Tipps Lillestrom Stromsgodset Norvège 13/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

According to the data presented, it seems that Lillestrom has a slight edge over Stromsgodset especially when they play at home. Considering their recent performances, I would therefore go with Lillestrom as the winner for this match. My prediction would be: “Lillestrom wins the match”.

1. Home match record of Lillestrom: In their last 5 home matches, Lillestrom has won 60% of the time, indicating a significant advantage when they play at home. Furthermore, they have scored a total of 10 goals, showcasing a strong home offensive.

2. Away match record of Stromsgodset: Compared to Lillestrom, Stromsgodset has slightly lower performance in their last 5 away matches with only a 40% win rate. Their ability to score goals is also inferior to Lillestrom with only 4 goals scored, while conceding more goals (6 goals).

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Lillestrom’s offensive potential at home is described as 43%, while their defensive potential is high at 86%. In comparison, Stromsgodset’s offensive potential away is higher at 57%, but their defense is much weaker at 14%. This, combined with the home field advantage for Lillestrom, gives a higher probability for Lillestrom to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Lillestrom’s offensive performance at home is quite strong, with an average of 1.2 goals per match and 10 goals scored in their last 5 home matches. Furthermore, they have shown their ability to score multiple goals in a match, as evidenced by the results against ODD Ballklubb and Rosenborg.

2. Although Stromsgodset’s offensive performance away from home is not as impressive, with an average of 1.6 goals per match, they have still managed to score in most of their recent away matches, indicating that they can contribute to the total goals in the match.

3. Lillestrom’s defense seems to be their weakness, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match at home. This means that Stromsgodset has a good chance of scoring against them, thus increasing the chances of a total goals over 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Lillestrom has scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches, indicating a significant offensive potential. They have also conceded goals in all of these matches, which increases the chances of the opposing team scoring at least once.
2. Stromsgodset has scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches, showing that they are capable of scoring on the road. Additionally, they have conceded goals in 4 of these matches, suggesting that Lillestrom is likely to score.
3. The average statistics per match indicate that Lillestrom scores 1.2 goals per match while Stromsgodset scores 1.6 goals. This average number of goals scored by both teams increases the probability of both teams scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Lillestrom 1-1 Stromsgodset

1. Lillestrom has shown a balanced performance at home with as many goals scored as conceded (10 goals), indicating that they have the ability to score but may also concede goals, which could lead to a balanced result like a draw.
2. Stromsgodset has shown an ability to score goals on the road (4 goals in 5 matches), however, their defense seems weaker away from home, conceding a total of 6 goals. This suggests they may be able to score against Lillestrom, while also potentially conceding a goal.
3. Looking at recent match history, Lillestrom has failed to keep a clean sheet in several matches, indicating they are likely to concede goals. Similarly, Stromsgodset has managed to score in their last two away matches, proving they can pose an offensive threat on the road.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lillestrom, at home, shows potential with a win rate of 60%. However, they struggle in defense, conceding as many goals as they score, with an average of 2.4 goals per match.

Stromsgodset, on the other hand, has a less impressive performance away from home with only a 40% win rate. Even though their attack is average, at 1.6 goals per match, their defense is solid, conceding only 0.4 goals per match.

Based on recent performances, fewer than 3.5 goals are expected in the match with a probability of 100%, and fewer than 4.5 goals with the same probability. Furthermore, there is a high likelihood that both teams will not score during the match.

It is important to note that the probabilities for each team to win the match are 0%, suggesting a closely contested encounter with an uncertain outcome.

Based on the numbers, a prediction for this match could suggest a low-scoring game, with a high chance that both teams will not score.

The potential number of goals

Lillestrom has had a mixed performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. However, their defense has struggled, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. On the other hand, Stromsgodset has only managed a 40% win rate in their last 5 away games, and scores less frequently with an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Lillestrom seems more balanced in terms of goals scored and conceded, having scored and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches. Stromsgodset, despite a strong defensive tactic, has struggled to score as much, with only 4 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Stromsgodset’s 57% away offensive potential exceeds that of Lillestrom, which is only at 43%. Additionally, Stromsgodset’s away defense is noteworthy with a potential of 14% compared to Lillestrom’s 86% at home.

Based on the teams’ recent matches, it is more likely to see fewer than 3.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 100%. Also, it is very likely that both teams will not score, with a success probability of 100%.

However, predicting the outcome of the match in terms of win, draw, or loss is challenging given the available data. A more in-depth analysis of the teams’ strategies and key players is necessary for a more precise prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

As a conclusion, the match between Lillestrom and Stromsgodset appears to be a very close duel with a slight advantage for Lillestrom, especially when playing at home based on recent statistics. However, Stromsgodset’s strong defensive intensity on the road could offset Lillestrom’s good offensive performance at home. It is also worth noting that both teams have a high likelihood of scoring in this match.

Nevertheless, predictive models suggest a low-scoring match, with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals scored. Although both teams have shown a good ability to score, they have also conceded a substantial amount of goals, which could limit the total number of goals scored.

As for the exact score, it appears that the match could end in a 1-1 draw. This is the most likely result given the balance between the attacks and defenses of both teams.

Finally, for those looking to make a value bet, betting on “under 3.5 goals in the match” seems to be a very interesting option. Despite these two teams’ ability to score goals, their defensive tendencies could limit the total number of goals to under 3.5.

However, it is important to always keep in mind that no bet is 100% certain, and these predictions are based on past statistics and data. It is therefore crucial to bet responsibly and never wager more than you can afford to lose.