Tipps Karviná Hradec Králové Czech Liga 05/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Karviná wins the match.

1. Karviná has a better home win rate, with a victory and a draw in 60% of its matches, while Hradec Králové has a very low away success rate, with a win rate of only 20% and no draws.

2. Karviná’s offensive potential is 14% and its defensive potential is 21% at home, which is higher than Hradec Králové’s, which has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 43% away. Taking into account these percentages, Karviná has a superior defensive record and could potentially contain Hradec Králové’s offense.

3. The probability of success for the bet “Draw or Karviná wins” is 72.31%, which is significantly higher than Hradec Králové’s win probability (27.69%). Therefore, in terms of probability and statistics, the bet is more likely to succeed.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The goal statistics of both teams are low: Karvina has scored 3 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Hradec Králové has scored 2 goals and conceded 3 goals in their last 5 away matches. A clash between two teams with low offensive efficiency indicates a low number of goals.

2. The average goals per match for each team are also low: Karvina averages 0.4 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match, while Hradec Králové averages 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded. This indicates that games involving these two teams tend to be low-scoring.

3. The sports betting data give an 85.64% success probability for “under 3.5 goals in the match.” With such a probability, betting on “under 2.5 goals” seems like a reasonable choice given that both teams score few and concede few goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent statistics show a low offensive capacity from both teams. On one hand, Karviná has only scored 3 goals in 5 home matches, and on the other hand, Hradec Králové has only scored 2 goals in 5 away matches. This indicates a trend where it is less likely for both teams to score.

2. The odds for “under 1.5 goals in the match” are relatively high at 3.00, suggesting that bookmakers anticipate a low-scoring match, therefore increasing the probability that both teams won’t score.

3. In their last 5 home matches, Karviná has not allowed the opposing team to score in 60% of cases. Similarly, in their last 5 away matches, Hradec Králové has failed to score in 80% of cases. These statistics support the idea that it is plausible for both teams not to score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.73

Bet on the exact result

Karvina 1-1 Hradec Kralove

1. Recent history: The most common score in Karviná’s home matches and Hradec Králové’s away matches is 1-1 or 1-0, indicating a trend towards tight matches with few goals.

2. Defensive and offensive performances: Both teams have shown a strong defensive capability, with Karviná conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per home match and Hradec Králové conceding 1.2 goals on average in their away matches. Furthermore, their offensive potentials are relatively low (14% for Karviná and 36% for Hradec Králové).

3. Probability of outcome: The highest probability rate is for a “under 3.5 goals” score with 85.64%, so it is likely that the match will end with a total of 2 goals. The prediction is also supported by the fact that the draw has a probability of 35.38%, only slightly lower than Karviná’s win probability (36.92%).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Karviná has been in average form at home, with one win and two draws in their last 5 matches. Scoring 3 goals and conceding 6, their defense seems fragile.

Hradec Králové has only won one of their last 5 away matches. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 3. Their attack seems to be struggling.

Looking at the average goals, Karviná has scored 0.4 goals and conceded 0.6 goals per match at home. Hradec Králové has scored 1 goal and conceded 1.2 goals on average per match away.

The probabilities: Karviná win at 36.92%, draw at 35.38%, and Hradec Králové win at 27.69%. The odds suggest a closely contested match is more likely.

There is a 67.69% probability for over 1.5 goals in the match and 38.97% for over 2.5 goals.

Both teams score in 50.77% of cases.

In summary, the match looks evenly poised with a slight edge for Karviná, despite a weak attack. A low-scoring affair with possibly a minimal number of goals seems most likely.

The potential number of goals

Karviná struggles at home, only winning 20% of their matches. Goals are scarce, with only 3 in their last 5 games while conceding 6. They have a weak offensive potential at 14% and defensive at 21%.

Hradec Králové also doesn’t shine away from home, winning in 20% of cases, no draws, and a record of 2 goals scored to 3 conceded. However, they do have a good offensive potential at 36% and defensive at 43%.

In terms of predictions, a draw or Karviná winning the match is the most likely outcome with a success rate of 72.31%.

Both teams struggle to score. Less than 1.5 goals in the match seems like a safe bet.

Given the offensive potential and recent games, it is possible that both teams won’t score with a success rate of 49.23%.

It’s a tight match with a high probability of few goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering both teams’ past and present performances, the match between Karviná and Hradec Králové is expected to be close with a slight edge towards Karviná. Both teams have shown weak offensive performances, indicating a low-scoring match could be expected. Therefore, bets such as “Under 2.5 goals in the match” and “Both teams to score: No” could provide interesting winning opportunities. It is strongly suggested that value-seeking bettors should consider the “Under 2.5 goals in the match” bet, which offers an attractive odds of 1.73. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed, and it is crucial to bet responsibly.