Tipps Kashima Gamba Osaka J1 League 26/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Kashima Antlers wins the match.

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Kashima Antlers have won 60% of the time, which is a percentage just above average, showing a considerable strength at home.
2. Looking at the likelihood of success for each outcome, it is evident that a draw or a win for Kashima Antlers has the highest success probability at 75.86%, strongly suggesting that one of these outcomes is very likely.
3. Gamba Osaka, despite having a good away performance (winning 60% of the time), has only scored 4 goals in 5 matches, while Kashima Antlers have scored 10 goals at home during the same period. This suggests that Kashima Antlers have an offensive advantage, which could lead to a win or a draw for them.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Gamba Osaka tends to have low-scoring games when playing away, with only 4 goals scored and 5 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. This indicates a trend toward low-scoring matches.

2. With Gamba Osaka having a defensive potential of 21%, they are likely to keep goals out against Kashima Antlers. At the same time, Kashima Antlers have an offensive potential of 79%, which is not exceptionally high, suggesting that the total number of goals could be under 2.5.

3. Recent home matches for the Kashima Antlers team show variability in terms of goals scored (1, 2, and 3 goals respectively). However, despite this variability, they also concede goals and the total goals tend to fluctuate around 2 to 3 goals, which could suggest a total goals under 2.5 for the next match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Kashima Antlers has shown a strong offensive performance at home, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match, demonstrating significant attacking potential. They have also conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, indicating some vulnerabilities in their defense.

2. Gamba Osaka, despite their outings, have managed to score an average of two goals per match, also indicating a strong offensive capability. Additionally, they concede an average of 0.6 goals per match when playing away.

3. The previous match statistics of both teams show that both teams tend to score goals in their matchups. For Kashima Antlers, the last five home matches have seen both them and their opponents scoring goals. Similarly, for Gamba Osaka, at least one goal has been scored (by them or their opponents) in each of their last five away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Kashima Antlers 2-1 Gamba Osaka

1. The offensive capability of Kashima Antlers at home is high with an average of 2.2 goals per match, which gives a strong likelihood that they will score at least two goals, in line with the prediction. 2. Despite their strong defensive performance away from home, Gamba Osaka has still conceded goals in some of their matches. On average, they concede 0.6 goals per match away from home, giving Kashima Antlers a chance to score more than one goal. 3. Gamba Osaka’s recent away matches show that they have the ability to score at least one goal, in line with the 2-1 prediction. At the same time, their defense appears less solid against offensive teams like Kashima Antlers, which may explain why they could concede two goals.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kashima Antlers have a strong home performance with victories in 60% of their recent matches. They have been average 2.2 goals per match. However, their defense seems weaker, conceding an average of 1.2 goals.

On the other hand, Gamba Osaka is also solid away from home with a 60% win rate and 20% draws in their away matches. They score fewer goals (2 goals/match) but defend better, conceding only 0.6 goals.

The match seems to lean towards a favorable result for Kashima Antlers with a probability of 44.25%. A draw is less likely at 31.61%, while a victory for Gamba Osaka is less expected at 24.14%.

In terms of goals, a trend emerges: over 1.5 goals in the match have a success probability of 68.97%, while less than 3.5 goals has a strong probability of 94.25%.

Recent matches of Kashima Antlers have seen varied results: a draw with Albirex Niigata, victories against Nara Club, Yokohama F. Marinos, Vissel Kobe, and an exciting draw against Tokyo Verdy.

Gamba Osaka has also had tight matches: victories against Shonan Bellmare, FC Tokyo, Nagoya Grampus but a loss against Avispa Fukuoka and a goalless draw against Tokyo Verdy.

In conclusion, this match has the potential to be close with a slight edge towards Kashima Antlers. Over 1.5 goals scored seems probable, as well as less than 3.5 goals conceded.

The potential number of goals

Kashima Antlers have shown a solid home performance, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals, conceding 13, highlighting a defensive challenge.

Gamba Osaka is also impressive away from home, with a 60% win rate and only 5 goals conceded. However, they lack offensive power with only 4 goals scored.

Kashima Antlers have a home offensive potential of 79%, averaging 2.2 goals per match. Their defense still needs strengthening with a defensive potential of 43%.

Gamba Osaka has an away offensive potential of 71%, scoring around 2 goals per match. Their defense is impressive with a potential of 21%.

The odds indicate that Kashima Antlers have a 44.25% chance of winning, while Gamba Osaka’s victory is less likely at 24.14%. A draw stands at 31.61%.

A prediction based on these figures suggests a win for Kashima Antlers or a draw with a 75.86% chance. The odds for this outcome are 1.30.

In terms of goal numbers, the most likely scenario is under 3.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 94.25%, and odds of 1.20. The scenario of over 2.5 goals has odds of 2.20, indicating a success probability of 38.51%.

Both teams are likely to score, with a 51.72% probability. The odds for this are 1.95. The probability that both teams will not score is slightly lower at 48.28%, with odds of 1.80.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Kashima Antlers and Gamba Osaka promises to be tight and competitive. Statistics suggest a slight edge in favor of Kashima Antlers to win or a draw. Regarding the total number of goals, it is likely to see less than 3.5 goals during the match, indicative of the defensive tendencies of these two teams. However, considering their offensive potential, it is also possible for both teams to score. For those looking for a value bet, over 2.5 goals could present an interesting opportunity. In summary, a realistic score prediction would be 2-1 in favor of Kashima Antlers. Nevertheless, the unpredictable nature of football means that nothing is certain and these predictions should always be taken with caution. Therefore, it is recommended to constantly analyze team statistics and performances to make more informed betting decisions.