Tipps Kyrgyzstan North Korea World Cup - Qualification Asia 15/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Considering the provided statistics, the match is most likely to end in a “Draw or Kyrgyzstan wins the match.”

1. Kyrgyzstan has relatively better performances at home: In their last 5 home matches, they won once and drew twice, showing some resilience on their own turf. They also managed to score 9 goals in these matches.

2. Statistically unfavorable for North Korea: The North Korean team struggles to perform away from home, having not won any of their last 5 away matches. They only scored a total of 2 goals in these games, reflecting a lack of offensive strength.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: The offensive and defensive potential of both teams favors Kyrgyzstan, with an offensive potential of 36% compared to just 29% for North Korea. Kyrgyzstan also has a better defensive potential at 64%, compared to 43% for North Korea.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The low offensive performance of North Korea: in their last 5 away matches, North Korea has only scored 2 goals. This lack of offensive potential could limit the total goals in the match.
2. Strong defensive performances from both teams: North Korea has conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 away matches, while Kyrgyzstan has conceded 11 goals at home in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals per match.
3. Previous encounters between the two teams: looking at the teams’ recent matches, we predominantly see low scores, with no match seeing more than 2.5 goals. This could indicate a trend towards low-scoring matches between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Low attacking performance: Based on statistics, the offensive potential of the North Korea team is particularly low in away matches, scoring an average of only 0.8 goals per game. Furthermore, the Kyrgyzstan team also shows a rather low offensive potential in home matches with an average of 1 goal per game.

2. Strong defenses: The North Korea team has shown a solid defense in its away matches, conceding only 1.2 goals on average per game. Similarly, Kyrgyzstan has demonstrated a superior defensive capability to its attack with a defensive potential of 64%.

3. Recent match history: The recent matches of both teams show a trend of few goals being scored and even several matches ending in a failure to score for one of the teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Kyrgyzstan 1-1 North Korea

1. Match History: The past performances of Kyrgyzstan at home and North Korea away show a trend towards close matches with a relatively low average of goals scored. This indicates a likelihood of a draw.

2. Recent Performances: At home, Kyrgyzstan has a strong tendency to draw (in 40% of cases), as does North Korea away (also in 40% of cases). This common trend increases the probability of a draw.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Both teams have relatively low offensive potential, at 36% for Kyrgyzstan and 29% for North Korea. This suggests a defensive-minded match with few goals scored. A 1-1 scoreline would align well with this analysis.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Kyrgyzstan has won one of its last five home matches, with a win rate of 20%. 40% of these matches have ended in a draw. Their home attack has produced 9 goals, while their defense has conceded 11 goals.
On the other hand, North Korea has not won any of its last five away matches. They have drawn in 40% of cases. Their offensive performance has been weak with only 2 goals scored, but their defense has been solid, conceding only 3 goals.
In terms of average performances, Kyrgyzstan scores 1 goal and concedes 1.8 goals per home match, with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64%. North Korea, in away matches, scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1.2 goals, with an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 43%.
The statistics do not provide a clear indication of the potential winner of this match.
Analyzing the goals, it seems that Kyrgyzstan’s matches tend to see over 1.5 goals, but less than 3.5. North Korea’s matches are generally tighter with fewer goals.
In terms of recent performances, Kyrgyzstan has scored in every home match, except for their 0-2 defeat against Saudi Arabia. North Korea has struggled to score, only managing to score in two of their last five away matches.
Considering this information, it might be wise to bet on less than 3.5 goals in the match. But as always, remember that football matches are unpredictable and anything can happen.

The potential number of goals

Kyrgyzstan has shown a mixed domestic performance, with 20% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 11, with an average of 1 goal per match, indicating an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64%.

On the other hand, North Korea struggles away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches and 40% draws. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 3, with an average of 0.8 goals per match, reflecting an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 43%.

Predictions are not favorable for both teams with 0% probability for all win or draw scenarios. However, there is a high probability of less than 3.5 goals and less than 4.5 goals in the match, both at 100% probability. Additionally, both teams are unlikely to score, with a probability of 100%.

Based on these data, the match is expected to be defensive with few goals. A draw with less than 3.5 goals seems like a realistic prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Kyrgyzstan and North Korea appears to be heading towards a balanced encounter with a possibility of a draw. Kyrgyzstan’s home performance and North Korea’s away record do not make them clear favorites. Statistical trends also suggest a low-scoring match, with the “Under 2.5” option appearing to be a relevant betting choice. Therefore, the bet “Both teams to score: No” also seems to be a solid assumption, considering the lack of offensive dynamism from both teams. As for the exact score, a 1-1 draw is conceivable. However, as always in sports betting, despite all statistical analysis, the factor of uncertainty remains and results can be surprising. It is therefore important to bet responsibly.