Tipps Lithuania Romania UEFA Nations League 15/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Romania wins the match.

1. Romania’s win percentage in their last 5 away matches (40%) is higher than that of Lithuania at home (20%). Additionally, Romania also has a decent ability to secure draws when playing away (20%).

2. Romania has a better offensive and defensive performance compared to Lithuania. Romania scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1.4 goals as well, while Lithuania scores and concedes an average of 1 goal per match.

3. The provided success probabilities favor Romania with a 62.5% chance of winning the match, well above Lithuania’s chances (15.63%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded for both teams show a low rate of offensive production. On average, Lithuania scores 1 goal per match and concedes the same amount, while Romania scores and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match.

2. Lithuania has always scored less than 2.5 goals in their last 5 home matches. These games demonstrate a low tendency for a high number of goals.

3. “Both teams to not score” has a success probability of 51.56%, which means that each team is unlikely to score more than one goal, making a total of less than 2.5 goals plausible.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Lithuania tends to have a weak offensive potential at home, scoring only an average of 1 goal per game in its last 5 matches. Therefore, the probability of Lithuania scoring at least one goal is quite low.
2. Although Romania has a slightly better offensive output on average than Lithuania, scoring 1.4 goals per game in its last 5 away matches, it has also shown some vulnerability in defense by conceding 1.4 goals per game. So, even though Romania is more likely to score, it could also manage to prevent Lithuania from scoring.
3. The success rate of the probability of both teams not scoring is slightly higher (51.56%) than the probability of both teams scoring (48.44%). This suggests that previous data and recent performances of both teams slightly lean towards a scenario where at least one of the teams fails to score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

“Lithuania 1-2 Romania”

1. The defensive potential of Lithuania is 36% and they have conceded an average of one goal per match at home in their last five matches. On the other hand, the offensive potential of Romania is 50%, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match in their last five away matches. This suggests that it is likely that Romania will score at least one goal.

2. The betting success probabilities indicate that Romania has a very high likelihood of winning the match at 62.5%. Coupled with the fact that in their last 5 away matches, Romania has won 40% of the time, this would confirm Romania’s probable victory over Lithuania.

3. Both teams have a very close success probability of 50% for “both teams to score,” which is 48.44%. Looking at Lithuania’s last 5 home matches, they have scored in 4 out of 5 matches. Therefore, it is likely that Lithuania will score at least one goal in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The form for the Lithuania vs Romania match reveals some interesting data.

Lithuania, when playing at home, shows rather average performances with victories only 20% of the time. Additionally, they have scored 5 goals but also conceded 8.

Romania, on the other hand, has a better performance away from home with victories in 40% of cases. However, they have conceded 9 goals, one more than Lithuania.

In terms of offensive potential, both teams seem balanced with 36% for Lithuania and 50% for Romania respectively. However, their defensive performance is the same, ranging around 36-50%.

Looking at the last matches played, Lithuania seems to struggle to maintain a consistent performance, while Romania shows some stability, especially against Israel or Colombia.

Regarding the probabilities of success, Romania seems to have the advantage with 62.5%. Adding to that the fact that over 1.5 goals in the match is quite likely, it would seem wise to bet in favor of Romania.

Nevertheless, the equity of performances means that this match could also see a close result, with a probability of a draw at 21.88% and less than 3.5 goals in the match at 79.17%.

In conclusion, it seems more likely that Romania will win the match, but considering the balance of the two teams, a close and low-scoring match is also a possibility.

The potential number of goals

Lithuania plays at home and seems to have a limited success rate with only a 20% win rate. Furthermore, they have scored 5 goals and conceded 8, highlighting a slight defensive weakness.

Romania, on the other hand, plays away with a 40% win rate. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 9, indicating a balance between their offensive and defensive capabilities.

Lithuania shows an average offensive and defensive potential of 36%, which is decent but fragile compared to a team like Romania, which has an offensive and defensive capacity of 50%.

The probabilities predict a Romania win with a 62.5% chance of success. Moreover, there is a 77.6% probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match. This trend is supported by the two teams’ recent matches, which have shown a propensity for goals.

In conclusion, Romania seems to have the advantage for this match, both in terms of winning probabilities and offensive and defensive capabilities. A safe bet would be “more than 1.5 goals in the match,” given the past trend of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the analysis elements of the match between Lithuania and Romania, there are several trends that emerge. Considering the recent history of both teams, their respective performances at home and away, as well as statistical probabilities, Romania appears to have a slight advantage.

This Romanian superiority is supported by better away performance, a higher goal production, and a 62.5% probability of winning, significantly higher than that of Lithuania. Furthermore, the exact score of 1-2 in favor of Romania could be an attractive bet considering the offensive and defensive performances of both teams.

However, the balance of power observed between the two teams and the high probability of a draw suggest that a close result is entirely possible. In this sense, a bet on a total of under 2.5 goals seems like a sensible option.

Overall, everything indicates that this match could end in a narrow victory for Romania, or possibly in a draw. It might therefore be prudent to bet on a low number of goals, while also considering the possibility of a Romanian victory.