Tipps Kortrijk Gent Jupiler Pro League 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“The Gent wins the match.”

1. The win rate of Gent in their last 5 away matches is 80%, which is significantly higher than Courtrai’s home win rate (40%). This shows that Gent performs strongly when playing away.

2. Gent’s offensive potential in their last 5 away matches is 79%, and defensive potential is 29%. Comparing these numbers with Courtrai’s home stats (Offensive potential of 57% and defensive of 36%), Gent has both a better offense and defense.

3. The probability of Gent winning the match is calculated at 61.8%, which is much higher than Courtrai’s win probability (13.48%) or a draw (24.72%). The betting market also supports this hypothesis with lower odds for Gent’s victory (1.57).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics: Both teams have a good rate of recent goals. Courtrai has scored 8 goals in 5 home matches and La Gantoise has scored 12 goals in 5 away matches. This means that they both have an average of scoring over 1.5 goals per match.

2. Offensive potential: Courtrai’s offensive potential is 57% at home while La Gantoise’s is 79% away. This highlights their ability to score goals, which could result in a total goals scored in the match higher than 2.5.

3. Betting market probability: The betting market indicates a probability of 64.04% for over 2.5 goals in the match, reflecting a common trend of teams playing in high-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Over the last five matches, Courtrai and La Gantoise have shown a notable offensive ability, scoring an average of 1.6 and 2.2 goals per match respectively. This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in the upcoming match.

2. Statistics also demonstrate a defensive weakness from both teams, with Courtrai conceding 9 goals at home and La Gantoise conceding 14 goals away in their last 5 matches. This raises the chances of each team allowing at least one goal.

3. The final argument concerns the results of La Gantoise’s previous away matches and Courtrai’s home matches: in all these matches, both teams have scored or conceded at least one goal, reinforcing the prediction that both teams will score in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Courtrai 1-2 La Gantoise

1. Gent has a higher win rate performance (80%) compared to Kortrijk (40%) in their last 5 respective matches. Gent also has a high success probability (61.8%) for winning the match against Kortrijk (13.48%).

2. Gent has a higher offensive potential (79%) and scores an average of 2.2 goals per match away from home, while Kortrijk has a lower offensive potential (57%) and scores an average of 1.6 goals at home. This explains the potential final score prediction of 1-2.

3. Both teams have a high probability (64.04%) of scoring in the match. With Kortrijk’s defense conceding an average of 1 goal per match at home and Gent scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match away, a scoreline of 1-2 seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Courtrai scores an average of 1.6 goals per game at home, but concedes 1 goal. Their offensive potential is 57% and defensive is 36%. Gent, when playing away, scores an average of 2.2 goals and concedes only 0.8, with an offensive potential of 79% and defensive of 29%.

In the last 5 matches, Courtrai has won 40% of the time and drawn 60% of the time, scoring 8 goals and conceding 9. Gent has won 80% of away matches, scored 12 goals, and conceded 14 goals.

The probabilities for this match are as follows: Courtrai to win with a 13.48% chance, draw with a 24.72% chance, and Gent to win with a 61.8% chance.

The probability of seeing over 1.5 goals is 85.39%, and 64.04% for over 2.5 goals. Also, both teams have a 64.04% chance of scoring.

Based on this information, the most likely prediction would be a win for Gent, with a high-scoring game.

The potential number of goals

Courtrai has a mixed record at home, with 40% wins and 60% draws. Average goals scored: 1.6. Average goals conceded: 1.

Gent is fierce away from home. They win 80% of the time. Their average goals scored increase to 2.2 and conceded to 0.8.

Courtrai’s offensive capacity is at 57%, defensive at 36%. Gent shows higher numbers: offensive at 79% and defensive at 29%.

Courtrai’s recent home matches have been generally unfavorable. Gent has been particularly successful on their outings.

The probability of victory for Gent is high, at 61.8%. Courtrai’s is much lower, at 13.48%. A draw is possible, at 24.72%.

The number of goals in the match could exceed 2.5, with a probability of 64.04%. There is also a 64.04% chance of both teams scoring.

In summary, Gent seems well equipped for this match. But football always has surprises in store. So, let the betting begin!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistical indicators give a significant advantage to La Gantoise in their confrontation against Courtrai. With a 80% winning rate in their away matches, superior offensive and defensive potential, and a 61.8% probability of winning, it is highly recommended to bet on La Gantoise’s victory.

Regarding more specific aspects of the match, there is a high probability (64.04%) that the match will have over 2.5 goals and both teams will score. Taking into account the recent performances and trends of both teams, the most likely prediction leans towards a 1-2 score in favor of La Gantoise.

As for an interesting ‘value bet,’ the draw, despite a lower probability (24.72%), could represent a value-added betting opportunity, given the comparable recent performances of both teams.

In summary, although statistics strongly support a victory for La Gantoise, football is a sport where the element of surprise is always present. Therefore, each bettor should consider these probabilities while also adding their own judgment to the mix.