Tipps Korona Kielce Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa 10/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Korona Kielce wins the match.

1. Statistically, Korona Kielce has won 40% of their home matches and drawn 20% of the time. Their offensive potential at home is also at 50%, meaning they have good chances of scoring goals and potentially winning the match.

2. Cracovia Krakow, although also having won 40% of their away matches, has only scored 4 goals, significantly fewer than Korona Kielce. Their offensive potential away from home is only at 43%, suggesting they might struggle to score against Korona Kielce.

3. The odds also indicate a 72.38% probability that the match will end in a draw or a victory for Korona Kielce, which is much higher than other possibilities. This suggests that bookmakers also believe these two scenarios are the most likely.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The statistics show that Korona Kielce and Cracovia Krakow have an average to high defensive capacity, with 64% and 36% defensive potential over their last 5 matches respectively. This means they are generally able to prevent the opponent from scoring many goals.

2. The average goals scored per match by Korona Kielce and Cracovia Krakow are 1.4 and 1.2 respectively. Over the last 5 matches, it is just over 2 goals on average combined, which favors a total of less than 2.5 goals in the upcoming match.

3. Analysis of Cracovia Krakow’s recent away matches reveals they have often scored few goals. Additionally, Korona Kielce has had low-scoring home matches, as seen in the scores against Legia Warszawa and Ruch Chorzów.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The recent statistics of both teams show the ability to score in their recent matches: Korona Kielce has scored 10 goals in 5 home matches and Cracovia Krakow has scored 4 goals in 5 away matches.
2. The frequency of goals conceded by both teams suggests a trend for matches where both teams score: Korona Kielce has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Cracovia Krakow has conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. The calculated probabilities suggest a moderate chance of both teams scoring, with a success probability of 53.04%.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Korona Kielce 2-1 Cracovia Krakow

1. Korona Kielce’s home efficiency: Over the last 5 home matches, Korona Kielce has shown an ability to score goals with an average of 1.4 goals per game and an offensive potential of 50%, highlighting their competitive attacking strength at home. They have also won 40% of these matches, suggesting some confidence at home.

2. Cracovia Krakow’s vulnerability on the road: Cracovia Krakow has conceded an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 away matches, and despite an average of 1.2 goals scored per game, their defensive potential of only 36% on the road could be exploited by Korona Kielce.

3. Probabilities indicating a close match: The probabilities show a slight tilt in favor of Korona Kielce, with a 45.86% chance of winning the match against 27.62% for Cracovia Krakow. Furthermore, there is a 72.38% success probability for “Draw or Korona Kielce Wins” bet. These probabilities suggest that, even though the match could be close, Korona Kielce has a reasonable chance of winning 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Korona Kielce is in average form at home, with 2 wins including an important one against Górnik Łęczna (6-1). However, they have scored fewer goals than they have conceded in their last 5 matches.

Cracovia Krakow, on the other hand, has a similar form away from home. They also have 2 wins but have scored fewer goals (4 goals) and also conceded fewer (5 goals).

In terms of statistics, Korona Kielce has an attacking potential of 50% compared to 43% for Cracovia Krakow. Defensively, Korona Kielce has an advantage with 64% compared to 36% for Cracovia Krakow.

According to the probabilities, Korona Kielce has a 45.86% chance of winning and Cracovia Krakow 27.62%. A draw is also possible at 26.52%.

There is a high probability of seeing fewer than 4.5 goals in the match (100% success rate) and a 72.38% probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals.

As for the “both teams to score” bet, the chances are almost balanced with 53.04% for yes and 46.96% for no.

Based on these statistics, the forecast is leaning towards a low-scoring match but with a slight advantage for Korona Kielce.

The potential number of goals

Korona Kielce shows some offensive strength at home, scoring an average of 1.4 goals, but is not as solid in defense, conceding 1.8 goals on average. Cracovia Krakow, when playing away, scores fewer goals (1.2 on average), but proves to be solid in defense by only conceding one goal per match. This gives Korona Kielce an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 64%, while Cracovia Krakow exhibits an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 36%.

Looking at the statistics from the last five matches, Korona Kielce has won 40% of its home games and Cracovia Krakow has managed to win 40% of its away games. Therefore, evenly matched games.

The probability of Korona Kielce winning the match is slightly higher (45.86%) than that of Cracovia Krakow (27.62%). This results in odds of 2.15 for a Korona Kielce victory and 3.35 for a Cracovia Krakow victory.

The possibility of a draw should not be overlooked, with a probability of 26.52%. The odds for a draw or the victory of either team are respectively 1.30 for Korona Kielce and 1.67 for Cracovia Krakow.

In terms of goals, there is a strong probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals at 72.38%, reflected in the odds of 1.33. Similarly, there is a high probability (85.08%) of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals, hence the odds of 1.28.

Finally, both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a slight edge to the affirmative at 53.04%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on all the factual and statistical analyses presented, it appears that Korona Kielce has a slight advantage over Cracovia Krakow for this match, especially when it comes to home performances. That being said, it is important to keep in mind that football is an unpredictable sport, and while statistics can give us an indication of what is most likely, they do not guarantee a certain result.

Regarding goals, both teams have shown an ability to score, but also to keep a clean sheet. Therefore, a bet of “Under 2.5 goals in the match” seems like a wise choice, supported by attractive odds values.

Overall, this match seems to be a balanced encounter with a slight lean towards Korona Kielce. Betting on a victory for Korona Kielce or a draw, with under 2.5 goals, could be a smart bet. However, due to the inherent unpredictability of sports, it is always recommended to bet with caution.