Tipps Kyoto Sanga Avispa Fukuoka J1 League 11/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Avispa Fukuoka wins the match.”

1. Avispa Fukuoka has a higher win rate: Statistics show that Avispa Fukuoka has a 66.67% probability of winning, which is significantly higher than Kyoto Sanga’s 0% home win rate.

2. Avispa Fukuoka has a better defense: Over the last 5 away matches, Avispa Fukuoka has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game, whereas Kyoto Sanga has conceded 1.8 goals per game at home. This difference demonstrates that Avispa Fukuoka has a stronger defense.

3. Kyoto Sanga struggles at home: Kyoto Sanga has not won any of their last 5 home matches and has suffered several significant defeats. In contrast, Avispa Fukuoka has managed to achieve positive results in their recent away games.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

My Over/Under 2.5 prediction for the match is: Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The past performances of both teams demonstrate a low average total score. Kyoto Sanga has a home offensive potential of 0.8 goals per match while Avispa Fukuoka has an away offensive potential of 1 goal per match.
2. Comparing the goals conceded and scored by both teams, Kyoto Sanga has conceded more goals than it has scored in its home matches, while Avispa Fukuoka has scored the same number of goals as it has conceded in its away matches. The record of both teams suggests a trend towards matches with a limited number of goals.
3. Avispa Fukuoka’s statistics show a high percentage of draws away from home (60%). Generally, draws tend to have a lower number of goals, supporting the prediction of a total of under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams: Kyoto Sanga has a home offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 64%, while Avispa Fukuoka has an away offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 29%, which means both teams have shown their ability to score and concede goals in previous matches.

2. The past performances of both teams: in the last few matches played, both teams have demonstrated their ability to regularly score goals, whether it be at home for Kyoto Sanga or away for Avispa Fukuoka. For example, in the match Kyoto Sanga 2 – 3 Yokohama F. Marinos and the match Urawa Red Diamonds 2 – 1 Avispa Fukuoka.

3. The betting probabilities indicate a high chance of both teams scoring: a 66.67% probability, which is a fairly strong indication from bookmakers that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka.

1. Avispa Fukuoka has a better away performance compared to Kyoto Sanga at home, with Avispa Fukuoka having a 20% win rate compared to Kyoto Sanga’s 0%. Additionally, they have a higher defensive potential at 29% compared to Kyoto Sanga’s 64%.

2. In odds analysis, the likelihood of Avispa Fukuoka winning is 66.67%, which is significantly higher than Kyoto Sanga’s chance of winning (0%) and the likelihood of a draw (33.33%). The odds for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.50. Therefore, a predicted score of 1-0 in favor of Avispa Fukuoka is more probable.

3. Kyoto Sanga tends to lose without scoring at home as demonstrated by their recent home matches (including three 0-3 defeats). On the other hand, Avispa Fukuoka has managed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last five away matches, showcasing their defensive solidity.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kyoto doesn’t shine at home: in 5 matches, none won. The median of goals scored is low, 3 goals in total, averaging 0.8 goals per match. Not to forget 5 goals conceded.

Avispa Fukuoka doesn’t really excel away either with just one win and three draws in their last 5 outings. However, they have managed to score and concede 3 goals.

Despite some stumbling, Avispa has a solid defense with only 0.8 goals conceded per away match. This, coupled with their offensive potential of 36%, could be their advantage.

Resulting in a strong likelihood of Avispa winning by 66.67%. A potential draw is also not out of the question with a 33.33% probability.

Finally, based on statistics, there is a high probability of over 1.5 goals in the match, while it is unlikely that there will be more than 2.5 goals.

For a safer bet, one could look at the option ‘Draw or Avispa wins the match’ which has a success probability of 100%.

Therefore, a bet on Avispa or a draw seems to be a fairly safe decision with a possibility of over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Kyoto Sanga has not won any of their last 5 home matches, scoring 3 goals and conceding 5. Their offensive potential is 29% and defensive potential is 64%.

Avispa Fukuoka has won 20% of their last 5 away matches, scoring and conceding 3 goals. Their offensive potential is 36% and defensive potential is 29%.

Betting odds give Avispa Fukuoka a 66.67% chance of winning with odds of 2.70, and a 33.33% chance of a draw with odds of 3.00. Kyoto Sanga has no indicated chance of winning.

Bets suggest 100% chance of less than 4.5 goals in the match, and a 66.67% chance of both teams scoring, with odds of 2.10.

Based on recent performances, Avispa Fukuoka seems to have the advantage both offensively and defensively. This could indicate a low-scoring match, with Avispa Fukuoka potentially coming out on top.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of statistics and past performances of both teams, the scale tilts in favor of Avispa Fukuoka with a win probability of 66.67%. However, a draw cannot be ruled out given the recent performances of both teams. With limited offensive potential on both sides, the total number of goals is likely to be low, with a strong probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match. Regarding the possibility of both teams scoring, the numbers suggest a probability of 66.67%, meaning there is a chance that both teams will find the back of the net. Lastly, for added security, the bet ‘Draw or Avispa wins the match’ offers a success probability of 100%, which could be a potentially profitable bet for bettors. It is recommended, however, that bettors understand the match context, stay informed about the latest team news, and consider other factors such as the form of key players before placing their bets.