Tipps Kyoto Sanga Albirex Niigata J1 League 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and previous results, my prediction for the match between Kyoto Sanga and Albirex Niigata is: “Draw or Kyoto Sanga wins the match”.

1. The offensive potential of Kyoto Sanga at home and Albirex Niigata away is similar (29%), indicating that Kyoto Sanga has a chance of matching or even surpassing Albirex Niigata’s level.
2. In their last 5 home matches, Kyoto Sanga has a strong tendency to draw (80% of the time), while Albirex Niigata has drawn in 40% of their away matches.
3. Despite losses, Kyoto Sanga has managed to score in their recent home matches. With Albirex Niigata’s defense conceding an average of 1.4 goals per away match, Kyoto Sanga has a chance of scoring in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Recent Performance Analysis: Both teams have not shown great offensive performance recently, with each scoring only 0.8 goals per match on average. Additionally, they have conceded 1.8 and 1.4 goals per match respectively, indicating that their defense is relatively solid.
2. Head-to-Head History: Looking at the recent matches between Kyoto Sanga and Albirex Niigata, it is evident that most scores have been low, with an average of goals per match not exceeding 2.5 goals.
3. League Statistics: The J1 League is generally known for low-scoring matches, especially when two teams with relatively weak offensive performances face each other. Therefore, considering their recent performances and the league context, a total of less than 2.5 goals seems like a logical prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent match statistics show a general trend towards low scores: in their last 5 matches, Kyoto Sanga and Albirex Niigata have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game each, with rarely more than one goal per team.

2. The low offensive potential of both teams – 29% for both – indicates they struggle to score, increasing the likelihood of either team not scoring during the match.

3. The teams have relatively high defensive potentials (64% for Kyoto Sanga and 50% for Albirex Niigata), suggesting they are strong enough to prevent the other team from scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 1.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Albirex Niigata

1. The draw rate at home for Kyoto Sanga is very high, at 80% in their last 5 matches. This is a strong indicator in favor of a potential draw against Albirex Niigata.
2. Albirex Niigata shows a similar draw rate away from home at 40%, and does not tend to dominate in terms of away wins. When combined with the previous point, a 1-1 scoreline seems plausible.
3. Both teams score and concede relatively few goals per match, with an average of 0.8 goals for both Kyoto and Niigata. Additionally, the defenses of both teams are relatively effective, which could limit the number of goals scored to just one per team.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kyoto Sanga, at home, has a low win rate (20%) in the last 5 matches but a high draw rate (80%). They have scored 6 goals but conceded more (7 goals). Their offensive potential is low (29%) and defensive average (64%).

Albirex Niigata, away, has similar performances with a 20% win rate and a 40% draw rate. They have scored as many goals as they conceded (4 goals). Their offensive potential is also low (29%) with a slightly lower defensive potential (50%).

The last encounter between these two teams saw Albirex Niigata’s victory on Kyoto Sanga’s field (0-1).

The predictions do not indicate a clear favorite with a 0% chance of victory for each team. A match with less than 3.5 goals and both teams not scoring has a 100% chance of happening.

It seems likely to see a match with few goals, possibly none, and a draw would be a plausible outcome.

The potential number of goals

Kyoto Sanga has put on a modest show at home with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game. Their defense is leaky, having conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game, resulting in a defensive potential of 64%.

Albirex Niigata struggles to shine in away games as well, also with a 20% win rate. Their attack is limited to 0.8 goals per game. Their defense seems more solid, conceding on average 1.4 goals per game, leading to a defensive potential of 50%.

It is worth noting that Kyoto Sanga lost to Albirex Niigata 1-0 in their last home match.

Based on current trends, the match could see fewer than 3.5 goals with a 100% probability. It appears likely that both teams will not score, also with a 100% probability.

However, it should be noted that probability estimates for the match result are missing, making it difficult to accurately predict the match winner. Also, the data suggests a superior defensive performance for Niigata, but their offensive capabilities are on par with Kyoto Sanga.

In conclusion, taking these factors into account, a safe prediction would be a low-scoring match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the recent performances of both teams and the recorded statistics, the match between Kyoto Sanga and Albirex Niigata seems to be heading towards a low number of goals. Both teams have similar but low offensive potential and strong defensive performance, indicating that a draw with less than 3.5 goals is likely. However, there is no clearly identified favorite for victory in this match, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding it. Caution is advised in sports betting, as no outcome is ever guaranteed. It is also important to monitor the evolution of performances and statistics before the match to refine predictions.