Tipps Kosovo Cyprus UEFA Nations League 15/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Kosovo wins the match”

1. Probability of Kosovo’s victory: The probability of Kosovo winning the match is 69.79%, which represents a high success rate. These statistical data place Kosovo as the favorite for the match.

2. Kosovo’s home record: Kosovo’s home record shows that they have managed to maintain a certain balance, with one win and two draws in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have scored 3 goals and conceded the same amount, demonstrating their defensive solidity at home.

3. Cyprus’s defensive record away: In their last 5 away matches, Cyprus has conceded 13 goals, averaging 2.6 goals per match. This unfavorable record for the team provides an opportunity for Kosovo to take advantage of these defensive weaknesses and increase their chances of victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Kosovo’s home performances have been weak with only 3 goals scored in their last 5 matches. This suggests that the Kosovo team struggles to score, making a match with over 2.5 goals less likely.

2. Cyprus’s away performances should also be considered, showing a tendency to concede goals. However, they also have an average of less than 2 goals scored per away match.

3. The histories of both teams also indicate a trend towards low-scoring matches. In their recent matches, scores have generally remained below 3, supporting the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Kosovo has a relatively strong defensive performance at home, conceding only 1.6 goals on average in their last 5 matches. This suggests they may be able to restrict Cyprus from scoring.

2. Cyprus has a poor offensive performance away from home, averaging 1.4 goals per match. This low scoring rate in their away games indicates they will struggle to score when facing Kosovo.

3. Referring to their recent matches, Kosovo has kept a clean sheet in two of their last five home matches. Additionally, Cyprus failed to score in two of their last five away matches (against Georgia and Spain). This further supports the prediction that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Cyprus wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Kosovo 1-1 Cyprus

1. Kosovo has an average of 1 goal scored per home match, which translates to a score of 1 for this match; on the other hand, Cyprus tends to concede an average of 1.8 goals per match when playing away, indicating a potential defensive weakness that Kosovo could exploit to score.

2. Cyprus has an average offensive potential of 50% when playing away, meaning they have a balanced likelihood of scoring at least one goal. Additionally, Kosovo has an average of 1.6 goals conceded per home match, giving Cyprus a chance to score at least 1 goal.

3. Statistics show that Kosovo has drawn in 40% of its last 5 home matches, while Cyprus has not drawn any of its last 5 away matches. However, a draw for this specific match has a success probability of 17.71%, indicating that this possibility exists.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Kosovo’s home form shows a mixed performance: winning in 20% of cases, drawing in 40%. They have a solid defensive potential of 57%, offset by a slightly weak offensive potential of 36%.

Cyprus seems to be more effective away from home with victories in 40% of matches. However, their defense looks vulnerable, having conceded 13 goals. Their offensive potential remains reasonable at 50%.

Let’s now delve into the numbers. The probability of Kosovo winning is at 69.79%. A draw seems less likely (17.71%), and a Cyprus win has even lower chances (12.5%).

The most likely scenario seems to be a match with over 1.5 goals (79.17%), but under 2.5 goals (59.9%). A match with fewer than 4.5 goals is highly probable (88.54%).

The probability of both teams scoring is nearly balanced: yes at 51.04%, no at 48.96%.

Looking at previous matches, Kosovo seems to struggle to score and has recently suffered defeats against Romania and Dynamo Kyiv. Cyprus, on the other hand, has managed to secure wins against Lithuania and San Marino.

In conclusion, statistics and probabilities point towards a probable Kosovo win, likely with a total of fewer than 2.5 goals. But keep in mind that betting always involves a degree of uncertainty; these are just indications, not guarantees.

The potential number of goals

Kosovo, at home, has a win rate of 20% and a draw rate of 40% in their last 5 matches. The team has scored 3 goals and conceded 3.

Cyprus has a 40% away win rate in their last 5 games, with no draws. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 13.

On average, Kosovo scores 1 goal per match at home and concedes 1.6, with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 57%. Cyprus scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 1.8, with an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 64%.

The probabilities for this match are as follows: Kosovo wins with a probability of 69.79%, a draw at 17.71%, and Cyprus wins at 12.5%. The probability of a match with fewer than 1.5 goals is 4.20 and with more than 1.5 goals is 79.17%.

Interestingly, both teams have nearly equal chances of scoring, with a probability of 51.04%.

Analysis of the last matches: Kosovo lost to Romania 0-3 and Dynamo Kyiv 0-1, but won against Israel 1-0. On the other hand, Cyprus beat Lithuania 1-0 and San Marino 4-1, but lost to Moldova 3-2, and heavily to Georgia and Spain, 4-0 and 6-0 respectively.

Based on these statistics, we can expect a close match but with a slight advantage for Kosovo playing at home, and likely with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and analyses suggest a probable victory for Kosovo against Cyprus in this UEFA Nations League match. However, football match predictions often come with uncertainties as teams’ performances can vary due to many unpredictable factors. The numbers indicate that Kosovo, playing at home, holds a clear advantage. Despite their weak home record, they remain favorites due to their solid defense. Additionally, Cyprus’s relatively poor defensive record away from home increases Kosovo’s chances of winning.

Nevertheless, a surprise bet on Cyprus to win could also be interesting given their offensive potential and ability to score and win away, despite a vulnerable defense. The most likely outcome appears to be a match with under 2.5 goals, with an almost balanced probability of both teams scoring. It should be noted that despite these statistical data and analyses, anything is possible in football.

In summary, the safest bet seems to be a Kosovo victory with fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. However, as always in sports betting, it is advisable to wager cautiously and based on your own analyses and instincts.