Tipps Larne FC ST. Gallen UEFA Europa Conference League 07/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Saint-Gall wins the match

1. St. Gallen has a higher offensive potential than Larne. Indeed, in their last 5 away matches, they scored an average of 1.6 goals per match compared to 1 goal per match for Larne at home.

2. The probability of a St. Gallen victory is higher according to the provided statistics: 72.31% for a St. Gallen win, 13.85% for a Larne win, and 13.85% for a draw.

3. By analyzing St. Gallen’s last 5 away matches, we can see that they managed to score in every game, even against stronger teams, which shows their offensive consistency.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Goal scoring statistics: Both teams have scored a total of 14 goals in their last 5 respective matches (Larne scored 6 goals and Saint-Gall scored 8 goals). This suggests a fairly strong offensive potential that could lead to more than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Goal conceding statistics: Both teams have conceded a total of 15 goals in their last 5 respective matches (Larne conceded 6 goals and Saint-Gall conceded 9 goals). Again, this indicates a not very strong defense, which could result in more than 2.5 goals on match day.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Both teams have fairly high percentages when it comes to their offensive potential (36% for Larne and 57% for Saint-Gall) and defensive potential (71% for Larne and 79% for Saint-Gall). These statistics show that both teams score and concede quite frequently, further enhancing the likelihood of a match with more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded at home for Larne and away for Saint-Gall show a trend where both teams are capable of scoring goals but also conceding them. This gives more chances for the “both teams to score” scenario.

2. Analysis of the last 5 matches of Larne at home and Saint-Gall away shows that in most matches, both teams managed to score. This trend also supports the “both teams to score” scenario.

3. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is significant, with Larne having an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 71%, while Saint-Gall has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 79%. This indicates a high probability that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Larne wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Larne 1-2 St. Gallen

1. The offensive potential of Saint-Gall away from home is 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per match, which is higher than Larne’s home record (36% with an average of 1 goal). This increases the likelihood of seeing Saint-Gall score at least 2 goals in this match.
2. Larne has conceded more goals than they have scored at home in their last 5 matches (6 goals conceded against 6 goals scored). Furthermore, their defensive potential at home is 71%, indicating they tend to concede goals. Taking this into consideration, it is plausible that Larne will concede at least 2 goals against Saint-Gall.
3. Analysis of previous matches shows that Saint-Gall wins the majority of their away games, with a success probability of 72.31% according to the odds. Larne, on the other hand, has a lower home win percentage (13.85%). Combined with their tendency to concede goals, this points towards a potential victory for Saint-Gall.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Larne, at home, scores and concedes, with an average of 1 goal from each side per match. Not very promising. They have only won 40% of their home games.

Saint-Gall, away from home, has a similar record, but a better offensive output: they score an average of 1.6 goals per match. The flip side? Their defense. Saint-Gall has conceded 9 goals in 5 away matches.

There is one constant though, the number of goals. Less than 4.5 goals have been scored in 82.05% of the matches involving these two teams.

The odds also suggest a more likely victory for Saint-Gall with a 72.31% probability. It is also more likely that over 1.5 goals will be scored (78.46% probability).

It’s a close call for both teams to score, but it leans towards a ‘no’ with a success probability of 50.77%.

Conclusion: A match where the likelihood of seeing goals (1.5 or more) is high. Saint-Gall appears to be the favorite. Consider a Saint-Gall win with under 4.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Larne shows moderate home performance with a 40% win rate. They have a balanced record of 6 goals scored to 6 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is limited at 36%, while their defense poses a challenge with a 71% potential.

Saint-Gall, playing away, has less success with only a 20% win rate. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 9, indicating a vulnerable defense. They have an average of 1.6 goals per match, and their offensive potential is higher than Larne’s at 57%.

The probability of a draw or Saint-Gall winning the match is 86.15%. This is an impressive figure suggesting that Saint-Gall could come away with at least a point.

Regarding the number of goals, the probability of there being over 1.5 goals is 78.46% and for over 2.5 goals is 58.97%. Recent matches of these two teams suggest high scores.

Despite their efforts, both teams struggle to keep a clean sheet. The probability of both teams scoring is 49.23%.

In conclusion, this match is likely to be spectacular with goals on both sides. Saint-Gall seems to have an advantage, especially in offensive terms. For a safe bet, a draw or Saint-Gall winning the match could be a reliable option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics and recent performances, it appears that Saint-Gall has a significant advantage in the upcoming match. Their offensive superiority and ability to consistently score away from home are key factors that reinforce this inclination.

Additionally, a fairly offensive match with a high number of goals can be expected. Both teams have shown weaknesses in defense and a tendency to concede goals. Considering the percentages, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems like a reasonable option.

Regarding BTTS, recent performances suggest that both teams are quite likely to score at least one goal. However, this remains a contentious issue.

A value bet option to consider would be a draw or Larne to win the match. Despite the low probability, Larne’s recent home performances and Saint-Gall’s away struggles could allow Larne to secure at least one point.

Finally, betting on the exact score, a Saint-Gall victory with a score of 1-2 appears to be a plausible possibility considering the offensive and defensive tendencies of both teams.

As always, it is important to remember that sports betting involves risks and it is essential to bet responsibly. It is always important to keep in mind that past performances do not guarantee future results.