Tipps Lecce Empoli Serie A 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Lecce wins the match

1. The risk percentage for Lecce at home is lower than that of Empoli away. Lecce has a 43.85% probability of winning the match at home against Empoli’s 20.32% away success rate.

2. Recent performances by Lecce at home show more draws (60%) than losses, indicating a strong defense. Furthermore, Empoli has a weaker defense with a defensive potential of 50% which could favor Lecce.

3. Based on goal statistics, Lecce has a better defensive balance at home with an average of 1 goal conceded per match compared to Empoli’s 1.4 away. Additionally, Lecce has shown improvement by defeating Fiorentina with 3 goals scored.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The lack of offensive efficiency: In their last 5 home games, Lecce has scored an average of 0.6 goals per game. On the other hand, Empoli has only scored 0.6 goals per game on average in their recent 5 away games. Both teams lack offensive efficiency, which could limit the total number of goals in the match.

2. The defensive strength of both teams: Lecce has shown defensive solidity, conceding only 1 goal per game on average in their last 5 home matches. Similarly, Empoli has an average of conceding 1.4 goals per game in their last 5 away matches, indicating some defensive resilience despite some errors.

3. Recent match history: Referring to the latest home matches of Lecce and away matches of Empoli, it is observed that the majority of these matches ended with less than 2.5 goals. It appears that the playing styles of both teams generally favor low-scoring games.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Average goals scored: By analyzing the provided statistics, it can be observed that both teams have a low average of goals scored in their last 5 matches (Lecce: 0.4 goals per match, Empoli: 0.6 goals per match). This indicates a relatively low offensive potential for both teams.

2. Recent match analyses: Looking at Lecce’s recent home matches, Lecce managed to score goals in only 20% of them. Similarly, in Empoli’s recent away matches, Empoli failed to score in 40% of the cases.

3. Probability of ‘Both teams to score – No’: The probability of both teams not scoring is 49.2%, which is almost as likely as both teams scoring (50.8%). This suggests that the defenses are quite solid and given the previously mentioned low offensive potential, it strengthens the hypothesis that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Empoli wins the match – 20.32% probability of success: 3.75

Bet on the exact result

Lecce 1-1 Empoli

1. The recent performances of both teams support this prediction. Lecce has a high percentage of draws in their last 5 home games, at 60%. Similarly, Empoli draws in 20% of cases when playing away. Furthermore, both teams have a goal per match average that aligns with a 1-1 scoreline, with Lecce averaging 0.4 goals at home and Empoli averaging 0.6 goals away.

2. The offensive and defensive potentials of both teams also match this prediction. The probability of both teams scoring is 50.8% according to the odds, which is relatively balanced. In terms of goals conceded, Lecce averages 1 goal per home game and Empoli concedes an average of 1.4 goals per away game.

3. The odds for a draw (with a 35.83% probability of success) or few goals in the match also support this prediction. For example, the bet ‘Under 2.5 goals in the match’ has odds of 1.65, which are relatively low, indicating that the match will likely have a low score. Additionally, the odds suggest that the match will likely be closely contested, with only a 43.85% chance of Lecce winning and a 20.32% chance of Empoli winning.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lecce struggles to win at home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. In contrast, Empoli has a 40% victory rate away from home.

Lecce has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, while Empoli, despite conceding 8 goals, has managed to score 7.

Lecce shows a weak offensive (14%) and defensive potential (36%). Empoli has a bit more attacking prowess (21%) and defensive solidity (50%).

For this match, Lecce has a 43.85% chance of winning, while Empoli stands at 20.32%. A draw seems likely at 35.83%.

The option “Draw or Lecce win” has a success rate of 79.68%, while “Draw or Empoli win” is at 56.15%.

The probability of less than 1.5 goals is low. More than 1.5 goals is more likely with a probability of 70.05%.

In terms of recent scores, Lecce has scored only one goal in their last 5 home matches. Empoli has won 2 of their last 5 away games.

This suggests a low-scoring match and potentially a result in favor of Lecce, despite their recent form.

The potential number of goals

Lecce has won only once in their last 5 home matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 6. On average, Lecce scores 0.4 goals per match and concedes 1 goal. Their defense is therefore a weak point with a probability of 64%.

Empoli has a better performance away from home, with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Empoli averages 0.6 goals scored per away match and concedes 1.4 goals. Their offensive potential is slightly higher than Lecce’s at 21%, but they also have defensive weaknesses – 50% probability.

In terms of predictions, Lecce has a 43.85% chance of winning the match with odds of 2.15. A draw is estimated to have a 35.83% probability (odds of 3.30). Empoli is less likely to win according to the predictions, with a probability of 20.32% and odds of 3.75.

As for the number of goals, over 1.5 goals in the match have odds of 1.42 with a 70.05% probability – this parameter seems more likely. However, the probability of over 2.5 goals is only 39.04% (odds of 2.25).

In conclusion, the data predicts a more defensive than offensive match, with Lecce having a slight advantage at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistics and recent performances, Lecce seems to have a slight advantage to win this match at home, with a higher success rate than Empoli in away games. According to the data, the match is expected to be defensively oriented with a likely number of goals under 2.5. However, Empoli’s better away win percentage could also lead to a surprise result. In any case, sports betting remains uncertain and bettors are advised to use this data to inform their decision without relying on it blindly. Ultimately, sports always retain an element of unpredictability that adds to their charm.