Tipps Leeds Southampton Championship 26/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Leeds United wins the match.

1. Leeds United’s home performance: Leeds United has shown strength at home with a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate. Therefore, in its last 5 home matches, it has managed to avoid defeat in 80% of cases.

2. Southampton’s away performance: Southampton struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate and a 40% draw rate. With an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 57% away, their ability to succeed is therefore lower.

3. Probability of success: The probability of the match ending in a draw or with a victory for Leeds United is 71.07%. This further strengthens the argument that Leeds United has a strong chance of not losing this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The statistics show a trend towards low scores in the recent matches of these two teams. Leeds United have averaged 1.8 goals per match at home, while Southampton have only scored an average of one goal away.
2. The defensive abilities of both teams are quite strong, with Leeds United having a 64% defensive potential at home and Southampton 57% away. This suggests that the number of goals could be limited.
3. The latest meetings between these two teams (Leeds United 1-2 Southampton) have not exceeded the 2.5-goal threshold, reinforcing the idea that it is likely to see a match with less than 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams are quite balanced with Leeds United scoring an average of 1.8 goals per home match and conceding 1.8 goals, compared to Southampton who score an average of 1 goal away and concede 1.6 goals. This indicates that both teams have some ability to score goals during the match.

2. Looking at the results of Leeds United’s recent home matches and Southampton’s away matches, it is clear that both teams have been able to find the back of the net. Leeds has scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches, and Southampton has scored in 2 of their last 5 away matches.

3. Based on the probabilities of possible match outcomes, there is a 55.33% chance that both teams will score in the match. This indicates that statistically, it is more likely that both teams will score in this encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Southampton wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Leeds United 1-1 Southampton

1. The defensive capabilities of both teams are similar, with Leeds United conceding an average of 1.8 goals per home match and Southampton conceding an average of 1.6 goals per away match. Additionally, their offensive potential is close, with Leeds United scoring an average of 1.8 goals per home match and Southampton scoring an average of 1 goal per away match. A score of 1-1 reflects these statistics.

2. Both teams have a high percentage of draws in their last 5 matches, with Leeds United drawing in 40% of cases and Southampton also in 40% of cases. This reinforces the suggestion of a draw.

3. Looking at the recent matchups between the two teams, the most recent game ended with a 1-2 score in favor of Southampton, indicating that the two teams are fairly evenly matched in terms of performance. With this in mind, a score of 1-1 seems like a reasonable assumption.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Leeds United, in their last 5 home matches, have shown a mixed performance with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored 8 goals in total, averaging 1.8 goals per match, but have also conceded 9. Their offensive potential is quite strong at 64%.

Southampton, on the other hand, has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches with 40% draws. They have scored 3 goals in total and conceded 3, averaging 1 goal scored per match. However, their offensive potential is weak at 36%.

The probability of Leeds United winning the match is 38.58%, while Southampton’s is 28.93%. The chance of a draw is 32.49%. According to these figures, Leeds United is more likely to win.

Less than 1.5 goals in the match has odds of 3.6, while more than 1.5 goals has odds of 1.30 with a probability of 76.65%. More than 2.5 goals are predicted with a probability of 53.81%. Both teams have a 55.33% chance of scoring.

Analyzing the recent matches, we see that Leeds United won against Norwich City and Hull City, lost to Southampton and Blackburn Rovers, and drew against Sunderland. Southampton’s recent away matches include a draw against West Bromwich Albion, a win against Leeds United, losses to Leicester City and Cardiff City, and another draw against Blackburn Rovers.

Based on this data, a match played with over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring seems to be the most likely prediction. However, a win for Leeds United would not be surprising.

The potential number of goals

Leeds United has shown inconsistent performance at home with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 9. Their offensive and defensive potential stands at 64%.

Southampton, on the other hand, has struggled away from home with only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. They have scored fewer goals with 3 and conceded 3. Southampton’s offensive potential is at 36% and defensive at 57%.

Bookmakers’ odds favor Leeds United slightly at 38.58% compared to Southampton’s 28.93%.

Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match at 76.65% seems interesting. Statistically, under 3.5 goals in the match at 68.02% is also likely.

Both teams have scored in 55.33% of cases, which could be a betting option.

Considering their recent head-to-head, Southampton recently defeated Leeds United 2-1 away, which might suggest a repeated performance.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, despite Leeds United’s mixed performance at home, analysis and statistics suggest that the team has a solid chance of winning the match, or at least securing a draw. The numbers also point to a high likelihood of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating that defenses will play a key role in this match. A bet in favor of “both teams to score” could prove shrewd given the offensive profiles of both teams. However, for a riskier bet, backing a Southampton victory could offer an interesting value bet, although statistics show it is the least likely of the three possible outcomes. In terms of the exact score, a 1-1 result seems both probable and in line with the capabilities of these two teams. Overall, this match looks poised to be balanced and potentially low-scoring, but each sports bet carries its own level of risk and should therefore be approached with caution.