Tipps Liverpool Nottingham Forest Premier League 14/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Liverpool wins the match.

1. Home Performance of Liverpool: Liverpool has an excellent home performance with a victory in 100% of their last 5 matches, scoring a total of 11 goals and conceding only 2. This performance shows their domination when playing at home.

2. Offensive Potential vs Defensive: In their last 5 home matches, Liverpool has shown an offensive potential of 100% and a defensive potential of only 7%, meaning they score a lot and concede few goals. In contrast, Nottingham Forest has an offensive potential of only 57% and a defensive potential of 43% in their away matches, indicating they are more likely to lose against a team like Liverpool.

3. Probability of Victory: According to the betting statistics, Liverpool has a win probability of 81.52% compared to only 7.61% for Nottingham Forest. This demonstrates that bookmakers believe Liverpool has a very high chance of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics from Liverpool’s last 5 home matches show an average of 2.8 goals scored per match. This suggests a high probability for Liverpool to score at least 2 to 3 goals in the match.

2. Nottingham Forest has also demonstrated notable offensive performances away from home with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match, and their defense has conceded an average of 1.2 goals away from home, suggesting they are likely to contribute to the total score of the match.

3. The indicated probabilities confirm the trend, especially with over 2.5 goals in the match having a success probability of 67.93%. This indicates that bookmakers also anticipate a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The recent performances of both teams show a great offensive potential with a total of 21 goals scored by Liverpool and 10 goals scored by Nottingham Forest in their respective last 5 matches. This indicates that both teams have a strong ability to score goals, potentially leading to a match where both teams score.

2. Based on previous matches, both teams tend to concede goals, with 11 goals against for Liverpool and 11 for Nottingham Forest in their last 5 matches. This points to a weakness in their defenses that could be exploited by the other team.

3. The statistical probability of both teams scoring is relatively high, at 51.63%, which, combined with the past performances of both teams, suggests a strong likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Nottingham Forest win the match.

Bet on the exact result

Liverpool 3-1 Nottingham Forest.

1. Performance at home of Liverpool: Liverpool’s home statistics are particularly impressive, with a 100% win rate in their last matches and an average of 2.8 goals scored per match. This performance strengthens their offensive potential and significantly increases the likelihood of a high score from them.

2. Vulnerable defense of Nottingham Forest: Despite a good favorable result in 80% of their away matches, Nottingham Forest has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, indicating a weak defense. This statistic increases Liverpool’s chances of scoring more goals.

3. Goal count probabilities in the match: Predictions offer a high probability of over 1.5 goals in the match (88.04% success rate) and a significant probability of over 2.5 goals (67.93% success rate). These probabilities suggest a goal-rich match that supports the prediction of a 3-1 win for Liverpool.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Liverpool dominates at home with a streak of 5 wins and a total score of 11 goals at home. Nottingham Forest is also strong with an 80% away win rate.

However, Nottingham Forest faces a challenge in defense, having conceded 11 goals, an average of 1.2 goals per match. This is almost six times more than Liverpool, who only concedes 0.2 goals per home match.

Key stats: Liverpool scores around 2.8 goals at home, while Nottingham Forest struggles with an average of 1.6 goals away. Liverpool’s strong offensive potential (100%) appears to significantly outweigh Forest’s defense (43%). The Reds seem poised to score heavily.

There is a high probability (81.52%) of Liverpool winning the match, with a low chance (7.61%) for Nottingham Forest. A draw seems unlikely (10.87%).

Regarding the number of goals, the most likely scenario is to have over 1.5 goals (88.04%). The possibility of over 2.5 goals also has a high probability (67.93%).

Interestingly, the likelihood of both teams scoring is almost 50/50, with a slight edge for the “yes” option (51.63%).

In conclusion, the data suggests a Liverpool victory with at least two goals scored. However, Nottingham Forest has shown they can score away, so the possibility of goals from both sides should not be ruled out.

The potential number of goals

Liverpool is in great form at home. They have a 100% win rate with 11 goals scored. Defensively, they have conceded 11 goals.

Nottingham Forest is competitive on the road. They have won 80% of their matches, scoring 10 goals. However, they have also conceded 11 goals.

At home, Liverpool averages 2.8 goals scored per match and concede very few, only 0.2 goals per match.

On away turf, Nottingham Forest scores around 1.6 goals per match and concedes 1.2 goals.

With an 81.52% probability, Liverpool is expected to win. The odds are 1.22.

Bets suggest a total of over 1.5 goals with an 88.04% chance.

In their recent matches, Liverpool have defeated Brentford, Sevilla, Arsenal, Real Betis, and Wolves.

Nottingham Forest have triumphed against Southampton, Olympiacos Piraeus, and Chesterfield, but lost to Elche and Burnley.

There is a close to 52% chance that both teams will score.

This leads to the conclusion: a safe bet on Liverpool to win with plenty of goals expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In short, the overall analysis highlights Liverpool’s superiority in this match against Nottingham Forest, especially when playing at home. Their recent performances, spectacular offensive potential, and solid defense make them the favorites for this match, with a probability of 81.52%. Nottingham Forest’s weakness appears to be their Achilles’ heel in defense, which could give Liverpool the opportunity to score a few goals. It is also worth noting that both teams have shown strong offensive potential, suggesting a match with over 2.5 goals. Finally, despite Liverpool being the favorite, the option of a draw or a Nottingham Forest win could be an interesting value bet for bettors, given the odds offered. So, while predicting a likely victory for Liverpool, it is important not to underestimate Nottingham Forest’s potential.