Tipps Leon Club America Liga MX 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“America wins the match.”

1. America has a higher win rate: Based on the provided statistics, America has a higher probability of winning the match with a 53.48% success rate compared to Leon at home who only has a 20.86% chance of winning.

2. America has a better defense: On average, in the last 5 away matches, America conceded 0.6 goals per match while Leon conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match at home. This gives America a defensive advantage.

3. America’s previous away matches: America’s past performances in away matches have been more conclusive than Leon’s at home, with for example a win and two draws against top-level opponents like Chelsea and Cruz Azul.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of Leon (36%) and America (43%) combined with their average goals scored per match (1 for Leon and 1.2 for America) suggests a potentially high number of goals in this match.
2. The recent defensive performances of Leon and America, conceding an average of 1.6 and 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 games respectively, indicate that there could be a number of goals conceded, increasing the chances of over 2.5 goals.
3. The recent home matches of Leon and away matches of America show a trend towards high scoring games both at home and away, further increasing the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show a clear trend of both teams scoring goals. León has scored at least 1 goal in all of their last 5 home matches, and similarly, América has scored at least 1 goal in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

2. Both teams have shown weak defense, with León conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match at home and América conceding 0.6 goals away. This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. The success rate for both teams to score is relatively high at 62.03% according to the provided data, indicating that finding a match where both teams score is not uncommon in this combination.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 2.00

Bet on the exact result

Leon 1-1 America

1. Both teams have a strong tendency to draw in their last 5 matches, with Leon having a 40% draw rate at home and America a 40% draw rate away, suggesting a similarity in their performance.

2. The analysis of their offensive and defensive potential shows that both teams have a similar level of performance. On one hand, Leon (at home) has an offensive potential of 36% and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match. On the other hand, America (away) has an offensive potential of 43% and only concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match. These numbers suggest a balanced match likely to end in a draw.

3. The analysis of probabilities for different scenarios aligns with the first two arguments. The draw has a success probability of 25.67% and “more than 1.5 goals in the match” has a high success probability at 80.75%. On the other hand, “both teams to score” has a success probability of 62.03%, suggesting it is likely that both teams will score a goal, leading to a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

At home, Leon is not in the best shape. After 5 matches, victory is only achieved 20% of the time. The situation is not much better for America, which also wins 20% of its matches away.

In their last 5 home matches, Leon scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals. America, on the other hand, scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals away.

On average, Leon scores 1 goal per home match and concedes 1.6 goals. Their offense succeeds 36% of the time, while their defense is at 57%. America, on the other hand, scores an average of 1.2 goals away and concedes 0.6 goals. Their offense succeeds 43% of the time, with their defense at 21%.

According to the odds, the likely winner is America with a success rate of 53.48%. There is a 25.67% chance of a draw.

In 80.75% of cases, this match is expected to have over 1.5 goals. This drops to 57.22% for over 2.5 goals.

In summary, America shows better form away, giving them an advantage. In terms of goals, the trend is towards a match with over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Leon struggles at home, with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws. The team has scored 5 goals and conceded 7. Their offense is average, with 1 goal per match. Defensively, they are leaking goals, conceding 1.6 goals per match.

As for America, they have a 20% win rate and 40% draws away from home. The team has scored 5 goals but only conceded 6. Strategically, they score 1.2 goals per match while conceding only 0.6.

A tight match is expected. America seems favored with a 53.48% chance of winning. The potential for a draw is also there, at 25.67%.

In terms of goals, over 1.5 goals are expected in the match with a 80.75% chance. There is also a 62.03% chance that both teams will score.

Finally, examining each team’s recent performances can provide insight. Both teams have struggled to secure wins in their matches. In short, anything can happen in this match!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Leon and America appears to be an intense showdown with America having the edge to win the match, thanks to their superior form away from home and stronger defense. However, Leon, playing at home, has the advantage of home field that could sway the outcome.

The match is likely to be high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals expected, and a high probability that both teams will score. On the other hand, betting on under 2.5 goals in the match offers an intriguing value bet, reflecting both teams’ past performances and their tendency to score few goals while maintaining a solid defense.

Ultimately, the most predictable exact score would be a 1-1 draw, mirroring the similar performance levels of both teams and their past propensity for drawing in their previous encounters.

Nevertheless, as always, it is advisable to approach these predictions with caution. Sports betting always involves a certain level of risk, and final outcomes are never guaranteed. Past performances do not necessarily predict future ones. Therefore, it is crucial to bet responsibly and be prepared for all eventualities. Good luck to all bettors for this exciting match!