Tipps Leeds Norwich Championship 16/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Leeds United wins the match.

1. Leeds United has a higher offensive potential than Norwich City in their last 5 matches: they have scored an average of 1 goal per match compared to 0.8 for Norwich City. Additionally, their probability of winning the match is significantly higher, at 65.99% compared to 14.21% for Norwich City.

2. At home, Leeds United has managed to win in 40% of cases in their last 5 matches and has drawn 40% of the time. Compared to Norwich City, who have won only 40% of the time and drawn 20% of the time in their away matches, it appears that Leeds United have a better chance of winning this match.

3. In the last 5 home matches of Leeds United, they have conceded fewer goals than Norwich City away. Conceding an average of about 2 goals per match compared to 0.8 for Norwich City, this suggests a stronger defense for Leeds United.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics clearly show an average of over 2.5 goals in the last 5 matches of each team. Leeds United has scored 6 goals and conceded 6, while Norwich City has scored 7 goals and conceded 7. This indicates sufficient offensive and defensive potential to reach the required number of goals.

2. The probabilities associated with specific bets are also favorable to the prediction “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” which has a success probability of 65.48%. This probability is higher than those of other bets related to the number of goals in the match.

3. Referring to the latest matches of each team, both Leeds United and Norwich City have had matches with 3 goals or more. For example, the match between Leeds United and Hull City (3-1) or the match between Norwich City and Stoke City (3-0). These recent results can be a good indicator for a forthcoming match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown ability to score and concede goals in their recent matches, suggesting that they both have offensive and defensive potential. Leeds United has scored 6 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 home matches, while Norwich City has scored 7 goals and conceded 7 away.

2. The majority of Leeds United’s home matches (60%) and Norwich City’s away matches (60%) have seen both teams score (Total matches where Leeds United conceded at least one goal added to matches where Norwich City scored at least one goal and divided by total matches, i.e. (3+3)/10).

3. The probability of success for the “Both teams to score” bet at 56.35% is relatively high compared to other options, indicating that the statistics and current performances of both teams are favorable for this bet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Norwich City wins the match – 2.80

Bet on the exact result

Leeds United 1-1 Norwich City

1. The home match statistics of Leeds United show that they average 1 goal per match, which is consistent with the prediction of a goal for this team.
2. The away match statistics of Norwich City also translate to an average of 0.8 goals per match, indicating that they have a high likelihood of scoring a goal in the match against Leeds United.
3. Both teams have a balanced record of goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches (6 for Leeds United, 7 for Norwich City), suggesting that the teams are fairly evenly matched and a draw is a real possibility.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Leeds United have been stable at home with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate in their recent matches. Their attack has scored 6 goals, but their defense has also conceded 6.

On the other hand, Norwich City has not been in bad form away from home, with a 40% win rate and only 20% draw rate. Their goal record is 7 scored and 7 conceded.

However, in terms of potential, Leeds have an offensive strength of 36% and defensive solidity of 71%. Norwich, on the other hand, have lower offensive and defensive potentials at 29%.

There is a 65.99% probability of Leeds winning this match, with odds of 1.44. A draw has a 19.8% likelihood with odds of 4.94. Norwich’s victory seems unlikely with only a 14.21% probability and odds of 6.41.

For goals betting, there is a high probability of 89.34% for over 1.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.15. On the other hand, there is a 77.66% chance of there being under 4.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.28.

Regarding both teams to score, the probability is 56.35% with odds of 1.65.

In conclusion, Leeds are more likely to win this match, with a probability of over 1.5 goals and both teams to score.

The potential number of goals

Leeds United looks stronger at home, with a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws in their last 5 matches. Perfect balance with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. On the Norwich City side, the same win rate away and 20% draws. Also balanced with 7 goals scored and conceded.

In terms of average performance per match, Leeds is solid at home, scoring 1 goal for every 2 conceded. Norwich has fewer concerns away with 0.8 goals each way. Offensive capabilities are at 36% for Leeds versus 29% for Norwich. Defensively, Leeds has the advantage with 71% compared to 29% for Norwich.

Leeds has a winning potential of 65.99% with odds at 1.44. For a draw, the probability is 19.8% with odds at 4.94. Norwich has a 14.21% chance of winning, with odds at 6.41.

It seems sensible to bet on fewer than 2.5 goals during the game. The success rate is 65.48% for over 2.5 goals, which corresponds to odds of 1.50. But for fewer than 3.5 goals, the rate increases to 58.88%, with odds of 1.65.

Leeds’ recent home matches have been tight, except for a 3-1 win over Hull City. Norwich has had variable performances away, including a good 3-0 win over Stoke City.

In conclusion, the safest bet would be to wager on a Leeds victory with fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on a thorough statistical analysis of the recent performances of Leeds United and Norwich City, certain key indicators emerge. Firstly, it is advisable to bet on a Leeds United win given their probability rate of winning the match stands at 65.99%, supported by the fact that they have shown a stronger defense at home and superior offensive potential. Secondly, the expected number of goals in the match should be over 2.5, considering the scoring history of each team. Thirdly, both teams are expected to score given their balanced offensive and defensive records.

However, as with all sports betting, risk is present, and it is essential to place bets responsibly. My recommendation for a ‘value bet’ based on past performances and bookmakers’ odds is “Draw or Norwich City win” with odds of 2.80.

The predicted exact score is 1-1, which is a reasonable conclusion given the balanced records of both teams, although Leeds United has a higher probability of winning.

It is important to note that while these predictions are based on performance data and rigorous statistics, sports are unpredictable, and the final outcome may vary. Betting decisions should always be made with a clear understanding of the associated risks.