Tipps Laval PAU Ligue 2 27/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Laval wins the match.

1. Laval’s home performance shows a high probability of winning (40%) or drawing (40%). The combined percentage of these probabilities gives us an 80% probability that Laval will not lose the match, reinforcing the prediction option ‘Draw or Laval wins the match’.

2. PAU has a relatively weak away performance with only a 20% win rate and more goals conceded than scored (12 against 9). This indicates a negative trend when PAU plays away, strengthening the prediction in favor of Laval or a draw.

3. The calculated probabilities also favor our prediction, with a success probability of 73.33% for ‘Draw or Laval wins the match’. This is much higher than PAU’s win probability (26.67%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Offensive and defensive performances: According to the provided statistics, Laval has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1 goal at home, while PAU has an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match away. This indicates a tendency towards matches with a total number of goals scored under 2.5.

2. Recent performances: Looking at the last five matches of each team, it is observed that in the majority of cases, the total goals scored during the match are under 2.5. This trend suggests that it is likely that this match will also have a total number of goals under 2.5.

3. Provided betting probabilities: The probability for a total of under 2.5 goals in the match is higher (1.75) compared to the bet for over 2.5 goals (2.05). This suggests that the bookmakers also predict a match with less than 2.5 goals, supporting the initial forecast.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The analysis of past performances shows that both teams have a stable offensive capability, with Laval scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match at home and PAU scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match away. This indicates that both teams have strong offensive abilities to score goals.

2. Defensive statistics also show a regular concession of goals by both teams; Laval concedes an average of 1 goal per match at home and PAU concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match away. This trend means that each team is likely to concede at least one goal during the match.

3. Looking at the calculated probabilities, both teams to score has a success probability of 51.28%. This percentage is a strong additional indicator in favor of the prediction that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Laval 1-1 PAU

1. History of scores: In their recent respective matches, Laval and PAU have shown a trend towards tight results with several draws, which could hint at a draw in the upcoming match with a score of 1-1. For instance, Laval drew 1-1 with Ajaccio while PAU achieved the same score against Grenoble Foot.

2. Match statistics: Both teams have displayed balanced performances in attack and defense. For example, Laval has scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1 goal per match, while PAU has scored an average of 1.8 goals and conceded 1.2 goals per match. Therefore, a 1-1 score seems like a realistic projection given their recent performances.

3. Indicated probabilities: The analysis of probabilities also suggests that a draw is plausible. The probability of a draw is estimated at 30.77% and the probability of both teams scoring is 51.28%. These two factors indicate that betting on a 1-1 result could be an interesting option.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Laval has shown strong form at home, with wins or draws in 80% of their last 5 matches. However, they have scored and conceded the same number of goals (7), so their defense could pose problems.

PAU, on the other hand, has had less impressive results away, winning only in 20% of cases. They have scored more but also conceded more goals (12).

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, PAU seems to have the advantage with 64% and 43% respectively, compared to 43% and 36% for Laval.

The probabilities favor Laval to win (42.56% compared to 26.67% for PAU). The chances of a draw are 30.77%. Combining these probabilities, we get a 73.33% chance of either Laval winning or the match ending in a draw.

In terms of goals, the match is expected to be relatively tight with a 73.33% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals, but only a 48.21% chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals. It is more likely (75.9%) to see less than 3.5 goals.

Finally, both teams have about a 51% chance of scoring. Based on these statistics, I would recommend a bet on under 2.5 goals in the match and either Laval to win or the match to end in a draw.

The potential number of goals

The Laval vs PAU match could be very balanced. Laval has shown a solid performance at home, with a 40% win rate and 40% draws, scoring and conceding an average of 1.2 and 1 goal per match. On the other hand, PAU doesn’t shine away from home, with only a 20% win rate and a higher average of goals conceded compared to Laval.

PAU seems to have a better offense with 1.8 goals per match against Laval’s 1.2, but their defense is weaker, balancing the match.

The probabilities show a slight advantage for Laval, with a 42.56% chance of winning, but a draw is plausible with a 30.77% probability. PAU’s potential should not be underestimated, with a 26.67% chance of winning.

The main trend is that the match could have fewer than 3.5 goals, with a 75.9% probability. There is a 51.28% chance of both teams scoring, so a final score of 1-1 or 2-1 for either team seems likely.

Looking at recent matches, both teams tend to score and concede goals, so a match with shot exchanges is very probable.

In summary, a close match is expected, with Laval slightly favored, but a draw is a strong possibility. PAU’s attacking play should be balanced by Laval’s defense, so fewer than 3.5 goals seem probable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the Laval-PAU match, scheduled for September 27, 2024, appears to be quite promising. The analyses and statistics at our disposal suggest that the game will be tight and could very well result in a draw, or a slight victory for Laval. However, it is important to note that sports probabilities always involve a degree of uncertainty and that the final results depend on many factors, including the players’ form on the day of the match and possible in-game contingencies.

The suggested bets therefore include ‘under 2.5 goals in the match’, ‘draw or Laval wins’, or even a ‘final score of 1-1’. Both teams have shown a stable offensive capacity, also indicating the potential for each team to score in this match. On the other hand, the bet ‘over 2.5 goals in the match’ offers an interesting value bet.

These predictions are based on the teams’ recent form, their offensive and defensive performance, and the trends observed in past confrontations. Considering all these factors, it is essential to bet responsibly and to see these predictions as a guide rather than a guarantee of success.