Tipps Kilmarnock Celtic Premiership 15/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Celtic wins the match”

1. Celtic has a stronger offensive capacity compared to Kilmarnock. Indeed, Celtic has scored an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last 5 away matches, while Kilmarnock has only scored 1 goal per game at home during the same period.

2. Despite a slightly weaker defense by conceding 1 goal per game on average away from home, Celtic boasts a higher defensive potential (36%) compared to Kilmarnock at home (29%). Celtic seems more capable of withstanding opponent attacks even when playing away.

3. The statistical prediction gives a high probability (70.68%) of success for Celtic. This is the highest rate among the three possible outcomes (Kilmarnock win, draw, Celtic win).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Over their last 5 matches, Kilmarnock has scored 9 goals and Celtic has scored 11, averaging over 2.5 goals per match.
2. Celtic has a high offensive potential when playing away, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per match, increasing the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals in the game.
3. The calculated probabilities confirm this trend, with a success probability of 57.07% for the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Offensive and Defensive Rates: Both teams have shown strong offensive and defensive rates in their previous matches. Kilmarnock has an average of one goal per home match, while Celtic scores an average of 2.6 goals per away match. Therefore, we can expect at least one goal to be scored from both sides.

2. Recent History: Recent away fixtures for Celtic have seen a trend of both teams scoring, such as matches against Dundee, Aberdeen, and Rangers. A similar pattern can be seen in some of Kilmarnock’s home matches, like those against St. Mirren and Rangers.

3. Betting Statistics: According to the provided probabilities, “Both teams to score” has a success rate of 50.79%, which is relatively high compared to other scenarios. This statistic suggests that the teams have the potential to score goals in such a match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Kilmarnock wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Kilmarnock 1-2 Celtic

1. The performance of Celtic: The majority of Celtic’s recent away matches have resulted in a win or a draw, coupled with their high win probability (70.68%), this argues in favor of their victory. Additionally, Celtic scores on average 2.6 goals per away match, which aligns with the predicted exact score of 2 goals scored by Celtic.

2. Kilmarnock’s offense-defense record: Kilmarnock has a lower offensive potential at home (36%) but maintains an average of at least one goal scored per match. At the same time, they have conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match, which fits with a match with an exact score of 1-2.

3. Goal statistics: Based on the probabilities, there is a 79.06% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored in the match, a 57.07% chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored, and a 50.79% chance that both teams will score. These statistics support the prediction of an exact score of 1-2 in favor of Celtic.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kilmarnock shows a decent form at home, with a 60% win rate. However, their defense remains leaky with 9 goals conceded in 5 matches.

Celtic struggles away from home, with only a 40% win rate. Their games are high-scoring with an average of 2.6 goals scored, but they have a fragile defense with 13 goals conceded.

The numerical analysis gives Celtic a clear advantage with a 70.68% chance of winning the match. The odds reflect this trend with Celtic’s victory priced at 1.35.

There is likely to be over 1.5 goals in the match (79.06% chance), with odds at 1.14.

Probabilities, however, indicate that both teams could score (50.79% chance).

Analyzing recent matches, Celtic has shown signs of defensive vulnerability, especially in their game against Rangers (3-3). On the other hand, Kilmarnock has demonstrated an ability to score against strong teams, as seen in their match against St. Mirren (5-2).

In conclusion, a probably lively match with a Celtic win and a high probability of both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Kilmarnock has a mixed home performance with a 60% win rate and 9 goals scored in the last 5 matches. The offensive potential would be 36% and the defensive 29%. Celtic, away from home, holds a similar record with a 40% win rate and 11 goals scored. Its offensive potential reaches 93% and defensive 36%.

Head-to-head, Celtic is more likely to win, with a probability of 70.68% compared to 12.57% for Kilmarnock. A draw has a 16.75% chance of occurring.

In terms of goals, a total over 1.5 is the most likely, with a probability of 79.06%. Less than 3.5 goals have a 71.73% chance of being scored. Moreover, there is about an equal chance of both teams scoring (50.79%) and not scoring (49.21%).

Kilmarnock’s recent home clashes have been relatively stable, with the exception of the match against St. Mirren. Celtic has had a varied away performance, with both wins, draws, and a defeat.

These elements suggest a potentially closely contested match, with Celtic as the potential favorite but with the possibility of a low-scoring game.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on previous statistics and the performances of both teams, this Premiership match promises to be exciting. Although Celtic appears to be the favorite, with an impressive attacking ability and the highest probability of winning, Kilmarnock has shown strength at home that could allow them to resist or even surprise.

It is highly likely that this match will have more than 1.5 goals, with a 79.06% chance. This is mainly due to Celtic’s significant offensive potential and Kilmarnock’s tendency to score at home. Furthermore, both teams are highly likely to score in this match, with the probability being almost equal to a draw.

The most interesting betting options for bettors could be “Celtic to win the match” or “Over 2.5 goals in the match.” However, as always in sports betting, it is important to consider all aspects and not rely solely on probabilities. Current form of the teams, potential injuries to key players, or other non-quantifiable factors that could impact the match should also be taken into account.

In conclusion, approaching this match, it seems that Celtic has a good chance of winning, but Kilmarnock should not be dismissed too quickly. Both teams have the potential to score, making this match highly anticipated by football fans and bettors.