Tipps Lecce Cagliari Serie A 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Lecce wins the match.

1. The probability percentage strongly favors a draw or a Lecce victory at 78.72%, which is a strong argument in favor of this prediction compared to other options.
2. Lecce’s home record in the last 5 matches confirms this trend. They have won in 20% of cases and drawn in 80% of cases, showing that their ability to avoid defeat at home is quite solid.
3. Compared to the opposing team, Cagliari, their away performance is not as consistent, winning only in 20% of cases and drawing in 40% of cases. Furthermore, they have conceded more goals than they have scored in their last 5 away matches. This indicates that they may struggle to prevail against Lecce in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The performances of Lecce at home in their last 5 matches show a low offensive potential with an average of 1 goal per game. This indicates a difficulty in scoring goals, hence the probability of a total score of less than 2.5.

2. Cagliari, in their last 5 away matches, also showed a difficulty in scoring many goals with an average of 1.6 goals per game. Furthermore, their defensive performance is rather good with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game, which limits the chances of a high overall score.

3. The match has a high probability of 80.32% of having less than 3.5 goals, which reinforces the idea of a potentially closed game with less than 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown recent offensive capabilities: Lecce, despite having a low win rate, has scored at least 1 goal in the majority of their last 5 home matches. Similarly, Cagliari has been scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match in their away games, indicating that they have the potential to score in this match.

2. The defenses have weaknesses: Lecce has been conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match at home, while Cagliari concedes an average of 0.8 goals per match away. This shows that their defenses are weak, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Based on their recent matches, both teams have a tendency to allow the opponent to score: in Lecce’s last 5 home matches, most opposing teams have managed to score. Similarly, in the majority of Cagliari’s last 5 away matches, the opposing teams have also been able to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Cagliari wins the match – 1.72

Bet on the exact result

Lecce 1-1 Cagliari

1. Match history: Lecce has a tendency to draw in 80% of their last home matches, while Cagliari has drawn in 40% of their last away matches. This supports the prediction of a draw.

2. Defensive and offensive performances: Lecce has a defensive potential of 86%, meaning they tend to concede goals. On the other hand, Cagliari has an offensive potential of 57% away, indicating a reasonable likelihood of scoring goals. These statistics translate to a high probability of the match ending in a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Betting probabilities: The draw has a success probability of 34.57%, with odds of 3.30. Additionally, there is a 72.34% probability for over 1.5 goals in the match, indicating the possibility of at least one goal being scored by each team. These probabilities also support the prediction of an exact score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lecce, at home, struggles to shine with only a 20% win rate, but manages to secure a draw in 80% of cases. Their offensive potential remains low with an average of 1 goal per match, while the defense leaves something to be desired with an average of 2.4 goals conceded.

On the other hand, Cagliari doesn’t perform much better away from home, recording only a 20% win rate but showing a better average of goals scored at 1.6 per match. Their defense holds up well, conceding just 0.8 goals per match.

It is worth noting that the probability of a draw or a Lecce victory stands at 78.72%, with a 72.34% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match.

Based on the scores of previous matches, such as the match between Lecce and Mantova (2-1) and that between Modena and Cagliari (2-2), both teams have a 54.79% probability of scoring.

In conclusion, a likely outcome would be a draw or a Lecce victory with a total of over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Lecce, at home, has won only one out of 5 matches and has conceded a majority. They have scored 4 goals but conceded 6. Their offensive strength is at 36% while their defense is weak at 86%.

Cagliari, away, has won only one match out of 5 and scored 7 goals while conceding 9. Their offensive edge is at 57% and their defensive game is solid at 29%.

Probabilities indicate a slight favor for Lecce with a 44.15% chance of victory against 21.28% for Cagliari. The draw stands at 34.57%.

The match is expected to be less offensive with a 72.34% probability for more than 1.5 goals and 80.32% for less than 3.5 goals.

Both teams have a chance to score in this match with a 54.79% probability.

Previous matches at home for Lecce indicate a defensive trend, while Cagliari has shown an offensive approach on the road.

A likely prediction is a match with less than 3.5 goals, potentially a win for Lecce or a draw.

Riskier bets could target a match with more than 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

By analyzing various factors such as past performances, home and away statistics, offensive and defensive potentials, it appears that this match between Lecce and Cagliari has a relatively high probability of ending in a draw or a Lecce victory, with less than 3.5 total goals scored.

The scenario of a 1-1 draw is also possible according to betting probabilities, which aligns with the fact that both teams show defensive vulnerabilities and a capability to score, even if they struggle to win.

However, an interesting value bet could be placed on a draw or a Cagliari victory, considering its strong defensive performances away from home and ability to secure draws against stronger opponents.

Ultimately, while this match may not seem to be one of the most high-scoring ones in Serie A, there are good reasons to believe that it will offer several opportunities for interesting bets. That being said, every bettor should always carefully weigh the risks before placing a bet.