atletico MG concedes 2.

According to the probabilities, there is a higher chance (43.39%) of Atletico MG winning the match. However, the probability of Juventude winning or the match ending in a draw remains interesting (56.61%).

The match may be more defensive, with an 84.13% probability of fewer than 3.5 goals. It is also likely that both teams will score, with a 48.68% probability.

Recently, Juventude seems to have had the upper hand in their home matchups, especially against Flamengo and Atletico Goianiense. On the other hand, Atletico MG has had mixed performances on the road, with losses against Botafogo RJ and Vasco Da Gama RJ.

In conclusion, to predict the outcome, close attention should be paid to Atletico MG’s defensive performance. Nevertheless, the statistics suggest that a draw or a Juventude victory could be an interesting bet.

The potential number of goals

Juventude’s team has a good home performance, with a victory in 80% of the matches played. However, their defensive performances are average as they have conceded as many goals as they have scored, totaling 9 goals. Despite this, their offensive and defensive potential is quite balanced, at 50% and 57% respectively.

On the other hand, Atletico MG shows a weaker performance away from home, winning only 40% of the matches. Their attack is similar to Juventude’s with 1.4 goals per match. However, their defense is weaker with an average of 2 goals conceded per match. Their offensive and defensive potential is 50% and 71%.

As for the match forecast, Atletico MG has a better chance of winning the match with odds of 2.20 and a success probability of 43.39%. However, if we consider a draw or a victory for Juventude, the success probability is 56.61% with odds of 1.68.

In terms of goals, the match could have more than 1.5 goals with a success probability of 70.9%. However, it is less likely that the match will end with more than 2.5 goals, with a success probability of 46.56%. Finally, there is a high probability (97.35%) that there will be less than 4.5 goals in the match.

It is worth noting that in the history of the last matches, Juventude seems to have performed better at home, while Atletico MG has faced more difficulties when traveling.

In conclusion, Juventude could take advantage of home turf, but Atletico MG is expected to put up a strong resistance. Therefore, caution is advised, as the scoreline could be tight with at least 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the analysis and statistics presented above, the following conclusions can be drawn for the match between Juventude and Atletico MG.

It is considered that Atletico MG has a strong chance of winning the match, given its impressive offensive performance when playing away. However, Juventude should not be underestimated at home. The option “Both teams to score” seems likely considering the offensive capabilities demonstrated by both teams and the defensive difficulties they have faced.

Regarding the total number of goals, a result of under 2.5 goals is anticipated in the match, as both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in low-scoring games. Similarly, the bet “Under 3.5 goals in the match” appears to offer good value, based on the goal statistics of the teams’ recent matches.

As for the exact score, Atletico MG could win with a score of 2-1, considering its past performances on the road and Juventude’s defensive weaknesses at home.

However, it is crucial to note that in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed. All these recommendations are based on the teams’ past statistics, and it is always advisable for bettors to conduct their own research and assess risks before placing a bet.