Tipps Juventus AS Roma Serie A 01/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Juventus wins the match

1. Juventus has a better overall performance at home compared to AS Roma in away games, as illustrated by Juventus’ higher win percentage in their recent history (60%) compared to AS Roma’s away record (20%).
2. Juventus has shown a better offensive performance in their home matches with an offensive potential of 86%, meaning they are more likely to score goals. The average number of goals scored by Juventus is also higher than that of AS Roma.
3. The odds are also in favor of Juventus, with a win probability of 53.61%, significantly higher than AS Roma’s 18.04%, demonstrating a significant statistical advantage for Juventus in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive statistics of Juventus at home are high, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match. This strong offensive potential (86%) increases the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.
2. The defensive performance of AS Roma away from home is not very reassuring, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match. This creates a possibility of goals for their opponent, thus increasing the total possible goals.
3. The recent home matches of Juventus have often seen more than 2.5 goals (for example, Juventus 3-0 Como, Juventus 4-0 Juventus U23). This shows a trend that could continue in the match against AS Roma.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics from previous matches clearly show a trend of both teams scoring goals. In particular, in their last 5 home matches, Juventus scored 12 goals, averaging 2.4 goals per match. Similarly, AS Roma scored 7 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1.4 goals per match.

2. Despite winning at home, Juventus also conceded 13 goals in their last 5 home matches, indicating that their opponents scored in every match. On the other hand, AS Roma conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away matches, showing a defense that allows the opponent to score.

3. The offensive potential of both teams is quite high (86% for Juventus and 50% for AS Roma), suggesting that both teams tend to score when they play. Additionally, the defensive potential of each team (29% for both) means they are likely to concede goals to the opponent.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Juventus 2-1 AS Roma

1. The recent home performances of Juventus have been impressive, with a 60% win rate, an average of 2.4 goals per match, and an 86% offensive potential. This strongly suggests that they are capable of scoring 2 goals against AS Roma.

2. AS Roma has a weaker away performance, with only a 20% win rate in their matches and an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, their 50% offensive potential suggests they have a decent chance of scoring at least one goal against Juventus.

3. As for the final match result prediction, Juventus has a 53.61% probability of winning compared to AS Roma’s 18.04%. Furthermore, there is over a 72% probability that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals, which further supports our prediction argument.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Juventus has a strong home form with 60% wins in their last 5 matches. With 12 goals scored, an average of 2.4 goals per game, the team shows a high offensive potential of 86%. However, the team has conceded 13 goals, a worrying number.

AS Roma has struggled away from home, winning only 20% of their matches. The majority of their away games have ended in draws (60% of the time). The team has scored 7 goals and conceded 9 goals, revealing a 50% attacking potential and 29% defensive potential.

Statistics suggest a 53.61% probability of Juventus winning with odds of 1.82, compared to a 18.04% probability of AS Roma winning with odds of 4.50. A draw is less likely at 28.35% with odds of 3.75.

Given the number of goals scored by the teams in their previous matches, there is a 72.68% probability of “Over 1.5 goals” with odds of 1.35. “Under 3.5 goals” in the match has a high probability of 82.47% with odds of 1.28.

Both teams are almost equally likely to both score, with 48.45% and odds of 1.90, as they are not both score, with 51.55% and odds of 1.87.

Overall, a Juventus win at home seems the most likely, potentially with “Over 1.5 goals” in the match. However, AS Roma’s tendency for draws away from home and Juventus’ shaky defense could lead to some surprises.

The potential number of goals

The Juventus has a strong offensive capacity at home, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match. However, they struggle in defense, conceding 13 goals in their last 5 matches. On the other hand, AS Roma has a modest performance away, winning only 20% of their matches and scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match.

The Juventus has a 53.61% probability of winning, with odds of 1.82. On the other hand, AS Roma has only an 18.04% chance of winning, with odds of 4.50. The chances of a draw are 28.35%.

In terms of goals, there is a 72.68% chance of having more than 1.5 goals in the match, but only a 42.78% probability of having more than 2.5.

Finally, both teams have respective 48.45% and 51.55% chances of scoring, indicating a balanced competition.

My prediction leans towards a Juventus victory, considering the offensive and defensive performances of each team. However, do not underestimate the possibility of a draw or fewer than 2.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of statistical data, recent form, and performances of the teams suggests that Juventus may well be the winner of this match. However, considering AS Roma’s ability to secure draws in their away games and Juventus’ defensive flaws, the outcome of the match could still hold some surprises. The option for a “over 1.5 goals” match appears to be a very interesting bet, as both teams have shown a strong propensity to score in their previous matches. Also worth noting is the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match, given their respective offensive potentials. However, a 2-1 exact score in favor of Juventus should not be ruled out. Nevertheless, every bettor should bear in mind the inherent uncertainty of any sporting competition. Good luck to all!