Tipps Juventude Criciuma Serie A 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Juventude wins the match.

1. Recent home performance of Juventude: Juventude has shown a strong home performance, winning 40% of their last 5 home matches, suggesting they have a strong chance of not losing the match.
2. Away record of Criciuma: Criciuma struggles to perform away from home, with only 20% of wins in their last 5 away matches. This increases the probability of a draw or a win for Juventude.
3. Probability statistics: The probability of Juventude winning or the match ending in a draw is 73.96%, a relatively high probability that leans the argument in favor of this prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The past performances of both teams show a tendency towards low-scoring matches. Looking at the last 5 games, Juventude has a total of 7 goals and Criciuma has a total of 6 goals. This gives an average of 1.4 goals per match for Juventude and 1.2 for Criciuma, which is below the 2.5 goals threshold.

2. Defensive statistics also point towards low-scoring matches. Juventude has only conceded an average of 0.6 goals per home match, while Criciuma has conceded 1.4 goals away.

3. The probabilities for different numbers of goals also suggest an expectation of a low score. The forecast of “under 2.5 goals in the match” is priced at 1.72, indicating a relatively high probability. Moreover, the probability of “under 3.5 goals in the match” is 80.73%, signaling a strong expectation of a low number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have scored and conceded goals in their recent matches. Juventude has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Criciuma has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The recent match history demonstrates an offensive potential from each team. Indeed, in their last 5 home matches, Juventude has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game, while Criciuma has scored an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 away matches.

3. The calculated probability of both teams scoring in this match is relatively high, at 52.6%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Less than 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Juventude 2-1 Criciuma

1. Juventude’s home performance is better compared to Criciuma’s away performance, with a win rate of 40% against 20% for Criciuma. Additionally, Juventude has an offensive potential of 50% that could allow them to score at least two goals.

2. Statistics reveal that Juventude’s defensive potential at home is 21%, meaning they have a low probability of conceding more than one goal. On the other hand, Criciuma has a defensive potential of 50% away, suggesting they could concede at least one goal.

3. By analyzing each team’s recent matches, it can be seen that Juventude is capable of scoring two goals at home while Criciuma tends to concede at least one goal when playing away. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 52.6%, supporting the idea of a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Juventude.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

During their last 5 matches, Juventude won 40% of their home games with a total of 7 goals scored. On the other hand, Criciuma won only 20% of their away matches, scoring 6 goals.

Juventude’s offensive efficiency at home is 50%, averaging 1.4 goals per game. Defensively, they have been quite strong, conceding only 0.6 goals per game on average.

Criciuma, on the other hand, has an offensive potential of 36% away from home, averaging 1 goal per game. Unfortunately, they have been less solid in defense, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.

Based on the probabilities, Juventude has a 44.79% chance of winning the match, while Criciuma has a 26.04% chance. A draw is also a possibility with a probability of 29.17%.

The safest bet seems to be “Under 4.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 93.75%.

These statistics indicate that the match may not have many goals, with more chances of seeing Juventude emerge victorious. However, as in any sport, nothing is ever guaranteed in football.

The potential number of goals

Juventude has a variable home performance, with 40% of victories and 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. However, their defense also concedes, with 8 goals allowed. On the other hand, Criciuma has only won 20% of away matches, scoring 6 goals but conceding 7.

Juventude’s average number of goals at home is 1.4 per match, and their defense only concedes an average of 0.6 goals. For Criciuma, away matches see an average of 1 goal scored per match and 1.4 goals conceded.

Regarding the probability of victory, Juventude leads with close to 45%, while a draw and Criciuma’s victory have a respective 29% and 26% chance of occurring.

In terms of scores, it seems more likely to have fewer than 3.5 goals during the match (81% probability). As for both teams scoring, the probability is almost 50/50.

Analyzing these data suggests a closely contested match with potentially few goals. A prognosis could be to bet on “under 3.5 goals” for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, for the match between Juventude and Criciuma, the majority of data and statistics favor Juventude. With a probable victory for Juventude or a draw, a low total number of goals (less than 3.5), and a high probability of both teams scoring, bettors have many factors to consider. However, as with any sports betting, it is important to remember that uncertainty is an integral part of the game, and even the most reliable data does not guarantee a 100% safe result. Therefore, it is necessary to always bet responsibly.