Tipps Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08 FF Norvège 28/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Lillestrom win the match

1. Home performance of Lillestrom: In their last 5 home matches, Lillestrom has won 60% of the time and drawn 40% of the time, demonstrating a strong home form that supports the prediction of a win or draw.

2. Away performances of Sarpsborg 08 FF: Sarpsborg 08 FF has a less impressive performance away, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 away matches and no draws. Additionally, they have conceded more goals (14 goals) than they have scored (10 goals).

3. Probability of success: Based on the provided probabilities, the prediction ‘Draw or Lillestrom wins the match’ has a success probability of 76.83%, which is significantly higher than a sole victory for Sarpsborg 08 FF at 23.17%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have a high offensive potential, with Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08 FF averaging 1.8 goals per game. This suggests that the match could see 3 or more goals being scored.
2. In their last 5 matches, the teams have shown a good ability to score goals (Lillestrom scored 7 goals and Sarpsborg 08 FF scored 10 goals) but have also conceded many goals (9 goals for Lillestrom and 14 for Sarpsborg 08 FF). This strengthens the assumption of a high-scoring match.
3. The forecast of over 2.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 62.2% according to the presented statistics, which is a fairly high probability for this type of bet.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08 FF both have a high offensive potential, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match each in their last 5 games. This indicates that both teams are capable of scoring goals.

2. The history of both teams shows a tendency to concede goals in their respective matches. Lillestrom have conceded a total of 9 goals in their last 5 home games, while Sarpsborg 08 FF have conceded a total of 14 goals in their last 5 away games. This statistic suggests that both teams have defensive weaknesses, increasing the likelihood that each will score a goal.

3. Based on the provided statistics, the probability of both teams scoring is 69.51%. This relatively high figure indicates a significant likelihood that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 31.71% chance of success: 4.20

Bet on the exact result

Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF

1. Past performances: In their last five home matches, Lillestrom has an average of nearly 2 goals scored per game and Sarpsborg 08 FF also has an average of nearly 2 goals scored per game in their recent away outings. This means that both teams have a similar offensive potential.

2. Draw rate: Lillestrom has drawn in 40% of their last 5 home matches. While Sarpsborg 08 FF has not drawn in their last 5 away matches, the overall draw rate may support the possibility of a draw.

3. Outcome and goal probabilities: The probabilities indicate that it is more likely for there to be over 2.5 goals in the match (62.2% chance) and also for both teams to score (69.51% chance). Taking these probabilities and the teams’ previous performances into account, the final score could potentially be 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lillestrom is in better form at home, with a win rate of 60%. However, they have conceded more goals with 9 against 7 goals scored.

Sarpsborg 08 FF struggles away, with only a win rate of 40% and 14 goals conceded against 10 goals scored.

Both teams score an average of 1.8 goals per match, suggesting a potentially offensive game.

Success probabilities show that Lillestrom is more likely to win the match with 45.12%, while Sarpsborg 08 FF has 23.17%.

A draw or a Lillestrom win has a high success probability of 76.83%.

The probability of fewer than 4.5 goals in the match is high at 90.24%.

Both teams to score holds a strong probability of 69.51%.

Take these insights into consideration for your prediction.

The potential number of goals

Lillestrom performs well at home, with a 60% win rate and 40% draw rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9. Sarpsborg, on the other hand, has less success away from home, with only a 40% win rate and no draws. They have scored more goals, 10, but have also conceded more, 14.

Let’s analyze their potentials. At home, Lillestrom scores an average of 1.8 goals per match and concedes fewer, 1.2. They have an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 43%. Sarpsborg scores the same amount away from home, 1.8 goals, but is more vulnerable, conceding 1.6 goals, with an offensive rating of 64% and a defensive rating of 57%.

According to the probabilities, the match leans in favor of Lillestrom, with a 45.12% chance of winning. A draw is less likely at 31.71%, and a Sarpsborg victory is even less likely at 23.17%. However, a draw or a Lillestrom win is highly probable, at 76.83%. There is also an 86.59% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals and a 69.51% chance that both teams will score.

It appears that Lillestrom could come out on top at home, with a consistent attack and solid defense, facing a struggling Sarpsborg team away from home. The numbers suggest a match with one or two goals, and both teams are likely to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Lillestrom and Sarpsborg 08 FF looks set to be a closely contested and competitive fixture. Both teams have shown strength in attack but also vulnerability in defense, making the outcome uncertain. Considering their recent performances at home and away, Lillestrom has the edge, but Sarpsborg 08 FF should not be underestimated given their ability to score goals. There is a high likelihood of both teams scoring, with a probability of over 2.5 goals. This makes the bet ‘Draw or Lillestrom wins the match’ very appealing, with a probability of 76.83%. Furthermore, betting on an exact score of 2-2 could also provide good value.