Tipps Luton Burnley Championship 12/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Luton Town wins the match.

1. Luton Town has a higher likelihood of success at home: Compared to Burnley, Luton Town has a higher success probability when playing at home (39.18% compared to Burnley’s 28.35% away), giving them an advantage.

2. Previous match results: When looking at the recent home matches of Luton Town and away matches of Burnley, it is noticeable that Luton Town tends to either win or draw, while Burnley tends to either lose or draw.

3. Burnley’s defensive weakness: Burnley has a weak defensive performance away from home, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. This provides an advantage for Luton Town to score goals and maintain the lead.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show a low average of goals scored by both teams. Luton Town averages 1.2 goals per match and Burnley 1.6, making a total of 2.8. This is just above the 2.5 goals line, so a low-scoring match is quite likely.
2. The defensive efficiency of both teams is remarkable. Luton Town has a defensive potential of 107% and Burnley of 71%. These data indicate that both teams are quite solid in defense, thereby limiting the chances of many goals.
3. Based on the last 5 home matches of Luton Town and the last 5 away matches of Burnley, the majority have seen less than 2.5 goals. This suggests a trend towards low-scoring matches between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The data shows that both Luton Town at home and Burnley away have a strong tendency to score goals in their matches, with respective averages of 1.2 and 1.6 goals per match. This suggests a strong offensive potential on both sides.

2. Both teams also tend to concede goals, with Luton Town averaging 3 goals conceded per home match and Burnley conceding 2 goals away. This indicates that their defense is not watertight, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. The match history indicates that in most recent encounters, both Luton Town at home and Burnley away have scored. This consistent pattern reinforces the prediction that both teams will score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match – 1.88

Bet on the exact result

Luton Town 1-1 Burnley

1. The statistics of both teams show a tendency to draw matches. For Luton Town and Burnley, 40% of their last 5 matches have ended in a draw. This makes it a consistent prediction based on the past performances of both teams.

2. In terms of goals, the respective averages of both teams also seem consistent with a 1-1 scoreline. Luton Town averages 1.2 goals per match at home while Burnley averages 1.6 goals away from home, reinforcing the validity of a potential 1-1 result.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is high at 58.25%. With both teams prone to scoring and conceding goals in their matches, a 1-1 scoreline seems quite reasonable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Luton Town has only won once in their last 5 home matches. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 8.

Burnley, on the other hand, has also managed one win in their last 5 away games. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 10.

On average, Luton Town scores 1.2 goals per home match and concedes 3 goals. Their offensive potential is 43% and defensive potential is 107%.

Burnley, away from home, scores 1.6 goals per match and concedes 2 goals. Their offensive potential is 57% and defensive potential is 71%.

The probability of a Luton Town victory is 39.18%, a draw is 32.47%, and a Burnley win is 28.35%.

The probability of a draw or a Luton Town victory is 71.65%. In the case of a draw or a Burnley win, the probability is 60.82%.

There is a 74.74% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals and a 75.26% probability for fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.

Both teams have a 58.25% chance of scoring.

In conclusion, Luton Town and Burnley are very close in recent performance. Given their tendency to concede goals, a bet on “Over 1.5 goals” seems prudent.

The potential number of goals

Luton Town has won 20% of its home matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 8 in 5 games. They show an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 107%. On the other hand, Burnley also wins 20% of the time away from home, scoring more with 8 goals and conceding 10. Their offensive potential is 57% and the defensive potential is 71%.

The probability of Luton Town winning is 39.18% with odds of 2.46. For Burnley to win, the probability is 28.35% with odds of 2.81. A draw has a probability of 32.47% with odds of 3.44.

The probability of there being less than 1.5 goals in the match is 3.60. If you bet on more than 1.5 goals, the probability increases to 74.74% with odds of 1.30.

Both teams have scored in 58.25% of the matches, with odds of 1.68. In 41.75% of the matches, they have not scored, with odds of 2.15.

In summary, based on their recent performances, the odds favor a match with more than 1.5 goals. It is most likely that Luton Town will win or the match will end in a draw. Both teams are likely to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Luton Town and Burnley appears to be evenly matched considering the recent performances of both teams. However, the statistics indicate that Luton Town is slightly favored, especially if they are playing at home.

It is also likely that both teams will score in this match, given their respective average goals scored and conceded per game. Furthermore, the data suggests that the total score will probably be over 1.5 goals, but betting on over 2.5 goals is also worth considering.

As for the exact score bet, a 1-1 draw could be a realistic prediction based on the current trend. Finally, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty and there is always a risk, regardless of the predictions.

Therefore, it is important to consider all available information and bet responsibly.