Tipps Lamia Panserraikos Super League 30/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Lamia wins the match.

1. Statistically, Lamia has been more successful at home, recording a win or draw rate of 60%. At the same time, Panserraikos has struggled away from home, having won only 20% of their last 5 away matches.

2. Lamia’s defensive potential is better than that of Panserraikos. On average, Lamia concedes 1.6 goals per home match, while Panserraikos concedes 2.4 goals away. This means that Lamia is less likely to concede goals and, therefore, more likely to win or draw.

3. The success probability (68.88%) for the prediction “Draw or Lamia wins the match” is higher than for any other possible outcome, indicating that statistically, it is the most likely result.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of Lamia at home is low (29% efficiency), resulting in a low number of goals scored on average per match (0.8 goals per match). Additionally, Panserraikos has a strong defense when playing away (86% efficiency), which could potentially further reduce the number of goals scored by Lamia.

2. The scores of Lamia’s previous home matches show a tendency towards low-scoring games, with three out of its last five matches having less than 2.5 goals.

3. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.75, indicating that bookmakers believe there is a sufficiently high probability that the match will end with less than 2.5 goals, thus reinforcing the prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their last 5 matches, Lamia has scored 4 times and Panserraikos has scored 8 times, demonstrating that both teams have the ability to score goals.
2. Panserraikos team has an average of 2.4 goals conceded per match in their away games, indicating they are relatively vulnerable in defense. On the other hand, Lamia has an average of 1.6 goals conceded in their home matches. These statistics suggest that the likelihood of both teams scoring is quite high.
3. By examining the results of both Lamia’s home matches and Panserraikos’ away matches, it is evident that both teams have scored in the majority of cases (Panserraikos has scored in 3 out of 5 matches and Lamia in 3 out of 5 matches). This strengthens the prediction that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Lamia 1-1 Panserraikos”

1. Lamia tends to draw in their home matches, with a rate of 40% in their last 5 games, suggesting a likely draw outcome. Additionally, Lamia has a relatively strong defense with a defensive potential of 57%, which could limit scoring opportunities for both teams.

2. Panserraikos’ performance in away matches is not very good, with a win rate of only 20% in 5 games. The team has also conceded more goals (9) than they have scored (8) in these matches. This indicates that Panserraikos may struggle to score more than one goal against Lamia.

3. Betting statistics show an almost equal probability for a draw, a Lamia win, or a Panserraikos win. This aligns with the arguments of Panserraikos’ poor away performance and Lamia’s tendency to draw at home. By combining these factors, a score of 1-1 seems like a reasonable prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lamia, at home, doesn’t win much. 1 win in 5 matches, which is 20%. But they make up for it with draws, accounting for 40% of the cases. Panserraikos, on the road, has a similar record with 20% wins, except they don’t compensate with draws, 0%.

In terms of goals, Lamia has scored 4 and conceded 5 in their last 5 home matches. Panserraikos has scored 8 and conceded 9 in their last 5 away matches.

Digging deeper into the analysis, Lamia averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded at home, with a potential win rate of 29% and a defense rate of 57%. Panserraikos averages 1 goal scored and 2.4 goals conceded away, with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive rate of 86%.

The predictions slightly favor Lamia with a 34.69% probability of winning compared to 31.12% for Panserraikos. The likelihood of a draw stands at 34.18%.

Let’s talk about goals now. The match is expected to have a moderate number of goals, with a 68.37% probability of over 1.5 goals. However, there is an 83.67% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score? The predictions are close: 48.98% say yes, 51.02% say no.

In summary, Lamia doesn’t win much but compensates with draws. Panserraikos struggles away from home. The match is likely to have few goals, and both teams might not score.

Our prediction target: draw or Lamia win, under 2.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Key details of Lamia at home: 20% win rate, 40% draws. They have scored 4 goals in 5 matches, which is 0.8 goals per match. They have conceded 5 goals, averaging 1.6 per match.

Panserraikos’ away form: 20% win rate, no draws. They have scored 8 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.6 per match. They have conceded 9 goals, averaging 1.8 per match.

Lamia offensive potential is at 29%. Their defense is at 57%. For Panserraikos, the offensive potential is 36%, while defense is at 86%.

Calculated probabilities: Lamia has a 34.69% chance of winning, draw at 34.18%, Panserraikos at 31.12%.

The probability of the match having more than 1.5 goals is 68.37%.

The prediction suggests less than 3.5 goals with a probability of 83.67%.

The odds for both teams to score are 1.84, with a probability of 48.98%.

Recent matches: Lamia kept a clean sheet twice and Panserraikos scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

Based on the statistics, there is a high probability of a match with less than 3.5 goals. Equal chance for Lamia and a draw means a possible surprise. Both teams could score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistics, game analysis, and recent performances of both teams indicate a high probability that the match will either end in a draw or with a Lamia victory. It is also more likely that the total number of goals in the match will be under 2.5 due to Lamia’s defensive efficiency and the limited offensive output of both teams. The assumption that both teams will score in the match is supported by Panserraikos’ attacking potential and Lamia’s defensive vulnerability. However, considering Panserraikos’ defensive efficiency, a potentially lucrative value bet may be on a total of over 2.5 goals. Finally, based on current performances and statistics, an exact score prediction of 1-1 between Lamia and Panserraikos appears as a real possibility. Thank you for your attention and good luck with your sports betting.