Tipps Lanus Union Santa Fe Liga Profesional Argentina 13/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Lanus wins the match”

1. Lanus’s Home Performance: In their last 5 home matches, Lanus has won 60% of their games. This is evidence of their strong performance when playing on their own turf. Additionally, Lanus has shown a solid offensive performance by scoring a total of 11 goals in these 5 matches.

2. Union de Santa Fe’s Away Weakness: Union de Santa Fe’s performance in away matches is weak. They have only won 20% of their last 5 away matches, indicating that their performance away from home is far from convincing.

3. Probabilities: Suggesting that Lanus has a win probability of 59.89%, which is significantly higher than Union de Santa Fe’s chances of winning the match (15.51%). This forecast is based on the teams’ past performances, providing a strong argument in favor of Lanus to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The number of goals scored by Lanus and Union de Santa Fe in their respective last 5 matches is relatively low, with averages of 1.4 and 1 goals scored, respectively. This low goal rate suggests a trend towards low-scoring matches.
2. Union de Santa Fe’s defensive statistics also show a low rate of conceding goals per match, with an average of 1.2 goals. Similarly, at home, Lanus does not let in many goals with an average of 0.8 goals conceded. Strong defense on both sides increases the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
3. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are favorable (1.52), suggesting that bookmakers also see a low probability of a high-scoring match. This, coupled with the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams, reinforces the idea of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Match History: Both teams have a tendency to score and concede goals in their previous matches. In particular, in 4 out of Lanus’ last 5 home matches, both teams have scored, and in 3 out of Union de Santa Fe’s last 5 away matches, both teams have also scored.

2. Goal Statistics: The goal statistics for Lanus at home and Union de Santa Fe away clearly indicate their ability to score and concede goals. Lanus has an average of 1.4 goals per home match, and Union de Santa Fe has an average of 1 goal away. While Lanus has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per home match, Union de Santa Fe have conceded an average of 1.2 goals away.

3. Probabilities: The calculated probability of both teams scoring is 54.01% with odds of 2.08. This means there is a higher likelihood of each team scoring at least one goal in the match, reinforcing this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Santa Fe Union wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Lanus 2-1 Union de Santa Fe

1. Lanus’s recent home performances show that they have the ability to score more goals than Union de Santa Fe away, with an average of 1.4 goals per match compared to Union de Santa Fe’s 1 goal per match. Additionally, Lanus has a 59.89% probability of winning the match compared to Union de Santa Fe’s 15.51%.

2. Statistics show that Union de Santa Fe tends to concede goals when playing away, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. As for Lanus, they have a 50% offensive potential, which increases the probability of them scoring at least two goals.

3. Lanus has shown an ability to win close matches at home, as seen in their recent games (3-2 against Tigre and Talleres de Cordoba). Union de Santa Fe, on the other hand, have been able to score in their recent away matches (1-1 against Talleres de Cordoba, 2-1 against Racing Club), which could mean that they are capable of scoring a goal in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lanus has won 60% of their last 5 home games, scoring 11 goals and conceding 13. Union de Santa Fe, away, has only won 20% of their matches with 4 goals scored and 4 conceded.

Lanus has an average of 1.4 goals per home game, while Union de Santa Fe only scores an average of 1 goal per away game.

The probability of Lanus winning is 59.89% with odds of 2.10. The chances of a draw are 24.6%, with odds of 3.15.

The likelihood of the match ending with over 1.5 goals is 73.26%, with odds of 1.47. Both teams to score has a success probability of 54.01%, with odds of 2.08.

Lanus’s last home match against Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba ended in a 1-1 draw. Union de Santa Fe’s last away match against Tigre ended in a one-sided 5-1 loss.

Based on this data, the trend would favor a Lanus victory, with a good chance of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

In the last 5 matches, Lanus has shown strong performance at home with a 60% win rate, scoring 11 goals and conceding 13. Union de Santa Fe is less effective away, with only a 20% win rate, scoring and conceding 4 goals.

For Lanus, they average 1.4 goals scored at home and 0.8 conceded, giving them an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 29%. Union de Santa Fe averages 1 goal scored away and 1.2 conceded, with an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 43%.

Therefore, Lanus is the favorite with a 59.89% chance of winning (odds at 2.10). A draw is less likely at 24.6% (odds at 3.15) and Union de Santa Fe’s victory is the least likely at 15.51% (odds at 3.65).

In terms of goals, there is a 73.26% chance of more than 1.5 goals (odds at 1.47) and a 49.2% chance of more than 2.5 goals (odds at 2.47). There is a 54.01% probability that both teams will score (odds at 2.08).

In conclusion, Lanus has a strong chance of winning with an average of goals exceeding 1.5. There is also a significant probability that both teams will score. This analysis suggests a competitive match with promising betting opportunities.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction suggests that the match between Lanus and Union de Santa Fe could be highly competitive, with a favorable score for Lanus. Lanus’ strength at home combined with Union de Santa Fe’s weaknesses when playing away make Lanus the favorite in this match. It is also likely that less than 2.5 goals will be scored during the match, given the low goal-scoring rate both teams have shown in their previous matches. However, both teams are likely to score. Therefore, a potential result of 2-1 in favor of Lanus seems realistic. Finally, despite being the favorite, Lanus has shown some vulnerability at home, making a bet on Union de Santa Fe potentially interesting in terms of a value bet. Overall, this match offers several interesting betting possibilities for savvy bettors.