Tipps Liverpool Montevideo Palmeiras Copa Libertadores 10/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Palmeiras SP wins the match

1. Based on the provided probabilities, Palmeiras SP has a significantly higher probability of winning the match (63.89%) compared to Liverpool Montevideo (12.22%). This percentage is calculated taking into account various factors such as past performance, current team form, strength of opponents, and many other factors.

2. Analysis of recent away performances: in their last 5 away matches, Palmeiras SP won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, and lost 1 match. In contrast, Liverpool Montevideo has shown weaker home performance with only 1 win in their last 5 home matches.

3. According to the analysis of offensive and defensive statistics of both teams, Palmeiras SP has displayed a better defensive performance by conceding only 0.8 goals per match on average away, compared to Liverpool Montevideo conceding an average of 1.4 goals at home. In terms of offensive potential, Liverpool Montevideo has a slightly higher potential (64%) compared to Palmeiras SP (50%). However, due to Palmeiras SP’s strong defensive performance, it is more likely for Palmeiras SP to withstand Liverpool Montevideo’s offensive and score more goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Translation:
“1. Goals scored statistics: In their last 5 away matches, Palmeiras SP scored 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals per match, while Liverpool Montevideo scored 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 1 goal per match. The sum of these averages exceeds 2.5 goals, favoring the prediction.”

2. Translation:
“2. Teams’ offensive potential: Liverpool Montevideo has a 64% offensive potential at home, while Palmeiras SP has a 50% offensive potential away. These percentages suggest a high probability of seeing at least 3 goals during the match.”

3. Translation:
“3. Goals conceded statistics: Liverpool Montevideo conceded 7 goals in their last 5 home matches (averaging 1.4 goals per match), while Palmeiras SP conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches (also averaging 1.4 goals per match). The total of these averages amounts to 2.8 goals, further favoring the prediction of over 2.5 goals during the match.”

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Team statistics: Over their respective last five matches, Liverpool Montevideo has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Palmeiras SP has scored an average of 1.4 goals away from home. This provides an insight into their offensive potential, favoring the prediction that both teams will score.

2. Recent performances: In their recent matches, both teams have managed to score. For instance, in Liverpool Montevideo’s last match, they scored against Danubio despite their loss. Similarly, Palmeiras SP scored in their away matches against Independiente del Valle and Vitoria.

3. Betting market probabilities: The betting market indicates a 50.56% probability that both teams will score, which is a strong indication based on the collective judgments of bookmakers and bettors.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Liverpool Montevideo 1-2 Palmeiras SP.

1. First and foremost, Palmeiras SP has a better overall performance than Liverpool Montevideo in recent matches. Palmeiras SP has a 63.89% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Liverpool Montevideo’s 12.22%.
2. Looking at goal statistics, Palmeiras SP has a better defensive performance, conceding on average only 0.8 goals per away match, compared to Liverpool Montevideo which has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per home match.
3. Palmeiras SP’s offensive potential is also stronger. Even though the average goals scored away by Palmeiras SP is 1.4, in the last five away matches of Palmeiras SP, they managed to score at least one goal in each match. This trend supports the prediction of a 2-goal score for Palmeiras SP.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Liverpool Montevideo is struggling at home with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7, showing a lack of offensive efficiency.

On the other hand, Palmeiras SP, playing away, has shown better performances with a 40% win rate and draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. It’s a competitive team on the road.

The odds indicate a favor towards Palmeiras SP with a 63.89% chance of winning compared to only 12.22% for Liverpool Montevideo. A draw is also more likely than a Liverpool victory, with a probability of 23.89%.

Analyzing the offensive and defensive potential, Liverpool Montevideo at home averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded, while Palmeiras SP away averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded.

Regarding goals, a match with over 1.5 goals is more probable (75.56%), while a match with under 1.5 goals has odds of 3.80. There is a 50.56% chance that both teams will score, a factor not to be overlooked.

In summary, Palmeiras SP appears to be the favorite for this match. However, football is unpredictable and anything can happen.

The potential number of goals

Liverpool Montevideo have been struggling at home, with one win and two draws in their last five matches, scoring 5 goals but conceding 7. Their offensive power is estimated at 64%, while their defense is shaky at 50%.

On the other hand, Palmeiras SP have had better results away from home, winning two matches and drawing two in their last five, scoring 6 goals and conceding 7. Their offensive potential is lower at 50%, but they shine in defense with a strong rate of 29%.

According to the probabilities, Palmeiras SP have a high chance of winning this match at 63.89%, while Liverpool Montevideo have a much lower probability of winning at 12.22%. A draw is possible with a probability of 23.89%.

As for goals, there is a 75.56% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a slightly higher probability of 51.67% for more than 2.5 goals. Less than 3.5 goals have a high probability at 75.56%, and less than 4.5 goals occurring is almost certain at 90%.

There is an almost equal probability for both teams to score, at 50.56%, and for both teams not to score is at 49.44%.

Based on these numbers, Palmeiras SP seem to have the advantage in this match, but in football, anything can happen. That’s what makes the charm of sports and sports betting.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the detailed analysis of these two football teams, Liverpool Montevideo and Palmeiras SP, gives us a fairly accurate idea of their recent performances and their probabilities of winning in this CONMEBOL Libertadores match. The home performances of Liverpool Montevideo and the away performances of Palmeiras SP show a clear advantage for Palmeiras SP; however, football remains an unpredictable sport and anything can change on match day.

Taking into account the statistics, past results, and current form, the most likely winning bets would be a bet on Palmeiras SP to win, a match with over 2.5 goals, both teams to score, and an exact score of 2-1 in favor of Palmeiras SP. However, a bet on a draw could present interesting value.

Nevertheless, let’s not forget that sports betting is a game of chance, and it is impossible to predict with absolute certainty the outcome of a match. Therefore, it is recommended to bet with caution and responsibility.