Tipps Leganes Athletic Club La Liga 19/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Athletic Bilbao wins the match

1. Athletic Bilbao has shown better offensive and defensive potential than Leganes in their last 5 matches, with 43% compared to 36% in offense, and 43% compared to 29% in defense, respectively.

2. Match probability statistics clearly suggest an advantage for Athletic Bilbao with a 47.44% chance of winning, compared to just 27.56% for Leganes.

3. The last away match Athletic Bilbao won was against Las Palmas, with a score of 3-2, demonstrating their ability to score goals and win matches away even in difficult situations.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Leganes has a solid defensive performance at home, conceding only 0.8 goals per match on average in their last 5 games. This indicates that they may be able to limit scoring opportunities for Athletic Bilbao.

2. Athletic Bilbao’s offensive performance away from home is limited, with only an average of 1.2 goals scored per match in their last 5 games. This weak offensive performance suggests that they could struggle to score more than 2.5 goals in this match.

3. Looking at the recent match statistics of both teams, the majority of games have had fewer than 2.5 goals. For example, in Leganes’ last 5 home games, 4 had fewer than 2.5 goals, and in Athletic Bilbao’s last 5 away games, 3 had fewer than 2.5 goals. This reinforces the idea that this match could also have fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Offensive Statistics: The latest performances of Leganes at home and Athletic Bilbao away show that both teams have a notable offensive strength. Leganes has scored 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Athletic Bilbao has scored 6 goals in their last 5 away matches. Additionally, both teams average scoring more than one goal per match.

2. Defensive Statistics: Both teams struggle to keep a clean sheet. Leganes has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Bilbao has also conceded 9 goals in their last 5 away games. They both concede on average more than one goal per match, suggesting that both have defenses that can be breached.

3. Head-to-head History: The recent matches of Leganes at home and Bilbao away indicate that in the majority of cases, both teams have scored. There is a significant probability that this trend will continue when they face each other.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Leganes wins the match – 4.33

Bet on the exact result

Leganes 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

1. Recent performance of both teams: By studying the last five matches of each team, Leganes shows a strong tendency to win at home (80% of matches), consistently scoring and conceding few goals, with a total of 8 goals scored and 9 goals conceded. On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao has a weak performance away, with only 20% of victories and an equal number of goals scored and conceded (6 goals scored and 9 conceded).

2. Average goals per match: Athletic Bilbao has a higher average of goals scored and conceded compared to Leganes, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match, while Leganes scores and concedes less on average (1 goal and 0.8 goals respectively), which may indicate that Athletic Bilbao would have an additional chance to score more goals in this match.

3. Betting odds: The chances of winning the match are higher for Athletic Bilbao with a probability of 47.44% compared to 27.56% for Leganes. The bets also suggest that there are better chances for the match to end with over 1.5 goals (probability of 66.03%) and under 3.5 goals (probability of 84.62%). All these factors indicate a more competitive match and a higher probability of a 1-2 score in favor of Bilbao.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Leganés appears strong at home with a win rate of 80% in 5 matches. They score an average of 1 goal per match but also concede 0.8 goals. Leganés has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 29%. Their win probability for the match is estimated at 27.56% with odds at 4.33.

Athletic Bilbao is not in good form away from home with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. They also score 1.2 goals per match but concede the same number. Their offensive and defensive potentials are both at 43%. Their win probability for the match is likely at 47.44% with odds at 1.92.

Prediction: The match seems to be leaning towards a Bilbao win or a draw, with a potential for under 3.5 goals scored. The probability is 72.44% with odds at 1.22 for a draw or Bilbao win, and 84.62% with odds at 1.19 for under 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Leganes shows strong form at home, winning 80% of their matches and scoring 8 goals in 5 games. However, their defensive capability is slightly weak, conceding 9 goals.

On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao struggles away from home, only winning 20% of their matches and scoring 6 goals in their last 5 away games. Their defense away from home also leaves something to be desired, conceding 9 goals.

In terms of potential, Leganes has a home offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 29%. For Bilbao, their numbers are slightly more balanced, with an offensive and defensive potential of 43% away from home.

According to the probabilities, Athletic Bilbao is the favorite to win the match, with a success probability of 47.44%. However, a draw or a Leganes victory is not out of the question, with a probability of 52.56%.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match (84.62%). On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring is 46.79%.

In conclusion, everything points to a low-scoring game, but with a possible surprise from Leganes at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the statistics of both teams, Athletic Bilbao seems to have a slight advantage for this match, with better offensive and defensive potential. However, Leganes should not be underestimated at home. The bet that offers an interesting “value bet” is precisely Leganes’ victory, an opportunity to carefully analyze.

The number of goals is expected to be below 2.5 given Leganes’ defensive performances at home and Bilbao’s limited offensive capabilities away. Nevertheless, statistics show that there is a significant chance that both teams will score during the match.

The most probable score, according to probabilities, would be a 1-2 victory for Bilbao. This corresponds to the moderately productive attacks of both teams as well as their defensive issues.

In conclusion, the Leganes/Athletic Bilbao match promises to be full of suspense. The likely scenario would be a victory for Bilbao or a draw with fewer than 2.5 goals. However, bettors are encouraged to consider the possibility of a surprise victory for Leganes.