Tipps Kawasaki Frontale Shonan Bellmare J1 League 26/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Kawasaki Frontale wins the match

1. Kawasaki Frontale has a strong home record, winning 80% (4 out of 5) of their last matches and scoring an average of 2 goals per game. This is superior to Shonan Bellmare’s away performance where they have not won any of their last 5 matches and have scored only an average of 1.4 goals per game.

2. Kawasaki Frontale has the advantage in terms of offensive potential, with a rating of 71% compared to Shonan Bellmare’s 50% offensive potential. Additionally, Kawasaki Frontale has had a better defense at home (36% compared to Shonan Bellmare’s 57% away), which boosts their chances of winning.

3. The bet for Kawasaki Frontale to win the match has a success probability of 46.39%, which is the highest rate among all the betting options (draw and Shonan Bellmare to win the match). This gives Kawasaki Frontale a slight statistical edge to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent goals scored/conceded record: Over their respective last 5 matches at home and away, Kawasaki Frontale scored 13 goals and conceded 14, while Shonan Bellmare scored 8 and conceded 11. The average goals for both teams significantly exceed 2.5 goals.

2. Offensive and defensive potential of both teams: Kawasaki Frontale has an offensive potential of 71% with an average of 2 goals per home match, and a defensive potential of 36% with an average of 1 goal conceded per match. On the other hand, Shonan Bellmare has an offensive potential of 50% with an average of 1.4 goals scored per away match, and a defensive potential of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match. Taken together, this indicates a high number of goals scored and conceded, suggesting a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. Betting statistics: The probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 56.7%, which is a positive forecast for a high-scoring match betting action. Furthermore, the probability for “Both teams to score” is 66.49%, which, combined with the probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” strengthens the argument that it is likely to be a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Kawasaki Frontale at home has shown a strong attacking trend with an average of 2 goals scored per match and has conceded one goal on average in their last five matches, indicating that the team is capable of scoring but also susceptible to conceding goals.

2. Shonan Bellmare has also proven their ability to score away from home with an average of 1.4 goals per match, but has also shown weaknesses in defense by conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

3. Recent statistics for each team show that in most of their matches, both teams have managed to score. Observing the last five matches reveals scores with goals from both sides, suggesting a high likelihood that both teams will score in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Shonan Bellmare wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Shonan Bellmare.

1. The high offensive potential of Kawasaki Frontale at home is at 71%: According to data, Kawasaki Frontale scores an average of 2 goals per match at home, which aligns with the proposed score of 2 goals for them.

2. Shonan Bellmare’s weak defense away from home: Shonan Bellmare concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match during their away games, which also coincides with the proposed score of 1 goal for Kawasaki Frontale.

3. The recent results of both teams: Kawasaki Frontale has a winning trend at home, having won 4 out of their last 5 matches, while Shonan Bellmare has a poor away performance, not winning any of their last 5 matches. This trend suggests that Kawasaki Frontale is likely to emerge victorious, which is in line with the prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kawasaki Frontale is formidable at home with 80% recent win rate, and scores around 2 goals per match. However, they have also conceded 14 goals, so their defense is being tested.

On the other hand, Shonan Bellmare struggle away with 0% wins and only 40% draws. They score fewer goals on average (1.4) and concede more (1.6).

There is a 46.39% chance of Kawasaki Frontale winning, according to the probabilities. Another safe option would be a draw or Kawasaki Frontale winning, with a success probability of 80.41%.

A high-scoring match is expected, with an 85.57% chance of over 1.5 goals being scored. Both teams could potentially score, with a probability of 66.49%.

Previous encounters clearly show why Kawasaki is favorite at home, while Shonan struggles away. Based on these data, it appears more likely that Kawasaki Frontale will win the match.

The potential number of goals

Kawasaki Frontale has had an impressive performance in their last 5 home matches, with an 80% win rate. They have averaged 2 goals per match, indicating a 71% offensive potential. Defensively, they concede 1 goal per match, showing a 36% defensive potential.

In comparison, Shonan Bellmare has struggled away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They average 1.4 goals per match, indicating a 50% offensive potential. Their defense has been lacking, conceding 1.6 goals per match, with a 57% defensive potential.

The probabilities favor Kawasaki Frontale with a win rate of 46.39% compared to 19.59% for Shonan Bellmare. A draw has a probability of 34.02%.

It is highly likely that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match (85.57% probability). More than 2.5 goals also have a relatively high probability of 56.7%. Less likely is the option of under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 69.07%.

Considering their recent performances, Kawasaki remains in good form with high scores against various opponents. Shonan Bellmare, on the other hand, struggles to maintain consistency away from home.

In conclusion, Kawasaki Frontale appears to be the favorite for this match, and based on their recent offensive performance, we can expect to see more than 2.5 goals in this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, based on this detailed analysis, Kawasaki Frontale has a clear advantage for this match against Shonan Bellmare. With an impressive home performance, superior offense, and stronger defense, the numbers strongly support a victory for Kawasaki Frontale. That being said, sports events are unpredictable, and Shonan Bellmare could surprise.

In terms of goals, the trend leans towards a high-scoring match with a significant probability of over 2.5 goals. The offensive movements and weak defenses of both teams indeed point towards several goals in this match. As for interesting bets, “Draw or Shonan Bellmare to win the match” could represent a value bet, although unexpected.

In conclusion, bets should remain cautious and measured, despite strong probabilities in favor of Kawasaki Frontale and a high number of goals. Although predictions are based on statistical and historical facts, it is essential to remember that sports, including football, remain unpredictable and anything can happen on the field. Every bet involves risk, therefore, only bet what you are willing to lose.