Tipps Koper Aluminij Prva Liga - Slovenie 11/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Koper wins the match.

1. Statistically, Koper has a better home performance with 20% wins and 60% draws in their last 5 matches, compared to Aluminij’s 20% wins and 40% draws away from home.

2. Koper has a superior offensive potential to Aluminij, with an average of 1.4 goals per match compared to only 0.4 for Aluminij. Coupled with a defensive potential of 64% compared to only 50% for Aluminij, highlighted by goals conceded in the last 5 matches, Koper seems more likely to withstand Aluminij.

3. The statistical probability determines that the scenario “Draw or Koper wins the match” has a success rate of 77.91%, which is significantly higher than the scenario “Aluminij wins the match” at 22.09%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Goal statistics: In their last 5 matches, Koper scored 5 goals and Aluminij scored 4 goals, averaging less than 2.5 goals per match.
2. Offensive potential: Koper’s offensive potential is 50% while Aluminij’s is only 14%, indicating that it is less likely for both teams combined to score more than 2.5 goals.
3. Previous results: In the majority of Koper’s home matches and Aluminij’s away matches, the total number of goals did not exceed 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The history of goals scored and conceded by both teams shows a tendency towards matches where both teams score. For example, Koper has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 home matches, while Aluminij has scored 4 goals and conceded 11 in their last 5 away matches.

2. The analysis of the average performances of Koper and Aluminij at home and away also indicates a potential for both teams to score in the match: Koper has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 64%, while Aluminij has an offensive potential of 14% and a defensive potential of 50%.

3. Finally, by analyzing the previous scores of Koper’s home matches and Aluminij’s away matches, a large majority of the matches end with both teams scoring a goal. This is the case in matches like Koper 1 – 1 Mura, Koper 2 – 1 Mura, Celje 2 – 2 Aluminij, and Radomlje 1 – 2 Aluminij.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Koper 1-0 Aluminij

1. Taking into account their recent stats, Koper is statistically superior to Aluminij both offensively and defensively. Koper has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive capacity of 64% compared to 14% and 50% for Aluminij. Furthermore, Koper is the favorite with a success probability of 55.81% to win the match, which supports the prediction of their advantage.

2. Recent performances also show that Koper has good form at home, despite some losses, they have managed to score in every game. In comparison, Aluminij struggles to score away from home with an average of 0.4 goals per match, suggesting they may find it difficult to find the back of the net in the upcoming match.

3. Betting probabilities on the total goals indicate that the match is likely to be low-scoring. For example, the bet for under 3.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 84.88%, while the bet “Both teams not to score” has a probability of 43.6%. These data indicate that the score could indeed be 1-0.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Koper, at home, has had mixed form with 20% wins and 60% draws recently. The team has an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 64%, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.8.

On the other hand, Aluminij away scores an average of 0.4 goals per match and concedes 1.4. Their offensive potential is low at 14%, while defensively it is at 50%.

Koper is the favorite with a 55.81% probability of winning. There is also a 77.91% chance of either a draw or a Koper win.

Koper’s matches tend to have more than 1.5 goals (84.3% probability) but less than 3.5 goals (84.88% probability).

The probability of both teams scoring is 56.4%. However, Koper has not excelled offensively with only 5 goals in 5 matches.

Aluminij’s recent away results are concerning, especially the 7-0 defeat against Maribor.

In summary, Koper seems to have the advantage. Prediction: either Koper wins or it’s a draw.

The potential number of goals

Koper has shown a good performance at home, with only 1 defeat in 5 matches and a 20% win rate but notably a 60% draw rate. The team has scored 5 goals and conceded 6, so attention should be paid to the defense, which seems a bit shaky.

Away from home, Aluminij has a more mixed performance with a 20% win rate and 40% draw rate. With 4 goals scored and 11 goals conceded, Aluminij will need to strengthen their defense to hope for a win.

With an offensive potential of 50%, Koper usually plays more offensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, so Aluminij may have opportunities to score.

However, Aluminij has only a 14% offensive potential when away, so Koper has a good chance of keeping a clean sheet.

Statistics seem to give Koper an advantage with a 55.81% probability of winning the match. A draw also seems likely at 22.09%.

Few goals are expected in this match, with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals (84.88%). A good part of the game could therefore be played in the midfield.

There is also a 56.4% chance that both teams will score, so we could see action from both sides of the field.

In conclusion, Koper appears to be the favorite but a draw is not out of the question. Aluminij will need to defend solidly to hope for a positive result. Betting on less than 3.5 goals in the match seems like a safe bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account statistical factors and the recent performances of both teams, Koper appears to have the advantage for this match due to a stronger defense and higher offensive potential. However, a draw would not be surprising given both teams’ tendency to finish matches without a clear winner. On the other hand, in terms of attack, Aluminij may struggle to score, especially against a solid home team like Koper. As for the number of goals, the match is likely to be tight with a good chance of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals. Lastly, while Koper may be the favorite, football is unpredictable and a single event can change the course of the match. Therefore, it is crucial to carefully analyze each bet before placing your wagers.