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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Lille Aston Villa
Tipps Lille Aston Villa UEFA Europa Conference League 18/04/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or Lille wins the match
1. Lille’s home statistics are better, with a 60% win rate compared to Aston Villa’s 40% away from home. Additionally, Lille has an offensive potential of 57%, which is slightly higher than Aston Villa’s defensive potential away from home (57%).
2. The probability calculation indicates that the scenario where the match ends in a draw or a Lille victory has a success probability of 70.05%, making it the most likely scenario among all others.
3. Lille’s recent home matches show a trend of scoring more goals than Aston Villa during their away games (11 goals for Lille compared to 7 goals for Aston Villa). This, combined with a slight defensive superiority of Lille, could indicate a greater probability of Lille being able to avoid a defeat, even if they don’t win.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
More than 2.5 goals in the match.
1. The average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their last 5 respective matches exceeds 2.5 goals. Lille has an average of 3.2 goals per match (1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded) and Aston Villa has an average of 3.6 goals per match (2 scored and 1.6 conceded).
2. Both teams have shown a strong offensive and defensive capability in their previous matches. Lille has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Aston Villa has an offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 57%.
3. Betting statistics indicate a success probability of 54.31% for “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” which is a favorable statistic for this betting category.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Recent statistics show that both teams have a good offensive efficiency: Lille averages 1.6 goals per game at home, while Aston Villa averages 2 goals per game away.
2. The defenses of both teams appear porous, as Lille concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game at home and Aston Villa concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game away.
3. Recent home matches for Lille and away matches for Aston Villa mostly saw both teams scoring. For instance, in 4 out of the last 5 home matches for Lille, both teams scored. Similarly, in 3 out of the last 5 away matches for Aston Villa, both teams scored.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw or Aston Villa wins the match – 1.60
1. Aston Villa has shown a solid performance away recently, with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. Thus, based on their recent away record, Bentley (draw + Aston Villa win) seems to have an 80% success probability.
2. Compared to Lille, Aston Villa has a better offensive potential (71% vs 57%) and a better defensive potential (57% vs 43%). This gives Aston Villa a greater chance to score more goals or remain solid in defense to secure at least a draw.
3. The odds also indicate a higher probability for a draw or an Aston Villa win (62.94%) compared to a Lille win (37.06%). This suggests that bookmakers also view the ‘value bet’ of ‘draw or Aston Villa win’ as a higher probability.
Bet on the exact result
Lille 2-2 Aston Villa
1. Based on the statistics of previous matches, there is a fairly close average number of goals per match for Lille and Aston Villa, at 1.6 and 2 goals per match respectively. This suggests a fairly balanced offensive potential that could lead to a 2-2 scoreline.
2. Historically, there have been a considerable number of draws in Aston Villa’s away matches (40%). At the same time, the calculated probability of a draw is 32.99%, indicating a tendency towards equality in their matches.
3. Looking at recent matches, both teams have often been able to score in a match. Taking into account the “both teams to score” statistics, which have a success probability of 59.9%, it is likely that a Lille – Aston Villa match will end with a score where both teams manage to score, like a 2-2 result.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Lille seems to have a mixed form at home with 60% of wins but also 60% of matches where they have conceded as many goals as they have scored (11 goals on each side).
Aston Villa is not far behind with average performances away from home: 40% win rate but also 40% draws. They have scored fewer goals (7 goals) but have also conceded fewer (9 goals).
In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Aston Villa appears to have a slight offensive advantage. However, it seems that Lille could have the upper hand defensively.
The odds suggest a tight match, with the probabilities of victory for Lille and Aston Villa being 37.06% and 29.95% respectively.
If we consider the probabilities of draws or wins for each team, Lille seems to have a slight advantage (70.05% against 62.94% for Aston Villa).
A final score with fewer than 2.5 goals could be a reasonable expectation, with odds at 2.00.
Finally, both teams have a 59.9% probability of scoring during the match. However, keep in mind that results may vary and are not guaranteed.
The potential number of goals
Recent performances of Lille at home are moderate, with a 60% win rate and 11 goals scored and conceded. Aston Villa, playing away, has a more balanced record, with a 40% win rate, 40% draws, 7 goals scored, and 9 goals conceded.
