Tipps La Equidad Deportivo Pasto Primera A 11/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Deportivo Pasto wins the match.

1. Deportivo Pasto has a better away performance than La Equidad Bogota at home, with a win rate of 40% compared to 20% for the home team.
2. Deportivo Pasto has a better offensive and defensive potential than La Equidad Bogota, with 43% and 36% respectively, while La Equidad Bogota only has an offensive and defensive potential of 21%.
3. Looking at the last 5 matches, Deportivo Pasto appears to have a better performance and has scored more frequently, indicating a more offensive team and therefore more likely to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The home statistics of La Equidad Bogota in their last 5 matches show a low average of goals scored (0.6 per match), as well as a low average of goals conceded (also 0.6). The numbers are even lower for Deportivo Pasto away from home, with only 0.6 goals scored per match.

2. By analyzing the recent matches of both teams, a trend towards low scores is evident: most of La Equidad Bogota’s home matches and Deportivo Pasto’s away matches have resulted in common scores below 2.5 goals.

3. Both teams exhibit a relatively weak offensive and defensive potential. The offensive potential of La Equidad Bogota at home is 21%, while Deportivo Pasto’s away offensive potential is 43%. The defensive potential of La Equidad Bogota at home is 21%, while Deportivo Pasto’s away defensive potential is 36%. These numbers support the idea of a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of La Equidad Bogota at home is very low, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored per match. This indicates a lack of efficiency in the attack which could prevent the team from scoring during the match.
2. Deportivo Pasto, although having a slightly higher offensive potential away from home (1.2 goals per match), has a good defense by conceding on average only 1 goal per match. Therefore, it is likely that they will be able to prevent La Equidad Bogota from scoring.
3. The recent match history of both teams shows several instances of both teams not scoring. For example, in the match between La Equidad Bogota and Atletico Bucaramanga, the score was 0 – 1. Similarly, in the match between Envigado FC and Deportivo Pasto, the score was 0 – 1. These matches indicate that these teams often tend to keep their opponent at zero.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

La Equidad Bogota 1-1 Deportivo Pasto

1. Past performance statistics: The recent performances of both teams suggest a trend towards low scores and draws. La Equidad Bogota has drawn 40% of their last 5 home matches, while Deportivo Pasto has done the same in 20% of their last 5 away matches.

2. Average goals per match: Over their respective last 5 matches, La Equidad Bogota averages 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match, whereas Deportivo Pasto averages 1.2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. These statistics point towards a likely low-scoring game between them.

3. Both teams to score: The indication that both teams have a 100% chance of not scoring in the same match suggests that a 1-1 draw is highly likely. Both teams have shown limited attacking effectiveness in their recent matches, making a 1-1 draw quite probable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

La Equidad Bogota struggles at home with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws. The team has scored 4 goals but conceded 7, showing defensive struggles.

Deportivo Pasto has an easier time away, with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored and conceded almost the same number of goals (4 scored, 5 conceded).

In terms of average goals, La Equidad Bogota has a low offensive (21%) and defensive (21%) potential. They score and concede an average of 0.6 goals per match.

Deportivo Pasto performs better away, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 36%.

Unfortunately, we do not have enough data to estimate the probabilities of victory for each team, a draw, or total goals.

However, it is highly likely that less than 3.5 goals will be scored (100% probability), and there is a strong chance that both teams will not score (100% probability).

Looking at their recent performances, La Equidad Bogota has had mixed results at home, while Deportivo Pasto has experienced ups and downs away.

Based on this data, a low-scoring match could be expected.

The potential number of goals

Equidad Bogota has been struggling at home. In fact, in their last 5 matches, they have only won once (20%) and scored a total of 4 goals, averaging 0.6 goals per match. They have also conceded 7 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Their offensive potential is weak (21%).

Deportivo Pasto seems more comfortable away from home, with 2 victories in 5 matches (40%). They have scored the same number of goals as Bogota, but with an average of one less goal conceded per match. This implies a higher offensive potential (43%) and a better defense (36%).

However, the most significant data is that in each recent encounter, both teams have never scored at the same time, indicating a 100% probability that this will happen again. Additionally, there is a 100% probability of seeing less than 3.5 or 4.5 goals in this match.

In this context, a probable outcome with few goals (under 3.5), only one team scoring, and a slight favor for Deportivo Pasto due to their away performances, could be considered for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After a complete analysis of past performances, home and away achievements, and statistics of both teams, La Equidad Bogota and Deportivo Pasto, several conclusions can be drawn for potential bettors. Deportivo Pasto appears to be the safest choice for the 1X2 bet, with a superior away performance and stronger offensive capability. The match is likely to have under 2.5 goals, reflecting the relatively low offensive abilities of both teams and a strong defensive potential. Similarly, it is highly probable that both teams will not score in this match.

Finding an interesting value bet would be to wager on under 2.5 goals in the match, considering the low offensive productivity and good defensive performance of both teams. Regarding the exact score, a 1-1 draw seems likely, given both teams’ past tendency for low scores and draws, as well as the indications that both teams are unlikely to score in the same match.

Taking all these considerations into account, a likely scenario for this match would be a low-scoring game, possibly a slight victory for Deportivo Pasto or a 1-1 draw, where it is possible that one or both teams do not score. Finally, as with all bets, while statistical evidence may suggest certain trends, luck and the unexpected always play a crucial role in sports. Therefore, it is important to bet responsibly.