Tipps Korona Kielce Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa 05/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Piast Gliwice wins the match

1. Piast Gliwice has a probability of 37.77% to win the match, which is higher than the other possible outcomes. This indicates that the statistics are in favor of Piast Gliwice.

2. The defensive potential of Piast Gliwice away from home is superior to that of Korona Kielce at home, with statistics showing that Piast Gliwice concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match compared to 1 goal for Korona Kielce.

3. Analysis of Piast Gliwice’s recent away matches shows that even though their win rate is low, they managed to win a match with a score of 2-0 against Pogon Szczecin, indicating that they are capable of a solid performance away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics for Korona Kielce at home and Piast Gliwice away show a relatively low number of goals scored. Korona Kielce has scored 8 goals in 5 matches (1.6 per match) and Piast Gliwice has scored 4 goals in 5 matches (0.8 per match), indicating a general trend towards low-scoring matches between these teams.

2. Analyses of offensive and defensive potentials for Korona Kielce at home and Piast Gliwice away also suggest a lower probability of many goals. Korona Kielce has a 50% offensive potential and a 36% defensive potential, while Piast Gliwice has a 50% offensive potential and a 21% defensive potential. This means the teams tend to score less and defend better, potentially leading to a total of goals under 2.5.

3. The odds also indicate that a match with under 2.5 goals is more likely. The odds for “under 2.5 goals in the match” are significantly lower (1.52) than for “over 2.5 goals in the match” (2.45), reflecting bookmakers’ opinion that this scenario is more probable.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Piast Gliwice’s recent defensive statistics away from home are weak, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match, indicating that the team struggles to keep a clean sheet.
2. Korona Kielce has shown solid defensive capabilities at home, conceding only 9 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1 goal per game.
3. The calculated probabilities suggest that both teams will not score with a success probability of 57.98%, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (42.02%). This suggests that the match is more likely to end with only one team scoring or no goals being scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Over 1.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice

1. The statistics from previous matches between Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice show an average score of 1.4 goals each, which strengthens the prediction of a draw with a score of 1-1.
2. By analyzing Piast Gliwice’s performance away from home, they score an average of 1.4 goals but also concede more goals than Korona Kielce at home. This indicates some defensive weakness that could allow Korona Kielce to score.
3. The “draw” bet has a success probability of 31.91%, the second highest among the three possible outcomes (Korona Kielce win, draw, Piast Gliwice win). This suggests that according to statistical analysis, a draw is very likely.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Korona Kielce shows a good home performance with a 40% win rate. They have scored 8 goals, averaging 1.4 per match. Their defense has conceded 9 goals, averaging 1 per match. They seem balanced both offensively and defensively.

On the other hand, Piast Gliwice has performed less well away from home with only a 20% win rate. They have also scored 4 goals, averaging 1.4 per match, but their defense has conceded more goals with a total of 7, averaging 1.4 per match.

In terms of probabilities, there is a higher likelihood of Piast Gliwice winning with 37.77% compared to 30.32% for Korona Kielce, even though the latter is playing at home. However, the success rate for a draw or a Korona Kielce win is quite high, at 62.23%.

Regarding goals, a low-scoring match is expected with a 61.7% probability of more than 1.5 goals and a strong probability of 91.49% of less than 3.5 goals.

Finally, the chances of both teams scoring are at 42.02% compared to 57.98% for one or both teams not scoring.

In conclusion, the match seems likely to have a low score and could favor Piast Gliwice despite Korona Kielce’s home performance. However, football remains unpredictable, and anything can happen in 90 minutes.

The potential number of goals

The match between Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice is expected to be close. Let’s assess their recent performances.

With a 40% home win rate, Korona Kielce is a strong team on their turf. They have managed to assert their dominance by scoring 8 goals at home. However, conceding 9 goals indicates some defensive fragility.

On the other hand, Piast Gliwice struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate and has scored just 4 goals in their last 5 matches, while conceding 7 goals.

In terms of team potential, both sides exhibit a similar offensive potential of 50%. However, Korona Kielce boasts a superior defensive potential at 36% compared to Piast Gliwice’s 21%.

Regarding predictions, the match is very open with a slight edge towards Piast Gliwice, with an estimated win probability of 37.77% compared to 30.32% for Korona Kielce. A draw is also plausible with a 31.91% probability.

In terms of goals, the match is more likely to have fewer than 3.5 goals with a 91.49% probability.

Moreover, there is a 57.98% chance that one of the teams will fail to score in this match.

Based on this information, we can predict a low-scoring match and a balanced competition. A victory for Piast Gliwice or a draw seems to be a realistic prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis of this match between Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice slightly favors Piast Gliwice for the win. However, the home performances of Korona Kielce should not be overlooked, leaving room for a draw.

The analysis also predicts a match with a limited number of goals, especially with a high probability of under 3.5 goals in the match. The bet on over 1.5 goals seems to offer good value.

Furthermore, the option of both teams failing to score has a higher probability, suggesting that we could see a match with one or neither team scoring a goal.

In any case, sports betting always involves a degree of uncertainty and it is important to take that into consideration. Each bettor should conduct their own research and make decisions before placing a bet. Therefore, while this overview provides a thorough analysis, it does not guarantee a winning outcome. Football is inherently unpredictable and surprises are common.