Tipps Konyaspor Samsunspor Süper Lig 12/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Konyaspor wins the match.

1. Translation:
“1. Konyaspor’s home performance history: In their last 5 home matches, Konyaspor won once and drew twice, showing some solid home performance.”

2. Translation:
“2. Samsunspor’s away performances: In their last 5 away matches, Samsunspor has never won and drew twice. This highlights Samsunspor’s struggles in away matches.”

3. Translation:
“3. Success probability: Based on the provided probabilities, the forecast ‘Draw or Konyaspor to win the match’ has a success probability of 77.89%. This high probability clearly favors this forecast.”

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent goal statistics of both teams are quite low. In particular, Samsunspor has a very low number of goals away from home (only 2 goals in the last 5 matches), suggesting limited offensive potential.
2. The average goals per match for Konyaspor (0.6 goals) and Samsunspor (1 goal) do not reach 2.5 goals, reinforcing the hypothesis of a low-scoring match.
3. In the last 5 home matches of Konyaspor and the last 5 away matches of Samsunspor, a majority of these matches ended with less than 2.5 goals, reflecting a consistent trend towards low-scoring games.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Konyaspor has a fairly high defensive potential while Samsunspor has a very low offensive potential, which could make a goal from Samsunspor unlikely.

2. In their last 5 away matches, Samsunspor has only scored 2 goals, indicating a lack of offensive strength.

3. Furthermore, in recent matches, the number of goals between the two teams is expected to be low (under 1.5 goals: 2.83), suggesting that both teams are unlikely to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 1.5 goals in the match: 2.83

Bet on the exact result

Konyaspor 1-1 Samsunspor

1. Recent match statistics indicate that Konyaspor has a low home win rate (20%) and a high draw rate (40%). Samsunspor, when playing away, also has a high draw rate (40%) and no wins, pointing towards a draw between these two teams.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive potential of the two teams, Konyaspor (0.6 goals per match) and Samsunspor (1 goal per match) have both been scoring on average in recent matches, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

3. The betting model supports the 1-1 prediction, with the probability of over 1.5 goals in the match being quite high (66.32%), and the probability of under 3.5 goals being extremely high (86.32%). Therefore, a 1-1 score falls within this range.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Konyaspor, at home, has a 20% chance of winning and a 40% chance of a draw in the last few matches. They have scored and conceded an equal number of goals, at 5. Their offensive potential is low at 21%, while the defensive potential is average at 43%.

Samsunspor, on the other hand, has not won any of their recent away matches. They have managed to draw 40% of matches, with a score of 2 goals scored to 3 conceded. The numbers reveal a slightly higher offensive potential than Konyaspor at 36% and a weak defensive potential at 29%.

The probability of Konyaspor winning is 44.21% and the probability of a draw is 33.68%. In contrast, Samsunspor only has a 22.11% chance of winning.

A safe bet is that the match will have less than 4.5 goals with a probability of 96.84%. The option of more than 1.5 goals is also quite likely at 66.32%.

The chance of both teams scoring is almost the same as them not scoring, hovering around 50%.

In summary, the match looks to be quite tight with few goals expected. The victory will most likely be on Konyaspor’s side or end in a draw.

The potential number of goals

Konyaspor has a 20% home win rate in 5 matches, scoring 5 goals at an average of 0.6 per game, with a 21% offensive potential. Their defense, however, is lacking as they have conceded 5 goals, averaging 1.2 per game, resulting in a 43% defensive performance.

On the other hand, Samsunspor performs well defensively in away matches, conceding only 3 goals in 5 games at an average of 0.8 per match and a 29% defensive performance. Unfortunately, they have struggled to score with only 2 goals, averaging 0.4 per game and a 36% offensive potential. They have not won any of their last 5 away matches.

Statistically, Konyaspor remains the favorite with a 44.21% probability of winning. However, a draw is also possible with a 33.68% probability.

In terms of the number of goals, there is a high probability (86.32%) of having fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.

In conclusion, considering Samsunspor’s strong defense and Konyaspor’s limited offensive potential, a bet on few goals could be considered, with a 66.32% probability of more than 1.5 goals and a 50.53% probability of both teams not scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the past performances and recent statistics, the match between Konyaspor and Samsunspor is expected to be tight and likely to have a low number of goals. The slight edge for victory goes to Konyaspor, as they have shown strength at home despite a weak offensive potential. However, a draw is a realistic possibility, especially given the away performances of Samsunspor. The bet “Draw or Konyaspor to win the match” has a success rate of 77.89%, making it a smart choice for bettors. It could also be worth considering betting on the number of goals, with fewer than 2.5 goals expected in the game, and the likelihood that both teams may not score. Lastly, the suggested value bet “Under 1.5 goals in the match: 2.83” could provide an interesting return on investment for bettors looking for higher odds bets.