Tipps Kyrgyzstan Malaysia World Cup - Qualification Asia 06/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the information provided, I predict that Kyrgyzstan will win the match.

1. Home Performance: According to the provided statistics, Kyrgyzstan has a strong home performance, winning 60% of its last 5 home matches. This demonstrates a certain level of dominance when they play on their own turf.

2. Away Performance of the Opponent: The Malaysia team has a poorer away performance, with only a 20% win rate in its last 5 matches. Additionally, Malaysia has conceded more goals than they have scored in these matches.

3. Defensive Ability at Home vs. Offensive Ability Away: Kyrgyzstan concedes on average fewer goals at home (1.2) than Malaysia scores away (1.6). This suggests that Kyrgyzstan’s defense may be able to handle Malaysia’s attack, especially considering the home field advantage.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. The average number of goals scored by both teams in their last matches – Kyrgyzstan at home and Malaysia away – is higher than 2.5 goals per match; suggesting a high probability that the total goals in the match will exceed 2.5.

2. Both teams have shown some defensive weaknesses in their recent matches, conceding an average of more than 1 goal per game. This defensive vulnerability may increase the likelihood of the total goals in the match surpassing 2.5.

3. The recent home matches of Kyrgyzstan and away matches of Malaysia have shown a tendency for high scoring, with the exception of a few matches. This indicates that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding goals, further supporting the prediction of a total of over 2.5 goals for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Each team’s offense: At home, Kyrgyzstan has scored in all but one of their last five matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game. Similarly, even away from home, Malaysia has managed to score in most of their matches with an average of 1.6 goals per game. This indicates that both teams have a strong offensive potential, thereby increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Both teams’ defense: Despite their offensive potential, Kyrgyzstan has also conceded 9 goals in their last five home matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game. Therefore, their defensive capability is somewhat questionable. Similarly, Malaysia concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game when playing away. With both teams having relatively weak defenses, it is likely that each team will concede a goal.

3. Previous match results: Both Kyrgyzstan’s recent home matches and Malaysia’s away matches have seen both teams scoring in most games. In particular, Malaysia has scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches, while Kyrgyzstan has scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches. These past results support the probability of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 4.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Kyrgyzstan 1-1 Malaysia

1. Recent home performance of Kyrgyzstan and away performance of Malaysia: Over the last 5 home matches, Kyrgyzstan has drawn once and scored a considerable number of goals (9 goals). Similarly, Malaysia has drawn twice in their last 5 away matches, also scoring 6 goals. These statistics suggest some level of parity between the two teams.

2. Average goals per match: Both teams have shown strong attacking prowess, with Kyrgyzstan and Malaysia averaging 1.6 goals per match. These figures indicate that it is highly likely that each team will score at least one goal during the match.

3. Defensive potential: Kyrgyzstan has shown slightly lower defensive potential compared to Malaysia (43% versus 64%), suggesting a slight vulnerability that could allow Malaysia to score. Furthermore, the probability of both teams not scoring is 100%, implying a balanced score, further reinforcing the argument for a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kyrgyzstan, at home, has displayed decent performances: 60% win rate, 20% draws. They have scored 9 goals and conceded the same amount.
Malaysia, away, is weaker: only 20% win rate but manages to draw in 40% of cases. They have also scored 6 goals and conceded 6 goals.
Looking at the averages, Kyrgyzstan averages 1.6 goals per match and concedes 1.2. Their offensive potential is 57%, and defensive is 43%.
Malaysia also scores 1.6 goals per match but concedes 1.8. Their offensive potential is equivalent, but their defensive potential is lower at 64%.
Without specific success probabilities for the different match scenarios, it is difficult to make a precise prediction.
Nevertheless, with identical offensive potential and better defense, Kyrgyzstan seems slightly favored.
In terms of goals, a plausible option would be “Under 3.5 goals in the match” since there is a 100% probability of success.
Note that “Both teams not to score” also has a 100% probability of success, even though it seems unlikely given the previous performances.
Caution is advised in this prediction, given the uncertainties.

The potential number of goals

Kyrgyzstan, playing at home, shows a decent performance with a 60% winning rate in their last 5 matches. Their defense is well-balanced, having scored and conceded 9 goals each. This indicates a potentially close match.

Malaysia, when playing away, has only won 20% of their recent matches, but achieved 40% draws. Their offensive performance is similar to Kyrgyzstan’s, scoring and conceding 6 goals.

In terms of averages, Kyrgyzstan scores 1.6 goals per match and concedes 1.2, showing a slightly stronger defense than their attack. With an offensive capacity of 57% and defensive of 43%, they are a well-balanced team.

Despite playing away, Malaysia also scores 1.6 goals per match but concedes more, averaging 1.8 goals against. With a similar offensive potential as Kyrgyzstan at 57%, Malaysia’s defense is weaker at 64%.

Despite these statistics, the odds do not provide a clear probability on the match result. However, the trend suggests that both teams will not score in this match, with a 100% probability. Furthermore, there is a 100% chance of fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals in the match.

Based on this information, a tight match with few goals can be expected. The recent matches of both teams support this trend.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion:
Taking into account these analyses and statistics, we deduce that Kyrgyzstan appears to have the advantage for this World Cup qualification match, particularly due to their strong performances at home. However, a potential surprise from Malaysia cannot be ruled out given their ability to score when playing away.

Furthermore, the attacks and defenses of both teams seem slightly unbalanced, with teams that score but also tend to concede. Therefore, the bet “Both teams to score: Yes” seems to have potential, despite the contrary trend indicated by the statistics.

As for the number of goals, a total of under 3.5 seems likely considering the past results of both teams. The possibility of under 4.5 goals has also been mentioned as an interesting “value bet.”

Finally, with fairly evenly matched performances between the two teams, a 1-1 exact score could conclude this match.

However, it is important to remember that sports betting involves uncertainties, and it is therefore recommended to bet with caution and responsibility.