Tipps Khimki Chernomorets Premier League 25/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics provided and the teams’ past performances, my prediction is as follows: “Khimki wins the match”.

1. Khimki has a better record in their last 5 home matches compared to Chernomorets away from home (60% wins for Khimki compared to 20% for Chernomorets). This indicates a stronger performance from the Khimki team when playing on their own turf.
2. The goal ratio for Khimki at home is more significant than Chernomorets away from home. Khimki averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per home match, while Chernomorets only scores 0.4 goals and concedes 1 goal in their away matches. Khimki’s offensive potential (79%) is therefore much higher than Chernomorets (14%).
3. The recent home match history of Khimki shows a greater ability to score goals (e.g. 5 goals against FK Sokol Saratov and 3 goals against Arsenal Tula), while Chernomorets struggles to score when playing away (e.g. only 1 goal in each of their last 4 away matches).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Chernomorets’ offensive performance away from home is very weak, with just an average of 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 away games. This suggests a low number of goals for this match.
2. Alternatively, Khimki has a fairly strong defensive potential at home, conceding only an average of 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 home games, indicating they could limit the number of goals scored by Chernomorets.
3. Finally, recent results indicate that when Khimki plays at home or Chernomorets plays away, matches have generally ended with less than 2.5 goals scored, further supporting the prediction of Under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of the Chernomorets team is very low when they play away, scoring on average only 0.4 goals per match. So, it seems unlikely that they will score in this match against Khimki.

2. Khimki has a relatively strong defensive potential at home, conceding an average of only 1.4 goals per match. This means they are generally very effective in preventing opposing teams from scoring on their own turf.

3. Khimki has had several recent home matches in which the opposing team failed to score (Khimki 1 – 0 KAMAZ, Khimki 0 – 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl, Khimki 0 – 0 Rostov), which strengthens the potential for a “Both Teams to Score: No” outcome.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Khimki 2-1 Chernomorets

1. Khimki’s home statistics are very positive: with a victory in 60% of cases and an average of 2.2 goals scored per match, Khimki has significant offensive potential. Additionally, Khimki has scored at least two goals in three of their last five home matches.

2. Chernomorets has shown a weakness in offense in their away matches, with only 4 goals scored in their last 5 matches. However, they managed to score at least 1 goal in two of their last five away matches.

3. Defensively, Khimki concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, which is higher than the number of goals Chernomorets scores on average away from home (0.4). Furthermore, Khimki has conceded at least one goal in three of their last five home matches. This suggests that Chernomorets could manage to score a goal despite their weak offensive potential away from home.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Khimki shows a strong home performance with a 60% win rate. The total goal score in the last 5 matches (9 goals) demonstrates their ability to create offensive opportunities.

On the other hand, Chernomorets has a lower away win percentage (20%). However, their draw rate is 60%, indicating a strong defense.

Assessing their offensive and defensive potential, Khimki holds an advantage with an average of 2.2 goals per match compared to only 0.4 goals for Chernomorets.

In terms of defense, Khimki concedes an average of 1.4 goals while Chernomorets concedes 1 goal, a factor that could play in Chernomorets’ favor.

The match outcome probabilities are neutral. Furthermore, based on the teams’ performances, there is a 100% probability that both teams will not score in the same match, which could indicate a tight, low-scoring game.

Khimki’s past home performances have shown high scores, including a notable 5-4 victory against FK Sokol Saratov. Chernomorets has managed to draw in three of its away matches, despite a 1-0 loss to KAMAZ.

In conclusion, Khimki’s strong home trend and past scores suggest a likely victory for Khimki, with a forecast of fewer than 4.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Khimki, playing at home, have a solid performance with a 60% win rate in their matches. They score an average of 2.2 goals and concede 1.4 goals, showing a strong offense at 79% and a decent defense at 50%. The recent matches have seen many goals.

Chernomorets, on the other hand, struggle away from home, with only a 20% win rate. They only score a mere 0.4 goals on average, but concede 1 goal. Their offensive potential is only at 14%, while their defense is at 36%. Their recent performance on the road was poor.

Unfortunately, it is impossible to make a precise prediction as the win probabilities for Khimki, Chernomorets, or a draw are all currently at 0%.

However, there is a 100% chance that both teams will not score in this match. Additionally, it is highly likely that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals as this situation has a 100% probability based on our data.

Despite the statistics, the outcome of the match remains uncertain.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After a thorough study of all available statistics, it is clear that Khimki has a clear advantage in terms of past performances, current form, and home match statistics. However, this does not necessarily guarantee a win for Khimki, as football is an unpredictable sport. Nevertheless, we can place a bet on a Khimki victory, and it is unlikely that both teams will score, with an interesting betting value on “under 3.5 goals in the match”. Regarding the exact score, although it is always a highly uncertain prediction, considering recent trends, a score of 2-1 in favor of Khimki could be considered. Sports betting is a complex equation involving a multitude of factors. That is why, even with all the data and statistics available, the final result always remains uncertain until the final whistle.