Tipps Lecce Udinese Serie A 13/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Lecce win the match.

1. The analysis of past performances shows that Lecce has a better home performance compared to Udinese’s away record. Lecce has managed to win or draw in 60% of their last 5 home matches, while Udinese has only achieved the same in 60% of their away matches.

2. Lecce has a superior offensive and defensive potential compared to Udinese. Lecce’s offensive potential is estimated at 43% compared to Udinese’s 29%, and Lecce’s defensive potential is estimated at 36% compared to Udinese’s 50%. This indicates that Lecce is potentially better equipped both in attack and defense.

3. The suggested odds also favor a win or draw for Lecce. The probability of “Draw or Lecce win the match” happening is calculated at 66.67% compared to 64.44% for “Draw or Udinese win the match”.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics: In their respective last 5 matches, Lecce has only scored 2 goals at home and Udinese has scored 4 goals away. This gives a combined average of less than 1.5 goals per match scored by both teams.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Lecce and Udinese have relatively low offensive potential (43% for Lecce at home and 29% for Udinese away). Similarly, their defensive performances are rather good (36% defensive potential of Lecce at home and 50% for Udinese away). This indicates a low number of goals expected.

3. Analysis of previous scores: In Lecce’s last home matches, 4 out of 5 matches saw less than 2.5 goals, just like 4 out of 5 last away matches for Udinese. This trend suggests that the same pattern could occur in their confrontation.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The low offensive potential of both teams, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match for Lecce and 0.8 for Udinese, suggests that the teams struggle to score goals.

2. The match history shows a trend where either both teams do not score, or only one team scores. For instance, in the last five home matches of Lecce, only two saw both teams score, while in the last five away matches of Udinese, only two saw both teams score.

3. The betting probabilities indicate a higher likelihood (53.89%) of both teams not scoring, compared to the probability of both teams scoring (46.11%). These probabilities suggest that bettors expect a low-scoring match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Lecce 1-1 Udinese”

1. The statistics for Lecce and Udinese show that they both tend to draw in 40% of their last 5 matches, indicating a moderate tendency for equality between these two teams.

2. In terms of their offensive and defensive potentials, Lecce and Udinese average between 0.8 to 1.2 goals scored per match, and concede around 1 to 1.4 goals. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 46.11%. These numbers suggest a more probable score of 1-1.

3. The recent match results for Lecce at home and Udinese away show several matches ending with a 1-1 scoreline, further strengthening the assumption of a 1-1 draw in the upcoming match between Lecce and Udinese.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lecce wins little at home (20% of the time) but often secures a draw (40% of matches). In addition, they have only scored 2 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 home matches.

When Udinese plays away, the scenario is similar with a 20% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored four goals and conceded six in their last 5 away matches.

Lecce has an offensive potential of 43% at home, compared to Udinese’s 29% on the road. However, Udinese has a defensive potential of over 50%, while Lecce stands at 36%.

A draw or a Lecce win has a success probability of 66.67% (odds at 1.45). An identical result or an Udinese win has a 64.44% chance of happening (odds at 1.52).

Betting on the number of goals shows a trend. A match with less than 3.5 goals has a high probability of 93.89% (odds of 1.22).

The final prediction would suggest a rather defensive match, with few goals scored and the potential for a draw or a win for either team.

The potential number of goals

Lecce, on their home turf, has won only one out of 5 matches, with an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 36%. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 6.

Udinese, on the road, also has one win in 5 matches. They have an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 50%. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6.

The match looks tight. The odds reflect a relative equality: 2.65 for Lecce, 3.20 for a draw, and 2.85 for Udinese.

Regarding the number of goals, the most likely scenario is less than 3.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 93.89%.

Both teams struggle to score. The probability of both teams not scoring is 53.89%.

Based on these numbers, a close match with few goals is expected. Betting on “under 3.5 goals in the match” or “both teams to not score” could be wise.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical data obtained from the past performances of Lecce and Udinese indicate a likelihood of a low-scoring match. Both teams have shown weak offensive potential and strong defense, reducing the chances of a high-scoring game. It is more likely to see a draw or a win for either team, with less than 2.5 goals overall in the match. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is not high, which could be an interesting betting strategy. Bettors are therefore encouraged to take these factors into consideration, closely monitor the odds, and bet responsibly.