Tipps Levski Krumovgrad Slavia Sofia Parva Liga 19/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the analysis of the provided data, the most likely prediction would be “Draw or Slavia Sofia wins the match.”

1. Based on probabilities, the “Draw or Slavia Sofia wins the match” has a success rate of 65.08%, which is higher than any other individual bet. It is therefore the most likely outcome, according to the probabilities.

2. Slavia Sofia’s recent away performances may have been disappointing, but they still managed to score in half of their matches. Even though Levski Krumovgrad has a good home record, Slavia Sofia has shown they can score against home teams.

3. While Levski Krumovgrad has been strong at home, they have also conceded as many goals as they have scored (12 goals). This could leave the door open for a good result for Slavia Sofia, who has shown a defensive potential of 57% in their away matches – higher than Levski Krumovgrad’s offensive potential at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The home match statistics for Levski Krumovgrad show an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 36%, while Slavia Sofia shows an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 57% in their away matches. These numbers indicate a low average number of goals per match for both teams.

2. Let’s look at the last five matches of each team: Levski Krumovgrad scored 12 goals at home (an average of 2.4 goals per match) and Slavia Sofia scored 4 goals away (an average of 0.8 goals per match). Adding these two averages together gives us a total average of 3.2 goals per match, which is closer to 2.5 than to 3.5.

3. Based on the odds, the probability of under 2.5 goals in the match is priced at 1.53. In comparison, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored is less likely according to the odds (38.62% probability).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Levski Krumovgrad has a strong offensive potential, especially at home, having scored 12 goals in their last 5 home matches. It is likely that they will manage to score in this match.

2. While Slavia Sofia’s offensive potential is not as high, they have still managed to score in several of their recent outings, including in their last two away matches. Taking into account Levski Krumovgrad’s sometimes shaky defense (12 goals conceded in 5 home matches), Slavia Sofia could find the opportunity to score again.

3. The recent results of both teams show that a majority of their matches end with both teams scoring. In Levski Krumovgrad’s last 5 home matches, both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches. Similarly, in Slavia Sofia’s last 5 away matches, both teams scored in 3 matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Levski Krumovgrad 2-1 Slavia Sofia

1. Home performance of Levski Krumovgrad: In their last 5 home matches, Levski Krumovgrad has won in 80% of the cases. Furthermore, they have shown a strong offensive potential by scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match, which aligns with the predicted score of 2 goals.

2. Away performance of Slavia Sofia: Away from home, Slavia Sofia has only won 20% of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per match, which corresponds to their predicted goal. Additionally, they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match, which is higher than the average goals Levski Krumovgrad scores at home, aligning the prediction with the statistics.

3. Betting market probabilities: While the betting market indicates almost equal probabilities for each team to win the match, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is high, at 69.84%. This argument supports the prediction of a 2-1 result, which implies that 3 goals would be scored.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

In their last 5 home matches, Levski Krumovgrad has shown an impressive strength, with an 80% win rate and an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, they have also conceded as many goals, showing some defensive weaknesses. On the other hand, Slavia Sofia has struggled away from home, with only a 20% win rate and a low offensive potential of 36%. Their defense has often been tested, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Statistically, Levski Krumovgrad has a slight edge with a 34.92% probability of winning the match. It is also more likely that over 1.5 goals will be scored in the match, with a probability of 69.84%. However, Slavia Sofia should not be underestimated. Despite their recent disappointments away from home, they have a nearly similar probability of 35.98% to come out on top. Recent results indicate a balanced match in perspective and a situation where both teams could score, with a probability of 50.79%. In summary, the Levski Krumovgrad vs Slavia Sofia match could be full of suspense, with goals from both sides and teams striving for victory. Based on the numbers, a bet on over 1.5 goals and a result in favor of Levski Krumovgrad could be worth considering.

The potential number of goals

Levski Krumovgrad has a good home record, with a win rate of 80% in matches. They have shown a strong attack with 12 goals scored but their defense is lacking, having also conceded 12 goals. On the other hand, Slavia Sofia struggles away from home, with only a 20% win rate and scoring just 4 goals against 5 conceded.

Levski Krumovgrad averages just over one goal per home match and concedes 1 per match, giving them an offensive potential of 43% compared to 36% in defense. Slavia Sofia averages 1 goal per away match but concedes more, 1.6 per match, resulting in a lower offensive potential of 36% against 57% in defense.

The probability of victory is very close, with a slight advantage for Slavia Sofia at 35.98% compared to 34.92% for Levski Krumovgrad. The probability of a draw is 29.1%.

Regarding goals, the highest probability is for under 3.5 goals with a success rate of 92.06%. The potential for both teams to score is 50.79%.

Levski Krumovgrad’s recent home matches have shown a strong attack with 12 goals scored in 5 matches, while Slavia Sofia has struggled away from home with only 4 goals scored in 5 matches.

In conclusion, everything indicates that the match will be tight with a slight advantage for Slavia Sofia but with few goals scored. The safest bet would be on under 3.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on data analysis, recent performances, and statistics, we can conclude that an intense match is looming between Levski Krumovgrad and Slavia Sofia. Both teams have shown their ability to score goals, and despite some defensive weaknesses, they have shown character.

It is quite likely that the match will end with a low number of goals. The best bet would therefore be to bet on under 3.5 goals in the match. It is also probable that a double chance bet, meaning a draw or a win for Slavia Sofia, could be particularly interesting given the team’s recent show of strength in scoring in half of their away matches.

The bet with an interesting value bet is to place over 2.5 goals in the match. With an enticing odds of 2.40, this represents a real opportunity for profit despite the lower probability of 38.62%.

However, it is always important to keep in mind that sports betting involves risks and it is important to bet responsibly. While data and predictions provide us with a guide, the outcome of a football match is often unpredictable and depends on many factors that may not be accounted for in statistical analysis.