Tipps Lyngby Vejle Superligaen 26/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Lyngby wins the match

1. Team Performance Statistics: Over the last 5 matches, Lyngby has had a better performance record (won or drawn in 40% of cases) compared to Vejle (won or drawn in 60% of cases), giving Lyngby a reasonable chance to avoid a loss and aim for a draw or a win against Vejle.

2. Teams’ Potential Offensive and Defensive Strengths: Lyngby has shown a slight superiority in terms of offensive and defensive potential, with 43% and 64% respectively, compared to Vejle’s 29% and 57%. This indicates that Lyngby has a better ability to launch successful attacks and withstand the opponent’s offensive plays.

3. Prediction Probability: The bet choice “Draw or Lyngby wins the match” has a higher success probability of 72.28%, significantly higher than the “Vejle wins the match” bet, which stands at 27.72%. This high percentage indicates that among all possible scenarios, it is more likely for Lyngby to win or for the match to end in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from the last five matches show that Lyngby scores an average of 1.2 goals per match and Vejle, 0.8 goals. This suggests a total goals under 2.5.
2. The defensive trend of these two teams is quite strong, with Lyngby conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match and Vejle 1.6. This indicates that both teams focus on defense, thus limiting the total number of goals.
3. Looking at previous matches, many of them have ended with fewer than 2.5 goals. For example, the matches between Lyngby and Hvidovre and Odense, as well as Vejle against Hvidovre and Odense.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics reveal a significant offensive and defensive potential for both teams. Lyngby, at home, has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match. Similarly, Vejle, away, has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. This implies that it is likely that both teams will score during the match.

2. The results of the last 5 matches for Lyngby at home and Vejle away show that both teams have a tendency to score. In these five matches, Lyngby has scored at least one goal in 4 matches, and Vejle has also scored at least one goal in 4 matches, which reinforces the probability that both teams will score in this match.

3. The analysis of probabilities suggests that the probability of both teams scoring is higher than 50% (51.63%), which is a stronger presumption for a Yes on both teams scoring rather than a No (48.37%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Vejle wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Lyngby 1-1 Vejle

1. Match history: Previous home matches for Lyngby show a tendency to have few goals scored, with a 1-1 scoreline appearing two out of five times. Vejle’s away matches also show the possibility of draws, with a 1-1 score appearing once out of five.

2. Goal statistics: The goals scored and conceded statistics for both teams hover around 1 goal per match (Lyngby at home: 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, Vejle away: 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded). This aligns with a possible final score of 1-1.

3. Probabilities: The probability of a draw is 26.63%, which is relatively high compared to the probability of either team winning the match (Lyngby: 45.65%, Vejle: 27.72%), reinforcing the prediction of a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lyngby has a 20% home win percentage in their last 5 matches, while Vejle has a 20% away win rate. Both teams also have a similar percentage of draws.

Lyngby has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 at home, whereas Vejle has scored 6 goals and conceded 9 away. This suggests a slight advantage for Lyngby.

Lyngby has a 43% attacking potential and a 64% defensive potential at home. Vejle, on the other hand, has a 29% attacking potential and a 57% defensive potential away.

The probability of Lyngby winning is 45.65% with odds of 2.28, while a draw has a 26.63% chance with odds of 3.35. Vejle has a 27.72% chance of winning with odds of 3.15.

There is a 76.63% probability of over 1.5 goals in this match, with odds of 1.33. There is a 48.37% probability of over 2.5 goals with odds of 2.01.

Regarding both teams scoring, there is a 51.63% chance with odds of 1.79.

Based solely on these statistics, Lyngby appears to have a slight advantage.

The potential number of goals

Lyngby, at home, has a 20% win rate and 20% draw rate. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7. Their attacking rate is at 43% while their defense is at 64%.

Vejle, on the other hand, has accumulated a 20% win rate and 40% draw rate away from home, with 6 goals scored and 9 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is at 29% and their defense is at 57%.

The assessed probabilities favor Lyngby to win at 45.65% with odds at 2.28. The draw is more likely at 26.63% with odds of 3.35. Vejle has a winning probability of 27.72% with odds at 3.15. Therefore, the match is in favor of Lyngby.

As for goals, the option of over 1.5 goals is worth considering with a probability of 76.63% and odds of 1.33. The probability of both teams scoring is also significant at 51.63% with odds of 1.79.

Looking at the latest matches, Lyngby seems relatively stable at home, with many low-scoring games. Vejle, on the other hand, presents more irregular scores away from home.

In conclusion, this match could be in favor of Lyngby with a slight inclination towards a low score, although the probability of both teams scoring remains notable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, advanced statistics suggest a slight advantage for Lyngby in this Superliga match. Their home performances, combined with their offensive and defensive potential, give them a reasonable chance of victory or a draw. However, Vejle should not be underestimated, especially given their defensive potential. Furthermore, the significant presence of low-scoring matches in previous encounters of these teams indicates a probability of a total goals under 2.5. Finally, the data also shows a trend for both teams to score during the match.

While Lyngby is favored, a bet on a Vejle victory could represent an interesting value bet opportunity, considering the high odds for this scenario. Additionally, for bettors who prefer exact score bets, a final score of 1-1 could prove to be an attractive option.

It is important to remember that these predictions are based on past statistics and that football, like any sport, is random and unpredictable. Therefore, it is important to bet with caution and responsibility.