Tipps La Equidad Millonarios Primera A 16/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Millonarios Bogota wins the match

1. Millonarios Bogota has a quite high offensive potential in their away matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game compared to just 0.6 for La Equidad Bogota at home. This gives Millonarios a significant advantage, increasing their chances of a win or draw.

2. Statistics from the last five home matches of La Equidad Bogota show that they only win in 20% of cases and draw in 40% of cases. This indicates a general trend towards draw or losing results for this team when playing at home.

3. Probability percentages also indicate a higher likelihood of the match ending in a draw or a win for Millonarios Bogota, with a success rate of 71.67% compared to 63.89% for a draw or win for La Equidad Bogota.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show a lower average of goals per match of less than 2.5 both for La Equidad Bogota with 0.6 goals at home, and for Millonarios Bogota with 1.4 goals away.
2. The history of the last 5 home matches for La Equidad Bogota and away matches for Millonarios Bogota demonstrates a trend towards low scores, with mostly draws and situations where either team doesn’t score more than one goal.
3. Indeed, La Equidad Bogota has a 21% offensive potential at home and Millonarios Bogota has a 50% offensive potential away, indicating that both teams might lack firepower to reach a total of more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Past statistics indicate that both teams have a good ability to score, with La Equidad Bogota scoring 5 goals at home in their last 5 matches and Millonarios Bogota scoring 6 goals away in their last 5 matches. This suggests there is a reasonable chance that both teams could score in this match.

2. Both teams have also shown some defensive weakness in their previous matches, conceding 8 goals each in their last 5 home and away matches respectively. This implies that each team could potentially concede goals in this match.

3. By analyzing the scores of each team’s previous matches, it is evident that both teams have scored in several previous matches. For instance, in La Equidad Bogota’s last home match against Deportes Tolima, both teams scored (final score: 2 – 3). Similarly, in Millonarios Bogota’s last away match against Alianza Petrolera, both teams also scored (final score: 2 – 1).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

The Equity Bogota 1-1 Millonarios Bogota.

1. The performance of both teams in their last 5 matches indicates a certain level of parity, especially in terms of goals scored and conceded (5 for La Equidad against 6 for Millonarios, and both teams conceding 8 goals each). This shows a competitiveness and fairly similar performances.
2. The high percentage of draws for La Equidad at home (40%) and Millonarios away (20%) strengthens the argument that a draw with a 1-1 scoreline is a plausible scenario.
3. The statistics indicate that both teams have a 50% probability when looking at the possibility of “Both Teams to Score.” Consequently, the most likely outcome based on these data is that both teams will score a goal, hence the prediction of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

La Equidad Bogota struggles at home with only a 28.33% chance of victory. The team wins only 20% of its matches and has scored a total of 5 goals, showing offensive weakness.

Millonarios Bogota is also unimpressive away, winning just 20% of their matches. They have scored one more goal than La Equidad, totaling 6 goals.

A draw seems likely (35.56%). The numbers often indicate a balanced encounter.

The statistics for goals scored and conceded favor less than 2.5 goals in the match (1.47), with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals (93.33%).

According to the odds, Millonarios Bogota has a slight edge (36.11% chance of winning), but a draw or Millonarios winning has a higher probability (71.67%).

Both teams have a 50% chance of scoring, based on the data.

Considering these elements, the match seems tight and could end with few goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Equidad Bogota has struggled at home, only winning 20% of the time. Scoring just 5 goals in five matches, averaging 0.6 goals per game, the offense has not shined. The defense, conceding 1.2 goals per game, has a defensive potential of 43%.

Millonarios Bogota, on the other hand, has scored more goals away, with an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their defense has been slightly more solid, conceding only 1 goal per game. The probability of winning the match for Millonarios is 36.11%, slightly higher than that of Equidad.

The match is more likely to end in a draw (35.56%) or with a victory for Millonarios Bogota (36.11%). Less than 1.5 goals is quite plausible, with odds of 2.55 for this option. It’s worth noting that both teams have an equal chance of scoring, with a 50% probability for each option.

In summary, although upsets are possible, the trend points to a tight match with few goals. Millonarios seems slightly favored but nothing is certain in football.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on statistics and advanced probabilities, the match between La Equidad Bogota and Millonarios Bogota appears to be well-balanced, with a slight favoritism towards Millonarios Bogota. However, considering the low average goals scored by both teams, it is more likely to see under 2.5 goals in this match. Despite their average offensive performance, both teams have shown a good ability to score, suggesting that they may both find the back of the net in this encounter. Even though Millonarios seems to have an edge, the likelihood of a draw is also significant. Overall, it is advisable to bet cautiously on this match, taking into account all these factors and focusing on bets that offer interesting value, such as over 2.5 goals in the match.