Tipps Lecco Reggiana Serie B 13/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Reggiana wins the match.

1. Reggiana has a better performance in terms of wins in the last 5 matches compared to Lecco. Specifically, Reggiana has won in 40% of the cases while Lecco has not won a single time in their last 5 home matches.

2. Reggiana has a superior offensive and defensive potential compared to Lecco. Reggiana scores an average of 0.8 goals per match and concedes the same number, giving them an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 29%. In contrast, Lecco has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 57%.

3. Probability statistics also show that Reggiana has a higher chance of winning the match with 43.68% compared to Lecco’s 25.79%. The associated odds also converge to this conclusion with a payout of 2.55 for a Reggiana win compared to 2.80 for Lecco.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Translation:
1. In the last 5 home matches of Lecco, they have only scored 2 goals and conceded 3. This gives an average of less than 1 goal scored and more than 1 goal conceded per match. The team’s offensive and defensive potential is 21% and 57% respectively, suggesting a more defensive style of play from them.

2. Reggiana, in their last 5 away matches, has only scored 5 goals, also conceding 6. This indicates that Reggiana’s offensive and defensive potential is also low, at 29% each. Their previous away matches have not produced many goals.

3. The recent form of both teams and the available data suggest a low-scoring match. Most of the recent home matches of Lecco and away matches of Reggiana have ended with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Lecco has a low success rate in scoring goals at home, with an average of only 0.6 goals per match. Additionally, in their last 5 home matches, they have not won in any case, indicating a weak offensive potential.

2. Reggiana, while having a slightly higher success rate away from home with an average of 0.8 goals per match, still has a relatively low offensive potential. Furthermore, they have managed to keep a clean sheet in two of their last five away matches, indicating a solid defensive ability.

3. Looking at the bookmakers’ probability percentage, it clearly indicates that both teams will not score with a 50% probability. Combined with Lecco and Reggiana’s poor offensive performance, it is more likely that both teams will not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Lecco 1-1 Reggiana

1. Previous match statistics show that Lecco and Reggiana often have games with few goals scored. Specifically, Lecco has an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and Reggiana is at 0.8.
2. Lecco’s defensive potential is relatively high (57%), indicating a strong likelihood of resistance against Reggiana’s attacks, thus increasing the chances of a low-scoring game.
3. Draw rates are high for both teams, especially for Lecco (80%), suggesting a likely draw outcome. Additionally, this prediction has a 30.53% success probability on the draw betting option.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lecco has not won any of its last 5 home matches. They have conceded 3 more goals than they have scored.

Reggiana has won 2 of their last 5 away matches. Both teams are equal in goals scored and conceded.

Lecco’s home offensive potential is 21% while Reggiana’s away offensive potential is 29%.

Lecco has a 25.79% probability to win, whereas Reggiana has a 43.68% probability to win.

The match could end with a low score, with an 86.32% probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match.

There is a 50% chance that both teams will score.

In conclusion, Reggiana seems to have a slight advantage, however, the high number of draws in Lecco’s past should be taken into consideration.

The potential number of goals

Lecco has been struggling at home, with no victories in the last 5 matches. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 3, with an offensive potential of 21% and defensive potential of 57%. On the other hand, Reggiana is more successful away from home. They have won 40% of their last 5 matches, scored 5 goals, and conceded 6. Their offensive potential is 29%, and defensive potential is 29%.

The bookmaker adjusts the odds according to probabilities. The probability of Lecco winning is 25.79%, a draw is 30.53%, and Reggiana winning is 43.68%. The combined chances of Lecco winning or a draw are 56.32%, while a draw or Reggiana winning are at 74.21%.

Regarding goals, a total of under 1.5 in the match seems less likely with a success rate of 72.63%. Additionally, the match could have under 3.5 goals as the probability is 86.32%.

These statistics suggest a tight match with few goals scored. Considering the potential of both teams, a safe bet could be “Under 3.5 goals in the match” at odds of 1.22.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the analysis and statistics point towards a stronger performance by Reggiana in this match against Lecco, having shown superior form recently as well as stronger offensive and defensive performances. However, Lecco’s home match history and the number of draws suggest that a draw outcome is also a possibility to consider.

In terms of goals, a low-scoring match is predicted, supported by the limited offensive potential of both Lecco and Reggiana. Therefore, an interesting bet, based on statistics and probabilities, could be a total of “under 3.5” goals in the match.

However, as always in sports betting, while statistics and probabilities can provide guidance, the final outcome can still be influenced by many unpredictable factors. It is essential to approach betting with caution, a good understanding of the game, and wise bankroll management.