On average, Lille scores 1.6 goals and concedes 1.2 goals at home. Aston Villa scores 2 goals and concedes 1.6 goals when playing away. The potential offensive output appears stronger for Aston Villa (71% vs 57%).
In terms of probabilities, the safest choice seems to be a draw or a Lille win, with a success rate of 70.05%. For the number of goals, fewer than 4.5 goals seems the most likely outcome with a success rate of 89.85%.
The likelihood of both teams scoring is higher, with a success rate of 59.9%.
Recent encounters show a trend towards games with several goals, as Lille has scored at least one goal in their last 5 home matches, and Aston Villa has scored in their last 3 away matches.
Recommended prediction: draw or Lille win with fewer than 4.5 goals in the match and both teams to score.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the match between Lille and Aston Villa promises to be balanced and high-scoring. From a sports betting perspective, it seems reasonable to bet on a draw or a Lille win, with over 2.5 goals in the match. The tendency for both teams to score and the high success rate on this type of bet seem to confirm this. Additionally, with a 59.9% success probability for both teams to score, this bet also appears to be a wise choice. However, the bet on a draw or Aston Villa to win the match at odds of 1.60 offers an interesting value bet. Betting on the exact score of 2-2, given the recent offensive statistics of both clubs, could also be a viable option. Finally, it’s important to keep in mind that all these predictions are based on statistics and do not guarantee the final result. In sports betting, nothing is ever certain.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Lille against Aston Villa on 18/04/2024
1. Lille’s home statistics are better, with a 60% win rate compared to Aston Villa’s 40% away from home. Additionally, Lille has an offensive potential of 57%, which is slightly higher than Aston Villa’s defensive potential away from home (57%).
2. The probability calculation indicates that the scenario where the match ends in a draw or a Lille victory has a success probability of 70.05%, making it the most likely scenario among all others.
3. Lille’s recent home matches show a trend of scoring more goals than Aston Villa during their away games (11 goals for Lille compared to 7 goals for Aston Villa). This, combined with a slight defensive superiority of Lille, could indicate a greater probability of Lille being able to avoid a defeat, even if they don’t win.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Lille vs Aston Villa match!
To not miss anything from the Lille vs Aston Villa match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 18/04/2024 in the UEFA Europa Conference League live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Lille vs Aston Villa
Lineups Lille
Lineups Aston Villa
Match Highlights Lille vs Aston Villa on 18/04/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Lille vs Aston Villa match on 18/04/2024 at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Lille and Aston Villa
All statistics for the match between Lille and Aston Villa will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Lille against Aston Villa!
Form state of Lille in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Lille has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Lille has a form rating of %.
Form state of Aston Villa in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Aston Villa has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Aston Villa has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Lille against Aston Villa!
Average goals scored by Lille in the current season.
Goals scored by Lille in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Lille
Lille has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Lille in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Lille
Lille has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Aston Villa in the current season
Goals scored by Aston Villa in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Aston Villa
Aston Villa has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Aston Villa in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Aston Villa
Aston Villa has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Lille and Aston Villa, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Lille vs Aston Villa: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams in their last 5 respective matches exceeds 2.5 goals. Lille has an average of 3.2 goals per match (1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded) and Aston Villa has an average of 3.6 goals per match (2 scored and 1.6 conceded).
2. Both teams have shown a strong offensive and defensive capability in their previous matches. Lille has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Aston Villa has an offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 57%.
3. Betting statistics indicate a success probability of 54.31% for “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” which is a favorable statistic for this betting category.
Forecast results from winflix for Lille and Aston Villa!
The last 5 winning predictions für Lille
The last 5 winning predictions für Aston Villa
How do I find the best forecast for Lille Aston Villa?
Finding a forecast for the Lille Aston Villa match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Lille Aston Villa on 18/04/2024 in Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy are the team's past performance in the UEFA Europa Conference League, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Lille at home and Aston Villa away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 18/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Lille and Aston Villa on 18/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the UEFA Europa Conference League, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Lille and Aston Villa, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Lille and the away win rate of Aston Villa, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 18/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Lille and Aston Villa can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 18/04/2024 at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Lille and Aston Villa, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Lille or Aston Villa on 18/04/2024.
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