Tipps Libertad Independiente del Valle Liga Pro 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Independiente del Valle wins the match.

1. Recent statistics: Independiente del Valle’s recent performances have been superior to those of Libertad. Indeed, over their last five matches, Independiente del Valle has won 60% of the time, compared to 20% for Libertad.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Independiente del Valle has shown a much higher offensive potential (71%) than Libertad (21%). Additionally, its defensive potential (21%) is also better than that of Libertad (50%). This means that Independiente del Valle is more likely to score goals and less likely to concede them.
3. Probability of success: According to the data, Independiente del Valle has a success probability of 73.71%, which is significantly higher than that of Libertad at 10.82%. This is a key indicator that bettors typically rely on to make a decision.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Independiente del Valle has a strong offensive performance away from home, scoring an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 games.
2. Both teams tend to concede goals, with Libertad averaging 1.4 goals conceded per home match and Independiente del Valle conceding an average of 0.6 goals per away match.
3. The history of encounters between the two teams shows a tendency towards matches with more than 2.5 goals, such as the match Libertad 2 – 2 Mushuc Runa SC and Barcelona SC 3 – 2 Independiente del Valle.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams’ statistics show a tendency to score and concede goals. Libertad has scored in 60% of their home matches, and Independiente del Valle has scored in all their away matches, indicating potential for both teams to score in this match.

2. Both teams have poor defensive records, with Libertad conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game at home, and Independiente del Valle conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game on the road. This suggests a high likelihood of both teams conceding in the match, supporting a “Yes” prediction for “Both Teams to Score”.

3. The statistics for “Both Teams to Score” show a success probability of 54.12%, which is higher than for “Both Teams to Score Not”. The odds for “Yes” may offer better value based on this information.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Independiente del Valle wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Libertad 1-2 Independiente del Valle

1. Independiente del Valle has a strong offensive potential away from home, with an average of 2 goals scored per match in their last 5 games, compared to just 0.6 goals on average for Libertad at home. Libertad, with a relatively weak defense (conceding 50%), may struggle to contain Independiente del Valle’s attacks.

2. Based on recent performance statistics, Independiente del Valle has a significantly higher probability of winning (73.71% vs 10.82%). Their recent form is also impressive, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 away games, compared to only 20% for Libertad at home.

3. The scenario of a match with over 2.5 goals seems likely (59.79% probability), supported by Independiente del Valle’s offensive performances and Libertad’s tendency to concede goals at home. The exact score of 1-2 fits well with this hypothesis.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Libertad shows a weak performance at home with only 20% of wins. Their attacking issues are reflected in a total of 4 goals scored. Their defense also leaves something to be desired with 6 goals conceded.

Independiente del Valle demonstrates strong form away from home with a 60% chance of winning. They have proven their offensive potential by scoring 9 goals, despite a leaky defense conceding 9 goals as well.

Libertad has only won one of their last 5 home matches, averaging 0.6 goals per game. In contrast, Independiente del Valle averages 2 goals away from home, showing better offensive efficiency.

In terms of predictions, Independiente del Valle has a 73.71% chance of winning the match, with odds of 1.40.

The match could still offer surprises, with a 59.79% chance of there being more than 2.5 goals scored. Furthermore, there’s a 54.12% chance that both teams will score during the match.

In conclusion, despite a clear advantage for Independiente del Valle, the outcome of the match could be influenced by the defensive performance of both teams. Bets predicting multiple goals could be wise.

The potential number of goals

Libertad showed a modest performance at home. They have only won one match in their last 5 played at home, and their attack is weak, with only 4 goals scored. Their defense is better but still conceded 6 goals.

Independiente del Valle, on the other hand, has an impressive 60% win rate away from home. They have also scored 9 goals, showing a strong attack. Their defense seems balanced, with 9 goals conceded.

In terms of probabilities, Independiente del Valle has a 73.71% chance of winning, which is consistent with their recent performances. The probability of a draw is lower at 15.46%.

Regarding goals, more than 1.5 goals in the match have a high probability of 77.32%. The probability of both teams scoring is fairly balanced with a slight lean towards ‘yes’ at 54.12%. This suggests an expectation of a competitive match.

Overall, based on this data, Independiente del Valle seems favored to secure the victory.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on a detailed analysis of recent performances, offensive and defensive statistics, as well as probabilities, it is clear that Independiente del Valle emerges as the favorite to win the upcoming match against Libertad. Their superior performance, significantly better offensive and defensive potential fuel this conclusion. Furthermore, due to a relatively high goal-scoring rate from both teams, a match with at least 2.5 goals scored can be expected. Therefore, betting on Independiente del Valle to win the match with over 2.5 goals seems like a wise choice to get an interesting betting value. However, it is also entirely plausible for both teams to score in the game, adding another element of excitement. Finally, while acknowledging Independiente del Valle’s superiority, it is important to note that football remains an unpredictable sport and any surprise is possible.