Tipps Lazio Juventus Coupe d'Italie 23/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Juventus wins the match.

1. Juventus, although strong on the field with a defensive potential of 21%, has not won any of their last 5 away matches, with 60% ending in draws. This indicates an increased likelihood of a draw or a Juventus win compared to a Lazio win.

2. The probabilities suggest a success rate of 68.09% for the scenario of a draw or a Juventus win, which is higher than the 65.43% success rate for a draw or a Lazio win. This is a clear indicator that Juventus has a slightly higher chance of winning or securing a draw.

3. Lazio’s past performances at home are not in their favor, with only one win in their last 5 home matches, including a loss to Juventus. This leads us to believe that Juventus has a reasonable chance of securing a win, or at least a draw, in their next encounter.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The recent performances of both teams show that they struggle to score many goals. In their last 5 matches, Lazio Rome scored 7 goals and Juventus 5 goals, averaging approximately 1 goal per team per match.
2. The calculated offensive potential for both teams is relatively low, with 43% for Lazio Rome and 36% for Juventus, indicating that their attacks are not very effective.
3. The defensive statistics of both teams, with a defensive potential of 29% for Lazio Rome and 21% for Juventus, suggest that they are both capable of containing the opponent’s attack. Moreover, in the last five matches played against each other, two ended with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The offensive performances of both teams are promising. Lazio Rome scores an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Juventus scores 1 goal per match away; indicating that both teams have a history of scoring in their respective matches.

2. According to the information provided, Lazio Rome has scored in 80% of its last 5 home matches (only one goalless match), while Juventus has scored in all of its last 5 away matches. Furthermore, in their last match at home against Juventus, Lazio Rome managed to score.

3. Lazio Rome appears to have a weak defense at home, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match, as does Juventus who concedes an average of 0.6 goals away. Therefore, there is a possibility that both teams will concede goals in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Lazio Rome 1-1 Juventus.

1. Recent statistics show that Lazio Rome and Juventus tend to draw in a large majority of their matches, with 60% for each team respectively. These figures suggest a strong potential for another draw between the two.
2. Both teams have modest offensive and defensive potential: Lazio Rome has an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and an average of 0.8 goals conceded, while Juventus has an average of 1 goal scored per match and an average of 0.6 goals conceded. Therefore, a low-scoring match seems likely.
3. The exact score prediction of 1-1 is supported by market probabilities: the odds indicate a relatively balanced probability for the three possible outcomes: Lazio Rome win (31.91% probability), draw (33.51% probability), and Juventus win (34.57% probability). The odds also indicate a strong probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match (82.45% probability).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lazio Rome has shown strength at home with 2 wins, 3 losses, and no draws in their last 5 matches. However, the team seems to struggle defensively, conceding 9 goals.

On the other hand, Juventus has had difficulties away from home, with no wins in their last 5 away games. Nevertheless, they have managed to secure 3 draws.

Comparatively, the average goals scored per match is slightly higher for Lazio Rome (1.2 compared to 1 for Juventus). Lazio Rome also has a better offensive potential (43% compared to 36%).

In terms of probabilities, the match is very tight. There is a slight preference for a Juventus win with 34.57% compared to 31.91% for Lazio Rome.

As for the goals, it is more likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals (82.45% probability). The risk of seeing more than 4.5 goals is very low (5.79% probability).

Both teams have a slightly higher chance of scoring in this match (52.13% probability).

The recent history of encounters reveals a recent victory of Lazio Rome over Juventus, which could play a role.

Overall, this match looks to be tight. A betting strategy could be to bet on a match with less than 3.5 goals, with either a Juventus win or a draw.

The potential number of goals

Lazio Rome has had a mixed performance at home with 2 wins out of 5 matches. Their attack averages 1.2 goals per match, but their defense concedes almost as many goals. Juventus, on the other hand, struggles when playing away, not having won any of their last 5 matches and scoring an average of only 1 goal. Their defense has been somewhat solid, conceding only 0.6 goals on average per match. The probabilities indicate a close match, with a draw being likely at 33.51% probability. The probability of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match is high, at 82.45%. Additionally, both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a probability of 52.13%. In conclusion, this match could end with a low number of goals and a potential draw result.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Coppa Italia match between Lazio Rome and Juventus is shaping up to be a close one, considering the recent statistics and performances of both teams. Juventus has a slight edge in terms of probabilities for a win or a draw, but they shouldn’t be too confident given their mixed away performances. On the other hand, while Lazio Rome has shown offensive skills, they will need to improve their defense to withstand Juventus’ attacks.

In terms of betting, a match with less than 3.5 goals seems like a safe bet, considering the modest offensive potentials and solid defensive performances of both teams. Additionally, betting on a draw offers interesting value, given the recent result trends of both teams. Lastly, both teams seem likely to score, making the “both teams to score” bet appealing.

However, all sports predictions involve an element of uncertainty, and current trends can be disrupted during the actual match. Therefore, it is recommended to use this information as a guide to inform your betting decisions rather than blindly following them. Good luck with your bets!