Tipps Liverpool Chelsea Premier League 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Liverpool wins the match

1. Home Performance of Liverpool: Liverpool has a very good performance when playing at home with a win rate of 80% recently. Thus, they have a considerable advantage in this match.

2. Effective Attack of Liverpool: At home, Liverpool scores an average of 2.6 goals per match with an offensive potential of 93%. This shows their effective attack that could be difficult for Chelsea to contain.

3. Defensive Issues of Chelsea: Away from home, Chelsea has a rather weak defense, conceding 1 goal on average per match, with a defensive potential of 36%. Therefore, Liverpool, with their strong offense, could likely score against them.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

1. Past statistics show a tendency for high scores for Liverpool and Chelsea. In their respective last 5 matches, Liverpool scored 12 goals and Chelsea also scored 12 goals, with an average of 2.6 goals per match for Liverpool and 3.4 goals per match for Chelsea.

2. The statistical probability for the match favors a total of over 2.5 goals. With a success probability of 60.78%, this is a very likely scenario.

3. Chelsea’s last two away matches saw a total of over 2.5 goals (3 at West Ham and 3 at Servette), providing insights into Chelsea’s ability to score even away from home. Additionally, Liverpool has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 home matches, indicating their capability to be involved in high-scoring games.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal-Scoring Statistics: Both Liverpool and Chelsea have a good goal-scoring form both at home and away, with an average of 2.6 and 3.4 goals per match respectively. This makes them goal-scoring machines likely to score in their encounter.

2. Defensive Record: Despite their good scores, both teams also show defensive weaknesses, as seen in the number of goals they have conceded. Liverpool has conceded 12 goals at home, while Chelsea has conceded 14 goals away, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Head-to-Head Encounters: Based on their recent matches, both teams have shown the ability to score goals. For example, in Liverpool’s last five home matches, they have scored in every game except for one. Similarly, Chelsea has also scored in four of their last five away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Liverpool 2-3 Chelsea

1. Chelsea’s offensive performance: Over their last 5 away matches, Chelsea has averaged 3.4 goals per game, demonstrating a strong and effective attack. This level of offensive performance supports a prediction of 3 goals for Chelsea against Liverpool.

2. Liverpool’s defensive reliability: Liverpool has conceded only 0.4 goals per game on average in their last 5 home matches. However, they recently suffered a home defeat conceding a goal against Nottingham Forest. This could indicate a possible weakness in their defense that Chelsea could exploit.

3. Head-to-head history: By examining Liverpool’s recent home matches and Chelsea’s recent away matches, it is possible to anticipate a high-scoring game. Liverpool’s recent performances against Bologna, West Ham, and Brentford, as well as Chelsea’s against West Ham, Wolves, and Real Madrid, suggest that these two teams have the potential to score multiple goals in a match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Liverpool has a strong home performance, with an 80% win rate. They have scored 12 goals and conceded the same number. Excellent offense, especially with an average of 2.6 goals per match. Chelsea has a more mixed performance away, winning 60% of the time. They have scored as much as Liverpool but conceded more (14).

Liverpool has an impressive offensive potential of 93% but a weaker defensive potential of 14%. In comparison, Chelsea has a stronger offense at 121% and a 36% defense.

The odds of Liverpool winning the match are 56.86%. Bets on a draw or a Liverpool win have a high success probability (82.35%).

Liverpool’s recent home matches have mostly been victorious, while Chelsea’s away performances are varied.

Based on the data and the 84.31% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, a safe bet seems to be a Liverpool win with more than 1.5 goals scored.

Please note, these analyses do not guarantee the match result, as football is unpredictable!

The potential number of goals

Liverpool is strong at home. They have an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 12 goals, but also conceded 12. It’s still a good performance even though their defense could be improved with a defensive potential of 14%.

Chelsea, on the other hand, is less successful on the road. Despite having an offensive potential of 121%, they have a 60% win rate. They have scored 12 goals but conceded 14. Their defense is their weak point with a defensive potential of 36%.

The probability favors Liverpool for a narrow victory. The odds indicate a 56.86% chance of success for Liverpool. A tight game is expected.

As for goals, a high-scoring match is anticipated: over 2.5 goals have a 60.78% chance of success, while under 3.5 goals have a 68.63% chance. It is likely that the match will see between 2 and 4 goals.

Both teams are likely to score, with around a 54.9% chance. Previous matches involving both teams also suggest this.

In conclusion, Liverpool appears to have the advantage with a 56.86% chance of winning. However, Chelsea has opportunities to score, so both teams could find the back of the net. Therefore, a match with multiple goals can be expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all the statistical data and analysis presented, the forecast leans in favor of Liverpool based on their strong home performance and recently demonstrated offensive efficiency. The offensive potential of both teams promises a match with over 2.5 goals, offering an interesting betting value. However, football remains an unpredictable sport and while information is an essential tool, it never guarantees a result.

It seems likely that each team will score at least once, given their respective offensive abilities. However, Chelsea’s defense could be their weak point, giving Liverpool some room for victory.

In summary, the probabilities suggest a Liverpool win in a match where over 2.5 goals will be scored and where each team will have at least one goal to their name. Always remember to bet responsibly and trust your intuition while considering the statistics.