Tipps Kashiwa Reysol Gamba Osaka J1 League 11/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

After analyzing the provided data, it appears that Kashiwa Reysol has a slight advantage due to their home performance and offensive statistics. Therefore, my prediction would be “Kashiwa Reysol to win or draw the match”.

1. Home Performance: Data shows that Kashiwa Reysol wins 60% of their matches when playing at home and draws 40% of the time. It is well established that a team often has an advantage when playing at home. Therefore, this provides some confidence in Kashiwa Reysol’s ability to achieve a good result in this match.

2. Offensive Potential: Kashiwa Reysol has stronger offensive statistics compared to Gamba Osaka, averaging 1.8 goals per home match, compared to Gamba Osaka’s 0.8 goals per away match. The ability to score goals is a crucial factor in winning a football match, giving another advantage to Kashiwa Reysol.

3. Solid Defense: The Kashiwa Reysol team also has better defensive statistics than the Gamba Osaka team. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals per home match while Gamba Osaka has conceded 0.6 goals per away match. Although this number is lower, Gamba Osaka’s defensive potential is at 21%, significantly lower than Kashiwa Reysol’s 57%. These defensive statistics demonstrate Kashiwa Reysol’s ability to neutralize opposing offenses.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Gamba Osaka has a relatively low average of goals scored away from home, at just 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood of a total goals under 2.5.
2. Although Kashiwa Reysol has a higher average of goals scored at home, their home goals conceded rate is also high – 1.6 goals per match on average. This indicates a tendency for more balanced matches, where the team may be less likely to score many goals.
3. The history of Gamba Osaka’s away matches and Kashiwa Reysol’s home matches suggests a trend towards relatively low-scoring games. For instance, Gamba Osaka has been involved in three matches with fewer than 2.5 goals in their last five away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Gamba Osaka has a solid defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per away match on average. This indicates a strong likelihood that they will not concede against Kashiwa Reysol.

2. Gamba Osaka has a limited attacking potential on the road, scoring just 0.8 goals per match on average, suggesting a low probability of them scoring against Kashiwa Reysol.

3. Kashiwa Reysol’s home statistics show a slightly weaker defense than Gamba Osaka, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, but their offensive potential is much higher at 1.8 goals per match. It is quite possible that Kashiwa Reysol may struggle to score against Gamba Osaka.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Kashiwa Reysol wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Gamba Osaka

1. Both teams have a similar performance at home and away: Kashiwa Reysol wins 60% of their home matches and Gamba Osaka wins 60% of their away matches, with each also drawing 40% of the time. This suggests that both teams are evenly matched in terms of performance.

2. Kashiwa Reysol’s home attacking potential (64%) is quite close to Gamba Osaka’s away defensive potential (57%). Additionally, Gamba Osaka’s away attacking potential (29%) is lower than Kashiwa Reysol’s home defensive potential (21%). This could lead to a situation where each team scores a goal, resulting in a draw.

3. Looking at recent match scores, Kashiwa Reysol has scored in all their recent home matches and Gamba Osaka has managed to score in most of their away matches. This could indicate that both teams have the ability to score goals in this match, potentially resulting in a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kashiwa Reysol performs well at home with a 60% win rate. They also score a lot at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match. However, they also concede quite a few, with 1.6 goals against per match.

Gamba Osaka is not bad away from home, managing to win 60% of their matches. But they score less with only 0.8 goals per match and concede even less with 0.6 goals against per match.

Kashiwa has a higher attacking potential at 64% compared to Gamba’s 29%. In terms of defense, Kashiwa also leads with 57% against Gamba’s 21%.

Kashiwa’s recent matches have been lively, with them scoring in every game. As for Gamba, their defense is solid with only two goals conceded in their last five matches.

The two teams have different playing styles. Gamba is more defensive while Kashiwa is more offensive. Therefore, it is more likely that the match will have fewer than 3.5 goals and both teams will not score.

The potential number of goals

Summary of the analysis:
1. Kashiwa Reysol performs well at home, winning 60% of their matches and scoring 9 goals in 5 games. They are a strong offensive team with a potential of 64%, but their defense is also solid with a potential of 57%.
2. Gamba Osaka is also strong away from home, winning 60% of their away matches. However, their offensive potential is quite low at only 29%, and their defense is even weaker at 21%. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 5 goals in their away matches.
3. Based on the number of goals scored and conceded by both teams, it is very likely that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals, with a success probability of 100%.
4. It is also worth noting that it is likely that both teams will not score, also with a success probability of 100%.
This is the key insight we can provide following the analysis of this data. In the game of betting, one must always be aware of all these factors before making a decision.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this J1 League match between Kashiwa Reysol and Gamba Osaka presents interesting betting opportunities. With Kashiwa Reysol’s strong offensive potential, especially when playing at home, supported by solid defensive statistics, it is likely that they will win the match or draw. However, Gamba Osaka’s defensive potential away from home and their weak offensive capabilities suggest a total goal count of less than 2.5 and a low probability of both teams scoring.

A bet on “draw or Kashiwa Reysol to win the match” appears to be an interesting value bet considering the recent performances of both teams. That being said, a bet on an exact score of 1-1 could also be a plausible option, given the relatively balanced offensive and defensive potential of both teams.

In summary, caution is advised in the field of sports betting, and it is crucial to use statistics and provided information to inform your betting choices rather than blindly placing bets.