Tipps Lanus LDU de Quito Copa Sudamericana 22/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Lanus wins the match.

1. Past performances: Lanus has won or drawn in 80% of their home matches in their last 5 games, while LDU de Quito has only won 20% of their away matches over the same period.

2. Offensive and defensive statistics: Lanus has scored an average of 1.4 goals per home match and conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match, showing an acceptable level of offensive and defensive performance. On the other hand, even though LDU de Quito has shown a higher average of goals scored (1.6 per match) away, they also tend to concede more goals (1.2 on average), which reduces their probability of winning.

3. Calculated probabilities: The “draw or Lanus win” has a success probability of 78.31%, which is significantly higher than other options. Lanus’ chances of winning the match are also higher (40.21%) than LDU de Quito’s (21.69%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent performances of both teams indicate an average of less than 3 goals per match. Lanus scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes an average of 1.8 goals, while LDU de Quito scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 1.2 goals.

2. The statistics of the last 10 matches show that both teams tend to be involved in low-scoring matches. In Lanus’ last 5 home matches, 4 had less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, in LDU de Quito’s last 5 away matches, 3 had less than 2.5 goals.

3. The bet on under 2.5 goals has odds of 1.62, indicating a higher probability of success than the bet on over 2.5 goals (odds of 2.20). Additionally, the bet on under 3.5 goals has a high success probability of 82.54%, further supporting the argument for a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The past performance statistics show that both teams have been allowing the opponent to score on multiple occasions. Lanus has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, and LDU Quito has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Lanus and LDU Quito have sufficiently high attacking potentials to score in the match. Lanus has an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while LDU Quito has an average of 1.6 goals per away match.

3. Analyzing their recent matches, both teams have managed to score in the majority of their previous encounters. Lanus has scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches, and LDU Quito has scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or LDU de Quito wins the match – 1.78

Bet on the exact result

Lanus 2-2 LDU de Quito translates to “Lanus 2-2 LDU Quito” in English.

1. Recent matches of Lanus at home and LDU de Quito away show a tendency towards high scores. Lanus has scored 9 goals in 5 home matches and LDU de Quito has scored 7 goals in 5 away matches. It is also worth noting that both teams tend to concede goals, with Lanus conceding 10 goals and LDU de Quito conceding 9.

2. Goal average statistics also point towards higher probabilities for a 2-2 scoreline. Lanus averages 1.4 goals per home match while LDU de Quito averages 1.6 goals per away match. Additionally, Lanus concedes on average 1.8 goals per home match while LDU de Quito concedes 1.2 goals away.

3. Based on the probabilities of each team winning the match, it is more likely for the match to end in a draw (38.1%) than for LDU de Quito to win (21.69%), further supporting the plausibility of a 2-2 scoreline. Additionally, the probabilities also suggest that both teams will score, with a probability of 47.09%.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lanus has shown a strong performance at home, winning 60% of recent matches. However, their defense is a concern with 10 goals conceded in 5 games. On the other hand, LDU Quito has had a mixed performance away, winning only 20% of their matches.

Lanus’s offensive potential at home is at 50%, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game. Quito, on the other hand, scores an average of 1.6 goals per away game, revealing an offensive potential of 57%.

The probability of Lanus winning the match is 40.21%, with odds of 2.00. A draw has a 38.1% chance with odds of 3.30. Meanwhile, LDU Quito only has a 21.69% chance of winning, with odds of 3.75.

Regarding bets on the number of goals, over 1.5 goals in the match has a 65.08% chance of success, with odds of 1.40. Less than 3.5 goals is the safest bet with a success probability of 82.54%.

Lastly, the bet that both teams will not score offers a success probability of 52.91%, with odds of 1.78. This is important information for bettors to consider.

In conclusion, Lanus seems to have a slight advantage at home, but caution is advised regarding their defense. A cautious prediction would be a score of under 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Lanus has been performing well on their home ground recently, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match and 1.8 goals conceded on average. This places their offensive capability at 50% and defensive at 64%. LDU Quito is also doing decently with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match and only 1.2 goals conceded away from home. Their offensive potential is at 57% and defensive at 43%.

Analyzing Lanus’ recent performances, they win 60% of their home matches. However, they have conceded one more goal than they have scored. LDU Quito, on the other hand, only wins 20% of their away matches and often ends up with a draw.

Lanus has a higher chance of winning this match with a success probability of 40.21%. But a draw is also possible with a percentage of 38.1%. LDU Quito has a lower probability of winning the match, only 21.69%.

Regarding goals, there is a 65.08% chance that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals. The probability for more than 2.5 goals is 38.1%. It is likely that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 82.54%.

Prediction: Lanus losing (despite their good offensive ability at home) seems unlikely given LDU Quito’s poor performance away from home. The safest bet would be in a match with fewer than 3.5 goals considering LDU Quito’s solid defense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In short, analyzing the statistics of past and current performances of both teams, Lanus holds a slight advantage, particularly given their home performance. However, their defense is a weakness that could be exploited by LDU de Quito, who have also shown a strong attacking performance in previous matches.

It would be wise to bet on under 3.5 goals in the match, considering the defensive performances of Lanus and LDU de Quito. Additionally, it is likely that both teams will score at least once in the match, given the offensive statistics of both teams.

In terms of 1X2 betting, the highest probability is a draw or a Lanus victory, although LDU de Quito also has a chance to win or draw.

Finally, regarding the exact score, the suggested prediction of 2-2 seems plausible given the offensive and defensive performances of both teams.

It is essential to note that while these predictions are based on detailed statistics and analysis of past performances, football match outcomes can be unpredictable. In all sports betting, there is an element of risk.