Tipps Liverpool Atalanta UEFA Europa League 11/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Liverpool wins the match.

1. Historical statistics demonstrate an excellent performance by Liverpool at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches with an average of 3.2 goals per match. This factor supports the probability of a successful outcome for Liverpool.

2. In comparison to Liverpool, Atalanta struggles to perform well away from home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 away matches and a goal scored/conceded ratio less impressive than that of Liverpool.

3. The forecast itself sets Liverpool’s potential for success at 68.75%, which is higher than that of a draw or an Atalanta victory. This, combined with the fact that Liverpool has a higher average goals per match than Atalanta, demonstrates a tendency in favor of Liverpool.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Liverpool’s home goal scoring statistics: The statistics of Liverpool’s last 5 home matches show a total of 15 goals scored, averaging 3.2 goals per match, well above the 2.5 goal threshold.

2. Goals conceded statistics: Liverpool has conceded 15 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Atalanta Bergamo has conceded 8 goals in 5 away matches, averaging 1.2 goals per match. The total of these averages exceeds 2.5 goals, suggesting that there will be a high number of goals in the match.

3. Teams’ offensive potential: Liverpool’s offensive potential is estimated at 114% while Atalanta Bergamo’s is 57%. These high percentages suggest that both teams are likely to score at least one goal, which could in turn lead to a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential of each team: Liverpool has shown an exceptional attacking performance in home matches, averaging 3.2 goals scored per game and an offensive potential of 114%. Similarly, Atalanta Bergamo has managed to score an average of 1.6 goals per away game, with an offensive potential of 57%. These numbers suggest that both teams are capable of scoring in this match.

2. The defensive performances of the teams: Liverpool has shown signs of defensive vulnerability by conceding an average of 1.8 goals per home match. Likewise, Atalanta Bergamo has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per away match. These numbers suggest that both teams are likely to concede goals in the match.

3. The recent performances of both teams: Liverpool’s recent home matches have seen the team consistently score, with a minimum of one goal per game. Similarly, Atalanta has managed to score in four of its last five away games, despite a lower proportion of victories. These results suggest that both teams regularly find the back of the net and are likely to do so again in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 18.23% probability of success: 5.25

Bet on the exact result

Liverpool 3-1 Atalanta Bergamo

1. Recent Performances: Liverpool has a very strong home performance with an 80% win rate and an average of 3.2 goals scored per match. In contrast, Atalanta Bergamo has a weaker away performance with only a 20% win rate and an average of 1.6 goals scored per match. This indicates a higher probability of Liverpool winning the match 3-1.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Liverpool has an offensive potential of 114% and a defensive potential of 64%, whereas Atalanta Bergamo has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 43%. This means that Liverpool is more likely to score more goals and concede fewer goals compared to Atalanta Bergamo.

3. Goal Statistics: The probable goal market data also supports this scoreline. For example, there is an 84.9% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match and a 63.54% chance for over 2.5 goals. Additionally, a 56.25% probability suggests that both teams will score. All these factors reinforce the prediction of a 3-1 score in favor of Liverpool.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Liverpool is in good form at home with an 80% win rate. They score a lot of goals (3.2 on average per match) but also concede a lot (15 goals in 5 matches).

Atalanta Bergamo is less successful away from home with only a 20% win rate. They score less (1.6 goals on average) and are stronger defensively (8 goals conceded in 5 matches).

The odds for a Liverpool win are 1.35 with a 68.75% probability, reinforcing their status as favorites.

There is a 63.54% probability and odds of 1.48 for over 2.5 goals in the match. Liverpool’s home games tend to be offensive.

The “Both teams to score” bet has a 56.25% probability with odds of 1.70 due to Liverpool’s attacking strength and Atalanta Bergamo’s defensive potential.

In conclusion, a favorable match for Liverpool with a high probability of many goals seems to be the most likely outcome.

The potential number of goals

Liverpool has been shining at home with a 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. Their offensive power is highlighted by an average of 3.2 goals scored per game. However, Liverpool has also shown signs of weakness in defense, conceding 15 goals.

On the other hand, Atalanta Bergamo struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. With an average of 1.6 goals per game, their attack is less sharp than Liverpool’s. However, their defense is more solid, having conceded only 8 goals.

The probability of Liverpool winning this match is quite high, estimated at 68.75%. A draw and an Atalanta victory seem unlikely, at 18.23% and 13.02% respectively.

In terms of the number of goals, it’s highly likely that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match, with a success probability estimated at 84.9%. The numbers also indicate a high probability of having less than 4.5 goals scored during the match, estimated at 84.9%.

Considering these statistics, it seems wiser to bet on a Liverpool win with over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the available statistics and analysis of the performance of both teams, it is reasonable to conclude that Liverpool has a high probability of winning this match against Atalanta Bergamo. However, given the recent defensive performances of both teams, it is also likely that both teams will score. The statistics also suggest that the match could be high-scoring, potentially exceeding the 2.5 goals threshold.

Among potential value bets, betting on a draw could be interesting, although the statistics are not strongly in favor of this outcome. As for the exact score, a 3-1 win for Liverpool seems to be the most likely scenario.

Overall, several factors could still influence the course of the match, such as team line-ups, weather conditions, or even psychological factors. Despite an analysis based on statistics and past performances, it is important to remember that risk is inherent in any sports bet and, as in any game of chance, nothing is guaranteed. Ultimately, the choice of bet should remain a form of entertainment and be done responsibly.